Sun Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · CBS · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Division Upcoming · Fri 5:25 PM
New England Patriots
4-3 · 4-3 last season
Implied25.5
At NE -6.5 Total 44.5 Live line · NE -320 · MIA +260
Miami Dolphins
1-5 · 1-5 last season
Implied19.0
Line movement open Oct 27 MIA spread +7 +6.5 0.5 Total 44.5 44.5 no move FanDuel

NE @ MIA: the angle lands Fri 5:25 PM

Lines, matchups, injuries and forecast below are live now.

Key matchups

TeamPlayerPos ProjDK $ vs defenseFPAEdge
NE Drake Maye QB 20.6 $6,500 MIA #24 of 32 19.7 Favorable
NE A.J. Brown WR 15.0 $5,900 MIA #4 of 32 27.3 Tough
NE Rhamondre Stevenson RB 11.4 $5,600 MIA #28 of 32 26.0 Smash
NE Hunter Henry TE 11.0 $4,300 MIA #31 of 32 20.6 Smash
MIA Malik Willis QB 15.9 $4,900 NE #11 of 32 16.5 Neutral
MIA Ollie Gordon II RB 11.3 $5,700 NE #8 of 32 20.2 Neutral
MIA Malik Washington WR 9.8 $4,400 NE #17 of 32 32.2 Neutral
MIA Greg Dulcich TE 8.7 $3,200 NE #22 of 32 14.5 Favorable
NE skill positions vs MIA defense
QB
#24/32
19.7 fpa
Good
RB
#28/32
26.0 fpa
Elite
WR
#4/32
27.3 fpa
Avoid
TE
#31/32
20.6 fpa
Elite
MIA skill positions vs NE defense
QB
#11/32
16.5 fpa
Bad
RB
#8/32
20.2 fpa
Avoid
WR
#17/32
32.2 fpa
Average
TE
#22/32
14.5 fpa
Good

Rank 32 allows the most fantasy points to the position (softest matchup), 1 the fewest. Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly.

Game script & scoring

Projected points (market implied)
NE25.5
MIA19.0
Offense profile
NERank of 32MIA
22.9 #19 Pts / G 16.3 #30
261.4 #9 Pass yds / G 176.5 #30
122.0 #11 Rush yds / G 131.5 #7
62.4 #14 Plays / G 56.3 #31
52% Pass rate 47%
1.9 Pass TD / G 0.7
0.7 Rush TD / G 1.2
1.9 Sacks taken / G 2.7
1.1 INT thrown / G 0.7
Defense profile
NERank of 32MIA
20.4 #10 Pts allowed / G 26.2 #25
239.0 #19 Pass yds allowed 237.7 #18
95.3 #8 Rush yds allowed 110.2 #16
2.4 Sacks / G 1.0
0.6 INT / G 0.7
1.3 Pass TD allowed 2.3
0.9 Rush TD allowed 0.7

Rank 1 = best of 32 (offense: most; defense: fewest allowed). Basis: rolling window from 2026-09-09, 7 games per team.

Weather

Kickoff forecast posts within 3 days of kickoff. (Hard Rock Stadium, Miami)

DFS

NE projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Drake Maye 20.6 11.2 / 29.8 $6,500 3.17x $8,200 #24
WR A.J. Brown 15.0 6.2 / 25.8 $5,900 2.54x $6,500 #4
RB Rhamondre Stevenson 11.4 6.1 / 20.7 $5,600 2.04x $6,500 #28
TE Hunter Henry 11.0 4.2 / 19.6 $4,300 2.57x $5,200 #31
WR DeMario Douglas 9.3 3.5 / 16.9 $4,400 2.11x $5,100 #4
RB TreVeyon Henderson 6.3 2.3 / 13.3 $4,600 1.36x $5,400 #28
TE Eli Raridon 5.7 1.5 / 14.1 $3,300 1.71x $4,500 #31
MIA projected players
PosPlayerProj Floor / ceilDK $Val FD $vs
QB Malik Willis 15.9 8.1 / 23.9 $4,900 3.25x $6,500 #11
RB Ollie Gordon II 11.3 6.0 / 20.2 $5,700 1.98x $6,400 #8
WR Malik Washington 9.8 4.5 / 19.4 $4,400 2.23x $5,500 #17
WR Caleb Douglas 9.4 2.7 / 19.0 $4,100 2.28x $5,300 #17
TE Greg Dulcich 8.7 2.8 / 16.9 $3,200 2.72x $5,100 #22
WR Chris Bell 5.5 1.3 / 13.4 $3,200 1.72x $4,800 #17
RB Jaylen Wright questionable 2.9 0.6 / 7.4 $4,300 0.67x $5,200 #8

Val = projected points per $1,000 of DraftKings salary. vs = the opposing defense's rank against that position (32 softest).

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Props

PlayerMarketLine ProjOverBookOpp rank
Drake Maye QB NE Pass TD 1.5 1.7 -139 DraftKings #27
Drake Maye QB NE Pass yds 228.5 238.0 -113 DraftKings #18
Drake Maye QB NE Rush yds 25.5 28.2 -109 DraftKings #16
Malik Willis QB MIA Pass TD 0.5 0.7 -215 FanDuel #11
Malik Willis QB MIA Pass yds 181.5 180.0 -113 DraftKings #19
Malik Willis QB MIA Rush yds 33.5 38.0 -108 DraftKings #8
A.J. Brown WR NE Receptions 4.5 7.0 -130 DraftKings #18
A.J. Brown WR NE Rec yds 57.5 79.1 -111 DraftKings #18
Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE Rush yds 47.5 37.0 -114 DraftKings #16
Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE Receptions 2.5 2.6 +116 FanDuel #18
Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE Rec yds 17.5 26.5 -114 FanDuel #18
Ollie Gordon II RB MIA Rush yds 61.5 53.6 -114 FanDuel #8
Ollie Gordon II RB MIA Receptions 1.5 0.9 +124 FanDuel #19
Ollie Gordon II RB MIA Rec yds 10.5 2.2 -110 DraftKings #19

Best available over price per line. Opp rank = the defense's rank in that stat allowed (32 allows the most).

All NE and MIA props with AI grades

Injuries

NE 8 listed
  • Out Myles Montgomery RB Unknown Severe
  • IR Mack Hollins WR Calf Severe
  • IR Romeo Doubs WR Shoulder Severe
  • Out Ben Brown C Unknown Minimal
  • Out Carlton Davis CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Channing Canada CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Harold Landry III OLB Undisclosed Minimal
  • Out Karon Prunty CB Unknown Minimal
MIA 8 listed
  • Out Jalen Tolbert WR Unknown Severe
  • IR Cole Turner TE Undisclosed Severe
  • IR Devon Achane RB Knee Severe
  • Quest. Jaylen Wright RB Quadriceps Moderate
  • Out Reese Taylor CB Unknown Minimal
  • Out Rene Konga DT Unknown Minimal
  • Out Robert Beal Jr. DE Unknown Minimal
  • Out Willie Gay Jr. LB Unknown Minimal
Full NFL injury report

Week 8 slate

Swipe for all 14 games this week.
CAR @ GB
Thu 8:15 PM ET
GB -3.5
O/U 47.5
Ready
ARI @ DAL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DAL -6.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
ATL @ TB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TB -2.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
BAL @ BUF
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BUF -3.5
O/U 54.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
CLE @ PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
PIT -3
O/U 39.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
IND @ JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX -8.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
LV @ NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NYJ -1.5
O/U 45.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
MIN @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DET -3.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
TEN @ CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CIN -10.5
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Fri 2:00 PM
LAC @ LA
Sun 4:05 PM ET
LA -6.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 5:05 PM
KC @ DEN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
KC -1.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 5:25 PM
NE @ MIA
Sun 4:25 PM ET
NE -6.5
O/U 44.5
Unlocks Fri 5:25 PM
PHI @ WAS
Sun 8:20 PM ET
WAS -5.5
O/U 40.5
Unlocks Fri 9:20 PM
CHI @ SEA
Mon 8:15 PM ET
SEA -3
O/U 46.5
Unlocks Sat 9:15 PM
Updated Oct 28, 10:50 AM ET For entertainment and informational purposes only; not betting or gambling advice.