Braves vs Diamondbacks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the Atlanta Braves, boasting a solid 51-39 record, swoop into Chase Field to battle the Arizona Diamondbacks, who are sitting at a 45-47 this season. Tonight’s clash at 09:40 PM EST is not just about the win; it’s a strategic play in the National League rankings with the Braves chasing greatness 7.0 games back and the Diamondbacks hoping to climb out of a 10.0 game deficit. With the stakes mirrored in the betting world (Braves at -135 and an over/under at 9), and the Diamondbacks looking to avenge their recent 2-6 loss against these very Braves, expect every pitch to crackle with intensity. And while the weather gods promise a partly cloudy evening with a mild breeze, the real storm will be the clash on the diamond. So, as the temperature heats up in Arizona, let’s see if the Diamondbacks can strike back or if the Braves will continue to chop their way through the competition.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 10, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Chase Field, Arizona

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the N at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 96.1° with 21% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	ARI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-135	+113	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-130	+108	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+5	-5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

163W-118L

56.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

136W-148L

43.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/05/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+2.0
04/05/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.0
04/06/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	8	Over	+8.0
04/06/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+8.0
04/07/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	2	Under	-2.0
04/07/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-2.0
07/08/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Push	-0.0
07/08/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	4	Push	-0.0
07/09/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-1.0
07/09/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	2	Under	-1.0
06/02/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-4.0
06/02/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-4.0
06/03/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-2.0
06/03/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	2	Under	-2.0
06/04/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+4.0
06/04/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+4.0
07/18/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	16	Over	+20.0
07/18/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	13	Over	+20.0
07/19/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Under	-1.0
07/19/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-1.0
07/20/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+3.0
07/20/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+3.0

Braves Vs Over/Under

Diamondbacks Vs Over/Under

Charlie Morton

ERA 3.971 | IP 90.7 | 5.0W-5.0L | KO 92.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-04-24	vsSF	4-2L	5.3	5	4	5	Under
06-28-24	vsPIT	1-6W	6.3	3	0	7	Under
06-22-24	@NYY	3-8L	5.7	5	5	4	Over
06-15-24	vsTB	2-9W	6.0	3	1	8	Over
06-08-24	@WAS	3-7L	5.0	7	5	3	Over
06-02-24	vsOAK	1-3W	6.0	1	0	6	Under
05-27-24	vsWAS	8-4L	5.7	12	8	7	Over
05-21-24	@CHC	3-4L	5.0	4	2	8	Under
05-15-24	vsCHC	7-1L	3.0	5	4	4	Under
05-10-24	@NYM	4-2W	7.0	3	1	7	Under

Slade Cecconi

ERA 6.097 | IP 62.0 | 2.0W-6.0L | KO 50.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-05-24	@SD	8-10L	4.7	8	5	2	Over
06-28-24	vsOAK	9-4L	4.0	5	3	7	Over
06-23-24	@PHI	1-4L	3.0	5	1	2	Under
06-18-24	@WAS	5-0W	6.0	3	0	6	Under
06-12-24	vsLAA	8-3L	3.0	10	7	4	Over
06-06-24	@SD	4-3W	4.3	7	3	3	Under
06-01-24	@NYM	10-5W	4.7	5	1	4	Over
05-20-24	@LAD	4-6L	5.0	6	6	2	Over
05-14-24	vsCIN	6-2L	5.7	7	6	3	Under
05-09-24	@CIN	5-4W	5.3	3	1	2	Push

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/11	vs ARI	6-2W	11	1	Under
07/10	vs ARI	5-4W	8	2	Push
07/09	@ PHI	6-0W	9	4	Under
07/08	@ PHI	5-1W	6	2	Under
07/07	@ PHI	6-8L	8	3	Over
07/06	@ SF	2-4L	8	0	Under
07/05	@ SF	3-1W	10	0	Under
07/04	@ SF	3-5L	6	2	Under
07/02	@ PIT	2-4L	6	0	Under
07/01	@ PIT	2-1W	7	1	Under
06/30	@ PIT	6-1W	10	1	Under
06/29	vs CWS	0-1L	3	0	Under
06/28	vs STL	1-4L	6	0	Under
06/28	vs STL	6-2W	9	1	Under
06/26	vs STL	3-4L	6	1	Under

Diamondbacks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/11	@ ATL	2-6L	6	0	Under
07/10	@ ATL	4-5L	4	0	Push
07/09	vs SD	9-1W	12	2	Over
07/08	vs SD	7-5W	9	1	Over
07/07	vs SD	8-10L	12	3	Over
07/06	vs LAD	9-3W	12	3	Over
07/05	vs LAD	12-4W	16	4	Over
07/04	vs LAD	5-6L	10	2	Over
07/02	@ OAK	5-1W	8	0	Under
07/01	@ OAK	3-0W	12	0	Under
06/30	@ OAK	4-9L	7	1	Over
06/29	@ MIN	6-13L	9	1	Over
06/28	@ MIN	3-8L	4	0	Over
06/27	@ MIN	5-4W	8	1	Push
06/25	vs PHI	1-4L	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarred Kelenic	9.3	11.9	0.278	0.455	0.345	0.800	0.329	0.039
#2 Ozzie Albies	10.1	13.2	0.260	0.411	0.341	0.752	0.310	0.024
#3 Austin Riley	8.8	11.6	0.253	0.449	0.366	0.815	0.331	0.041
#4 Matt Olson	8.6	11.4	0.241	0.428	0.364	0.792	0.322	0.039
#5 Marcell Ozuna	8.1	10.8	0.293	0.560	0.422	0.982	0.391	0.069
#6 Adam Duvall	7.8	10.4	0.191	0.336	0.286	0.623	0.260	0.036
#7 Eddie Rosario	6.4	8.5	0.181	0.323	0.239	0.562	0.236	0.031
#8 Sean Murphy	6.7	8.7	0.228	0.406	0.327	0.733	0.302	0.050
#9 Orlando Arcia	5.5	7.1	0.208	0.327	0.261	0.587	0.247	0.020

Arizona Diamondbacks	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Corbin Carroll	9.0	11.7	0.210	0.317	0.334	0.651	0.269	0.009
#2 Ketel Marte	8.7	11.5	0.284	0.500	0.401	0.901	0.362	0.050
#3 Joc Pederson	7.4	9.9	0.276	0.507	0.443	0.950	0.376	0.059
#4 Christian Walker	8.1	10.9	0.265	0.507	0.382	0.889	0.358	0.063
#5 Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	7.2	9.4	0.269	0.433	0.319	0.751	0.311	0.038
#6 Gabriel Moreno	6.3	8.4	0.251	0.379	0.379	0.758	0.308	0.018
#7 Eugenio Suarez	5.7	7.6	0.201	0.327	0.330	0.657	0.272	0.023
#8 Alek Thomas	5.2	7.1	0.189	0.405	0.216	0.622	0.261	0.054
#9 Geraldo Perdomo	5.6	7.1	0.273	0.333	0.354	0.687	0.285	0.000

Braves Notable Injuries

Michael Harris II OUT (OF): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.358 Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 2.0
Ray Kerr OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/17/24. Impact: 1.9
Ramon Laureano OUT (OF): Avg: 0.181 SLG:0.305 Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 2.1
Brian Anderson OUT (OF): Avg: 0.0 SLG:0.0 Last game: 06/14/24. Impact: 1.1
Hurston Waldrep OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: -3.2