MLB Batter Props

What the AI analysis actually reads

Every prop card has a Get AI Analysis button. It is not a sentiment engine and it is not a recycled hit-rate chart. When you run it, the model gets the current line and price, our projection for that stat, how often the player has gone over across the last 5 and last 15 games including the high and low of that range, whether recent form is running clearly above or below the season baseline, and the opposing-pitcher grid on each card (ERA, WHIP, K/9, HR/9). It weighs the starting pitcher, how that pitcher has handled the same handedness, the park, and the weather at first pitch, then returns one of three calls: over, under, or pass.

The pass call matters as much as the other two. Plenty of props are priced correctly, and a tool that always finds an edge is telling you what you want to hear. The reasoning is printed with the call so you can disagree with it: the projection and the last-15 hit rate sit on the same card, so the work is checkable rather than asserted.

Each analysis costs 50 tokens. Pro includes 20,000 tokens a month, which is 400 analyses. The board itself, with every line, projection, and hit rate, is free to browse.

What Arbitrage Watch is doing

Sportsbooks do not agree with each other. When one book prices the over on a line generously and a different book prices the under on the same line generously, the two prices together imply a probability under 100 percent. Backing both sides in the right proportion locks a profit no matter how the game goes. That is arbitrage, and it is arithmetic rather than prediction.

The panel scans every cross-book pair on the whole board, both batters and pitchers, and shows the stake split for an illustrative $100 total so you can scale it to your own bankroll. Three rows show up front and the rest sit behind Show more. Real MLB prop arbitrage is small and quiet, usually between half a percent and 5 percent, so treat anything enormous with suspicion.

We suppress far more than we show, because a fake arbitrage is worse than none. A pair only appears when both prices were captured before first pitch, the game has not started yet, the two prices were captured within 30 minutes of each other, and the two legs come from different books. Anything implying more than a 25 percent edge is treated as a stale line rather than a gift and is hidden. That is why the panel often says nothing is available: the honest answer most of the time is that there is nothing to take.

Prices move fast and books limit or void obvious arbitrage. Confirm both sides at the book before you place anything, and never assume a listed price is still live.