Archived pregame breakdown. This is how the matchup looked before first pitch on August 10, 2026: the odds, projected lineups and picks shown were pregame numbers and are not live. See today's games

New York Mets

52-67

Atlanta Braves

71-47

7:15 PM ET Truist Park SNY Divisional

Back the Braves offense at home against Sean Manaea, with Atlanta favored at -140.

Atlanta pairs a top-6 scoring attack and the better arm against a bottom-tier Mets lineup.

SideBET HOME ML at ATL -140

TotalPASS at 8.5, market matches the 8.5 implied combined runs

Lean6/10

Confidence

Braves rank 6th in runs at 4.88 per game.
Atlanta ranks 3rd in HR at 1.35 per game.
Mets sit 22nd in runs, 26th in AVG (.235).

Best Bet Braves moneyline at -140 is the highest-conviction play given the offense and pitching edges.

Total8.5

NYM Win43%

ATL Win58%

Implied NYM4.0

Implied ATL4.5

Vegas / Market

Total

8.5

Run line

ATL 1.5

NYM ML

+130 43%

ATL ML

-140 58%

NYM4.0

ATL4.5

De-vigged implied team totals sit at Atlanta 4.5 and New York 4.0, consistent with the -140 home price. That number looks fair rather than soft, giving little edge on the moneyline itself. The total of 8.5 aligns closely with the combined 8.5 implied runs.

Pitching Matchup

NYM

Sean Manaea

4-5 · 104.2 IP

ERA

4.13

WHIP

1.32

K/9

9.2

BB/9

3.0

ATL

Grant Holmes

7-4 · 114.0 IP

ERA

3.47

WHIP

1.32

K/9

7.4

BB/9

3.8

Holmes owns the ERA edge at 3.47 versus Manaea's 4.13, though both carry an identical 1.32 WHIP. Manaea misses more bats at 9.16 K/9 but walks fewer than Holmes only slightly, as Holmes runs a shaky 3.79 BB/9. Overall the run-prevention and command edge leans Atlanta.

Offense Comparison

NYMRank of 30ATL

4.2 #22 Runs / G 4.9 #6

0.235 #26 AVG 0.248 #11

1.20 #12 HR / G 1.35 #3

8.53 #12 K / G 8.08 #23

Atlanta's lineup is power-heavy with Acuna, Olson, and Harris and profiles as the premier stack against Manaea's hittable arm. New York's contact-poor group (.235 AVG) offers less stack appeal, leaning on Lindor and the top of the order rather than thump. The handedness and power gap favor the Braves bats tonight.