Suns vs Thunder Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 29th 2024
Suns
43W-30L
March 29, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 225.0 o/u
Thunder
50W-22L
Get ready to rumble, sports junkies! Tonight, we’ve got a clash of the titans that’s hotter than a Phoenix summer and louder than a bolt of Oklahoma City Thunder. The Suns, boasting a respectable 43-30 record, are saddling up and heading to the Paycom Center to take on the mighty Thunder, who are sitting pretty with a 50-22 record. The Suns are trailing just a few three-pointers behind in the Western Conference, while the Thunder are practically breathing down the leader’s neck. Our tip-off is at 8PM EST, so you’ve got plenty of time to place your bets, and trust us, you’ll want to. The over/under is set at a whopping 225.0, with the Suns barely edging out the Thunder in the betting lines. The Suns are basking in the glow of their recent win against Denver, while the Thunder are still licking their wounds after a tussle with Houston. So, who’s ready for a showdown that promises to be as electrifying as a thunderstorm and as unpredictable as a desert mirage? Let’s just say, it’s going to be a real ‘Sun-der’ of a game!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 29, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Vegas Odds
PHX ML | OKL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -125 | +105 | 228.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
Recent | -125 | +105 | 225.0 | -2.5/2.5 |
Difference | 0 | 0 | -3.0 | – |
Team Performance
55.6% Win Probability
44.4% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/03/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 38 | 23 | 29 | 118 | Over | ||
Phoenix Suns PHX | 24 | 28 | 33 | 25 | 110 | ||||
11/12/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 29 | 25 | 26 | 31 | 111 | Under | ||
Phoenix Suns PHX | 29 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 99 | ||||
04/02/23 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 27 | 42 | 29 | 30 | 128 | Over | ||
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 27 | 28 | 34 | 29 | 118 | ||||
03/19/23 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 31 | 38 | 27 | 24 | 120 | Over | ||
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 25 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 124 | ||||
03/08/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 21 | 31 | 28 | 21 | 101 | Over | ||
Phoenix Suns PHX | 34 | 26 | 44 | 28 | 132 | ||||
02/24/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 30 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 115 | Over | ||
Phoenix Suns PHX | 29 | 36 | 29 | 30 | 124 | ||||
04/03/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 27 | 26 | 22 | 21 | 96 | Under | ||
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 20 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 117 | ||||
02/24/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 31 | 17 | 37 | 39 | 124 | Over | ||
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 14 | 31 | 32 | 27 | 104 | ||||
12/29/21 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 23 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 97 | Under | ||
Phoenix Suns PHX | 33 | 27 | 25 | 30 | 115 | ||||
12/23/21 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 17 | 31 | 21 | 32 | 101 | Under | ||
Phoenix Suns PHX | 29 | 16 | 37 | 31 | 113 |
Suns Vs Over/Under
Thunder Vs Over/Under
Suns Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/27 | vs DEN | 104-97W | 51 | 29 | 16 | 83 |
03/25 | vs SAS | 102-104L | 47 | 28 | 14 | 83 |
03/23 | vs SAS | 131-106W | 39 | 38 | 8 | 94 |
03/21 | @ ATL | 128-115W | 38 | 28 | 17 | 75 |
03/20 | @ PHI | 115-102W | 55 | 34 | 23 | 90 |
03/17 | vs MIL | 129-140L | 39 | 36 | 12 | 87 |
03/15 | vs CHA | 107-96W | 57 | 31 | 10 | 88 |
03/14 | vs BOS | 112-127L | 51 | 27 | 13 | 99 |
03/11 | vs CLE | 117-111W | 42 | 23 | 14 | 84 |
03/09 | @ BOS | 107-117L | 41 | 21 | 14 | 87 |
Thunder Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/27 | @ HOU | 126-132L | 49 | 26 | 19 | 96 |
03/26 | vs NOP | 119-112W | 45 | 28 | 12 | 86 |
03/24 | vs MIL | 93-118L | 37 | 20 | 12 | 89 |
03/22 | vs TOR | 123-105W | 46 | 27 | 15 | 96 |
03/20 | @ UTA | 119-107W | 45 | 29 | 10 | 88 |
03/16 | vs MEM | 118-112W | 45 | 25 | 11 | 87 |
03/14 | @ DAL | 126-119W | 34 | 28 | 13 | 86 |
03/12 | @ IND | 99-121L | 47 | 22 | 12 | 96 |
03/10 | @ MEM | 124-93W | 46 | 36 | 10 | 94 |
03/08 | @ MIA | 107-100W | 45 | 28 | 9 | 89 |
Starting Lineups
Phoenix Suns | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25.7 | 26.9 | 25.4 | 100% | 25.2 | |
Bradley Beal
SG
|
35.5 | 29.1 | 33.6 | 93% | 34.1 |
Devin Booker
PG
|
49.6 | 47.5 | 45.6 | 93% | 44.6 |
Kevin Durant
PF
|
46.0 | 45.1 | 45.1 | 100% | 44.1 |
33.8 | 28.0 | 32.8 | 100% | 32.6 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23.4 | 15.4 | 18.6 | 100% | 19.0 | |
Josh Giddey
PG
|
36.5 | 38.2 | 27.9 | 100% | 28.3 |
38.8 | 32.9 | 36.3 | 100% | 36.6 | |
19.6 | 14.2 | 14.7 | 10% | 13.8 | |
44.9 | 36.4 | 36.2 | 100% | 36.6 |
Suns Notable Injuries
- Nassir Little (SF/PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 0.5
- Ish Wainright (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.4reb, 0.1ast, 6.4 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.1
- Isaiah Thomas (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 1.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.8
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG): Avg: 30.1pts, 5.6reb, 6.2ast, 34.3 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 7.6
- Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.5pts, 5.4reb, 1.5ast, 21.0 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 1.1
- Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 3.3reb, 1.3ast, 12.5 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 1.7
- Mike Muscala (C): Avg: 3.3pts, 2.5reb, 0.7ast, 11.9 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 0.6
- Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.7reb, 1.1ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.2
- Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 2.7pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 6.5 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.8
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Devin Booker | PHX | Pts | 25.5 | 28.6 | +3.1 | 60% | 40% | 40% | 40% | OKL | +0.4 | #19 |
Kevin Durant | PHX | Pts | 23.5 | 25.6 | +2.1 | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% | OKL | -0.6 | #14 |
Luguentz Dort | OKL | Reb | 3.5 | 4.1 | +0.6 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | PHX | +1.5 | #23 |
Jalen Williams | OKL | Reb | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | 20% | 30% | 33% | 33% | PHX | +1.5 | #23 |
Chet Holmgren | OKL | Ast | 2.5 | 2.7 | +0.2 | 20% | 30% | 33% | 33% | PHX | +0.2 | #18 |
Suns Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #18 | #3 | #18 | #10 | -2.9% |
PF | #22 | #11 | #8 | #15 | 0.7% |
PG | #30 | #26 | #19 | #29 | 21.0% |
SF | #2 | #23 | #3 | #4 | -21.5% |
SG | #6 | #2 | #19 | #17 | -0.5% |
Thunder Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #16 | #5 | #22 | #9 | -3.2% |
PF | #21 | #27 | #26 | #26 | 6.5% |
PG | #10 | #29 | #15 | #19 | 2.6% |
SF | #14 | #9 | #26 | #15 | -1.2% |
SG | #19 | #7 | #16 | #16 | -0.5% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Drew Eubanks (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 86.5% to 22.2, 11.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Josh Giddey (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.7% to 30.4, 22.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Aaron Wiggins (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 55.2% to 18.5, 11.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Kenrich Williams (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.0% to 18.9, 14.4 min average previous 3 games.
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