Kings vs Magic Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Mar 23rd 2024

Alright hoop heads, tonight’s the night we’ve all been waiting for! Our beloved Sacramento Kings, sporting a respectable 40W-29L record, are making their royal march to the Amway Center, ready to challenge the slightly ahead 42W-28L Orlando Magic. The clock’s ticking down to a 07:00PM EST tipoff, and with the Kings trailing by 4 games in the Western conference and the Magic holding their own in the East, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The bookies are having a field day, setting the over/under at a tantalizing 218.0, with the Kings line at 4.5 and the Magic at -4.5. Fresh off a 121-106 victory over NOP, the Magic are looking to keep their winning streak alive, while the Kings, still smarting from a 102-109 loss to WAS, are hungry for redemption. So, get ready for an evening of enchantment and royalty as the Magic and the Kings battle it out. Will it be a spellbinding victory for the Magic or will the Kings rule the court? Only time will tell!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 23, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Amway Center, Orlando

Vegas Odds

	SAC ML	ORL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+165	-195	216.0	4.5/-4.5
Recent	+120	-140	218.0	2.5/-2.5
Difference	-45	+55	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

20W-15L

45.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

24W-9L

54.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/03/24	Orlando Magic ORL	30	25	34	29	98	135	Over
01/03/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	27	40	24	27	911	138	Over
01/09/23	Orlando Magic ORL	31	21	32	27		111	Over
01/09/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	41	31	35	29		136	Over
11/05/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	25	22	36	23	20	126	Over
11/05/22	Orlando Magic ORL	33	32	12	29	17	123	Over
03/26/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	41	25	15	24	9	114	Over
03/26/22	Orlando Magic ORL	28	34	22	21	5	110	Over
12/08/21	Orlando Magic ORL	36	31	25	38		130	Over
12/08/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	38	32	34	38		142	Over

Kings Vs Over/Under

Magic Vs Over/Under

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/21	vs WAS	102-109L	37	21	15	87
03/20	vs TOR	123-89W	53	32	15	93
03/18	@ MEM	121-111W	59	30	17	94
03/16	@ NYK	91-98L	42	22	12	86
03/13	@ LAL	120-107W	44	30	12	88
03/12	@ MIL	129-94W	51	34	8	93
03/10	@ HOU	104-112L	44	24	12	89
03/07	@ SAS	131-129W	46	31	13	103
03/06	vs LAL	130-122W	46	32	13	97
03/04	@ CHI	109-113L	51	29	17	94

Magic Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/21	@ NOP	121-106W	40	33	14	92
03/19	@ CHA	112-92W	41	32	16	81
03/17	@ TOR	111-96W	39	22	13	85
03/15	vs TOR	113-103W	39	25	14	80
03/13	@ BRO	114-106W	34	29	12	77
03/10	@ IND	97-111L	46	18	12	88
03/08	vs NYK	74-98L	37	12	13	80
03/06	vs WAS	119-109W	42	21	15	84
03/05	vs CHA	101-89W	41	23	17	74
03/03	@ DET	113-91W	48	24	20	72

Starting Lineups

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Harrison Barnes SF	20.8	23.9	21.7	100%	21.3
Keon Ellis SG	19.1	19.4	11.5	20%	18.7
De’Aaron Fox PG	46.2	45.5	44.3	93%	44.9
Keegan Murray PF	27.8	30.4	25.7	93%	27.1
Domantas Sabonis C	53.2	49.7	53.3	100%	51.7

Orlando Magic	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Paolo Banchero PF	43.2	39.8	40.8	100%	39.6
Wendell Carter Jr. C	27.6	26.6	26.4	87%	25.6
Gary Harris SG	16.0	11.2	12.7	53%	15.1
Jalen Suggs PG	26.6	28.7	22.6	100%	22.9
Franz Wagner SF	33.4	31.1	32.2	100%	31.4

Kings Notable Injuries

Kevin Huerter (SG): Avg: 10.4pts, 3.5reb, 2.6ast, 24.5 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 2.6
Trey Lyles (PF/C): Avg: 7.0pts, 4.3reb, 1.1ast, 19.4 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 2.1
JaVale McGee (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.8reb, 0.4ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.2
Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 2.1pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.7
Jalen Slawson (PF): Avg: 0.9pts, 1.0reb, 0.3ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.5

Magic Notable Injuries

Chuma Okeke (SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 0.3
Jett Howard (SF): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 0.4
Admiral Schofield (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Wendell Carter Jr.	ORL	Pts	10.5	12.6	+2.1	40%	50%	53%	53%	SAC	-2.2	#4
Keegan Murray	SAC	Pts	12.5	14.3	+1.8	60%	50%	53%	53%	ORL	-2.8	#6
Harrison Barnes	SAC	Reb	2.5	3.0	+0.5	40%	30%	33%	33%	ORL	-2.3	#2
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	Reb	13.5	13.9	+0.4	100%	90%	80%	80%	ORL	-3.5	#1
Malik Monk	SAC	Ast	4.5	5.3	+0.8	40%	70%	67%	67%	ORL	-0.7	#7
Keon Ellis	SAC	Ast	1.5	2.2	+0.7	40%	50%	40%	40%	ORL	-0.7	#7

View All Player Prop Projections

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#3	#20	#10	-5.7%
PF	#19	#14	#25	#18	1.9%
PG	#23	#3	#13	#12	-3.9%
SF	#20	#6	#3	#7	-8.5%
SG	#8	#2	#10	#6	-7.4%

Magic Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#1	#14	#1	-27.1%
PF	#12	#1	#4	#2	-13.1%
PG	#16	#12	#26	#20	4.1%
SF	#6	#2	#7	#2	-26.7%
SG	#10	#4	#7	#5	-8.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.0

107.9

Rebounds per Game

45.7

41.3

Assists per Game

28.7

24.0

Steals per Game

9.0

8.2

Blocks per Game

4.7

5.1

Shots per Game

92.7

81.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.3

11.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.4

56.7

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.7

37.3

Turnovers per Game

12.7

14.6

Fouls per Game

19.7

17.5

Recent Trends

Paolo Banchero (PF) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 20.0 pts, 10.0 reb, 11.0 ast against NOP
Harrison Barnes (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 23.9, 35.4 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Harris (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 18.6, 27.6 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Harris (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.3% to 10.9, 21.2 min average previous 3 games.
Trey Lyles (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.8% to 15.3, 23.5 min average previous 3 games.