Diamondbacks vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement today as the Arizona Diamondbacks, hovering just below the .500 mark, snake their way into Petco Park to challenge the San Diego Padres in a clash that’s teeming with postseason implications. With the first pitch set to fly at 04:10 PM EST, both teams are looking to claw their way up the National League standings, hoping to shrink their gaps of 10.5 and 7.5 games respectively. The odds-makers have the Padres favored and an over/under that promises some scoreboard action, reflecting the recent head-to-head where the Diamondbacks outslugged the Padres. With the San Diego skies partly cloudy and the breeze mild, today’s game is perfectly set for some baseball magic. So, as the Padres try to fend off the desert heat and the Diamondbacks aim to rattle their cages, expect every pitch to carry the weight of a postseason dream!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 07, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSE at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 68.0° with 81% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ARI ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+135	-161	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+139	-165	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+4	-4	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

116W-169L

41.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

154W-132L

58.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/19/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	6	Over	+2.0
08/19/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+2.0
05/03/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Push	-0.0
05/03/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Push	-0.0
05/04/24	San Diego Padres SD	13	Over	+6.0
05/04/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Over	+6.0
05/05/24	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+7.0
05/05/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	11	Over	+7.0
06/06/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	4	Under	-1.0
06/06/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-1.0
06/07/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Over	+5.0
06/07/24	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+5.0
06/08/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Over	+6.0
06/08/24	San Diego Padres SD	13	Over	+6.0
06/09/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	9	Over	+4.0
06/09/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+4.0
07/05/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	8	Over	+10.0
07/05/24	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+10.0
07/06/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	7	Over	+4.0
07/06/24	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+4.0
04/03/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	4	Over	+1.0
04/03/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+1.0
04/04/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	8	Over	+6.0
04/04/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+6.0
04/20/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+4.0
04/20/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+4.0
04/21/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Over	+1.0
04/21/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	9	Over	+1.0
04/22/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Push	-0.0
04/22/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Push	-0.0
04/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+4.0
04/23/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+4.0
08/11/23	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+7.0
08/11/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+7.0
08/12/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-5.0
08/12/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-5.0
08/13/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+1.0
08/13/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+1.0
08/17/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-4.0
08/17/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-4.0
08/18/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	0	Under	-4.0
08/18/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-4.0
08/19/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	8	Over	+1.0
08/19/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Over	+1.0

Diamondbacks Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Ryne Nelson

ERA 5.425 | IP 73.0 | 5.0W-6.0L | KO 49.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-02-24	@LAD	5-6L	5.0	6	1	3	Over
06-26-24	vsMIN	8-3L	3.7	10	6	3	Over
06-20-24	@WAS	5-2W	7.0	3	2	2	Under
06-14-24	vsCWS	1-7W	6.0	6	1	8	Under
06-08-24	@SD	1-13L	3.3	6	6	1	Over
06-03-24	vsSF	2-4W	7.7	6	2	1	Under
05-29-24	@TEX	1-6L	6.0	5	4	3	Under
05-22-24	@LAD	6-0W	5.0	5	0	5	Under
05-17-24	vsDET	13-0L	4.0	11	8	4	Over
05-11-24	@BAL	4-5L	4.7	10	3	3	Over

Dylan Cease

ERA 4.235 | IP 102.0 | 7.0W-7.0L | KO 130.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-02-24	@TEX	0-7L	3.7	8	6	5	Under
06-26-24	vsWAS	5-8W	7.0	1	0	9	Over
06-21-24	vsMIL	5-9W	4.7	6	4	10	Over
06-16-24	@NYM	6-11L	3.7	7	7	5	Over
06-10-24	vsOAK	1-6W	6.0	8	1	8	Under
06-05-24	@LAA	2-3L	6.0	4	3	6	Under
05-31-24	@KC	11-8W	5.3	5	3	5	Over
05-25-24	vsNYY	4-1L	6.7	8	4	9	Under
05-20-24	@ATL	6-5W	4.0	9	5	5	Over
05-14-24	vsCOL	6-3L	5.7	5	3	8	Over

Diamondbacks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/08	vs SD	7-5W	9	1	Over
07/07	vs SD	8-10L	12	3	Over
07/06	vs LAD	9-3W	12	3	Over
07/05	vs LAD	12-4W	16	4	Over
07/04	vs LAD	5-6L	10	2	Over
07/02	@ OAK	5-1W	8	0	Under
07/01	@ OAK	3-0W	12	0	Under
06/30	@ OAK	4-9L	7	1	Over
06/29	@ MIN	6-13L	9	1	Over
06/28	@ MIN	3-8L	4	0	Over
06/27	@ MIN	5-4W	8	1	Over
06/25	vs PHI	1-4L	6	0	Under
06/24	vs PHI	1-12L	2	0	Over
06/23	vs PHI	5-4W	9	3	Over
06/22	vs WAS	5-2W	13	1	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/08	@ ARI	5-7L	14	0	Over
07/07	@ ARI	10-8W	14	3	Over
07/06	vs TEX	3-1W	9	1	Under
07/05	vs TEX	6-4W	13	2	Over
07/04	vs TEX	0-7L	2	0	Under
07/02	vs BOS	1-4L	8	0	Under
07/01	vs BOS	11-1W	16	4	Over
06/30	vs BOS	9-2W	12	2	Over
06/28	@ WAS	8-5W	9	2	Over
06/27	@ WAS	9-7W	9	2	Over
06/26	@ WAS	7-6W	8	0	Over
06/25	@ MIL	2-6L	8	0	Under
06/24	@ MIL	6-4W	10	3	Over
06/23	@ MIL	9-5W	15	2	Over
06/22	@ MIL	7-6W	10	4	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Arizona Diamondbacks	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Corbin Carroll	9.0	11.7	0.210	0.310	0.337	0.647	0.267	0.006
#2 Ketel Marte	8.9	11.7	0.287	0.509	0.404	0.913	0.367	0.051
#3 Joc Pederson	7.6	10.1	0.284	0.521	0.447	0.967	0.383	0.060
#4 Christian Walker	7.4	9.9	0.268	0.516	0.386	0.903	0.363	0.065
#5 Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	6.3	8.2	0.269	0.436	0.316	0.752	0.312	0.039
#6 Gabriel Moreno	5.4	7.2	0.250	0.380	0.375	0.755	0.307	0.019
#7 Eugenio Suarez	6.2	8.3	0.199	0.316	0.333	0.649	0.269	0.021
#8 Alek Thomas	5.1	7.0	0.192	0.462	0.231	0.692	0.289	0.077
#9 Geraldo Perdomo	5.7	7.2	0.269	0.333	0.344	0.677	0.281	0.000

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	9.0	11.1	0.315	0.384	0.368	0.752	0.311	0.005
#2 Jurickson Profar	8.3	11.0	0.314	0.492	0.469	0.961	0.380	0.042
#3 Jake Cronenworth	8.2	10.9	0.257	0.428	0.361	0.789	0.322	0.037
#4 Manny Machado	8.6	11.2	0.270	0.417	0.339	0.755	0.311	0.034
#5 Donovan Solano	7.0	9.0	0.291	0.411	0.391	0.801	0.327	0.020
#6 Jackson Merrill	8.7	11.2	0.289	0.455	0.342	0.797	0.328	0.040
#7 David Peralta	6.7	8.8	0.243	0.329	0.357	0.686	0.284	0.014
#8 Ha-Seong Kim	6.7	8.8	0.233	0.393	0.390	0.783	0.315	0.033
#9 Luis Campusano	6.6	8.7	0.230	0.362	0.301	0.663	0.276	0.026

Diamondbacks Notable Injuries

Jordan Montgomery OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/29/24. Impact: 4.0

Padres Notable Injuries

Fernando Tatis Jr. OUT (OF): Avg: 0.277 SLG:0.47 Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 2.8
Tom Cosgrove OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: -0.3