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Los Angeles Dodgers
70-47
@
Arizona Diamondbacks
62-56
4:10 PM ET Chase Field SportsNet LA DivisionalDay GameWeekend

Back the Dodgers on the road, where Justin Wrobleski's elite control gives LAD the cleaner starting-pitching edge at -138.

Wrobleski's 1.85 BB/9 and 1.07 WHIP outclass Rodriguez's 1.24 WHIP against a weaker Arizona lineup.

SideBET AWAY ML at LAD -138.
TotalBET UNDER 9.0.
Lean6/10
Confidence
Best Bet Dodgers moneyline at -138 is the highest-conviction play given the pitching command edge.
Total9.0
LAD Win58%
ARI Win44%
Implied LAD4.7
Implied ARI4.3

Vegas / Market

Total
9.0
Run line
ARI 1.5
LAD ML
-138 58%
ARI ML
+126 44%
LAD4.7
ARI4.3

The de-vigged implied totals sit at LAD 4.7 and ARI 4.3, and -138 on the Dodgers reflects a fair but not inflated favorite price. The 9.0 total feels slightly rich given two capable arms, offering modest under value. The number roughly aligns with the read, so the side is the stronger angle than the price gouge.

Pitching Matchup

LAD
Justin Wrobleski
11-3 · 117.0 IP
ERA
3.31
WHIP
1.07
K/9
7.0
BB/9
1.9
VS
ARI
Eduardo Rodriguez
10-4 · 136.1 IP
ERA
2.71
WHIP
1.24
K/9
6.1
BB/9
3.0

Wrobleski pairs a strong 1.07 WHIP with pristine 1.85 BB/9 command, limiting free baserunners better than anyone in this matchup. Rodriguez carries the lower ERA at 2.71 but allows more traffic with a 1.24 WHIP and 2.98 BB/9. The command edge and cleaner peripherals tilt the arms toward Wrobleski.

Offense Comparison

LADrank of 30ARI
5.0 4 Runs / G 13 4.5
0.262 1 AVG 18 0.243
1.29 7 HR / G 29 0.96
7.82 26 K / G 28 7.31

The Dodgers bring a deep, contact-heavy order that leads the league in average and offers premium stack appeal against a walk-prone Rodriguez. Arizona's lineup, fronted by Perdomo, Carroll, and Marte, is more contact than thump and must string hits given its bottom-tier power. LAD's top-to-bottom threat level clearly outmatches the home side's.

Weather & Park

Indoor / climate-controlled stadium: weather is a non-factor.

Chase Field is a retractable-roof park, so treat weather as a non-factor with no wind or temperature swing on run scoring.

DFS Angles

Stack the Dodgers against Rodriguez's 2.98 BB/9, targeting the top of the order where Ohtani, Pages, and Freeman project best. A mini Arizona pairing of Marte and Carroll works as a contrarian one-off but lacks the power ceiling.

Target Wrobleski as the safer arm behind his 1.07 WHIP and 1.85 BB/9 versus a low-power ARI lineup. Rodriguez is a riskier tournament option despite the shiny ERA given his elevated WHIP.

LAD top bats
  • Shohei Ohtani 13.7 proj · $6,600 · 2.1x
  • Andy Pages 12.6 proj · $4,900 · 2.6x
  • Freddie Freeman 11.8 proj · $5,400 · 2.2x
  • Tommy Edman 11.4 proj · $4,400 · 2.6x
  • Kyle Tucker 11.0 proj · $4,200 · 2.6x
ARI top bats
  • Ketel Marte 12.0 proj · $4,600 · 2.6x
  • Corbin Carroll 11.8 proj · $5,200 · 2.3x
  • Gabriel Moreno 10.6 proj · $4,100 · 2.6x
  • Geraldo Perdomo 10.2 proj · $3,900 · 2.6x
  • Nolan Arenado 9.8 proj · $3,600 · 2.7x

Players to Watch

Prop leans
  • Andy Pages - hits lean - 1.53 projected hits leads all LAD bats.
  • Tommy Edman - hits lean - 1.59 projected hits at top salary value.
  • Ketel Marte - total bases lean - team-best 12.0 fpts and 0.27 HR projection.
  • Shohei Ohtani - home run lean - 0.38 projected HR paces the game.
On watch
  • Corbin Carroll - top ARI power source at 0.29 projected HR.
  • Freddie Freeman - 1.46 projected hits anchors the LAD stack.
  • Geraldo Perdomo - leadoff table-setter at 10.2 fpts.
  • Kyle Tucker - best value multiplier at 2.61x on DK.
View all LAD & ARI props →

Form & Head-to-Head

Season series: LAD 6 – ARI 6

The season series is dead even at LAD 6, ARI 6.

Today's MLB Slate