Braves vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some Major League excitement as the Atlanta Braves, boasting a solid 34 wins, gear up to storm Fenway Park, the legendary home of the Boston Red Sox, who are sitting at a precarious 30-31. The clock’s set for a 01:35 PM EST showdown and you won’t want to miss a pitch! With the Braves swinging to close a 7-game gap in the National League and the Red Sox looking to claw back from 12.5 games behind in the American, the stakes are as high as the summer temps. Speaking of which, it’s a perfect sunny day for baseball in Boston, with a gentle breeze setting the stage. Today’s betting lines are tighter than a new pair of cleats, setting an over/under that’s got fans buzzing. After yesterday’s clash where Atlanta came out on top, Boston’s looking for redemption. So, let’s see if the Red Sox can cook up a win at home or if the Braves will continue to chop down their competition!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 05, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Sunny with winds from the WSW at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 71.1° with 61% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-109	-111	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-111	-109	10.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-2	+2	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

156W-108L

52.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

140W-129L

47.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/07/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-3.5
05/07/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.5
05/08/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-4.5
05/08/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-4.5
06/04/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+1.5
06/04/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+1.5
05/09/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+2.5
05/09/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+2.5
05/10/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-2.5
05/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-2.5
07/25/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-1.5
07/25/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Under	-1.5
07/26/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-1.5
07/26/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-1.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

S. Schwellenbach

ERA 5.4 | IP 5.0 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 5.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-29-24	vsWAS	7-2L	5.0	5	3	5	Under

Nick Pivetta

ERA 4.075 | IP 35.3 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 42.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-30-24	vsDET	5-0L	5.3	3	2	9	Under
05-25-24	vsMIL	6-3L	3.3	7	5	3	Under
05-19-24	@STL	11-3W	6.0	1	1	8	Over
05-14-24	vsTB	4-5W	5.7	4	2	8	Under
05-08-24	@ATL	0-5L	4.0	7	5	1	Under
04-03-24	@OAK	1-0W	5.0	5	0	3	Under
03-29-24	@SEA	0-1L	6.0	3	1	10	Under
09-29-23	@BAL	3-0W	7.0	2	0	10	Under
09-23-23	vsCWS	1-0L	7.0	3	0	7	Under
09-17-23	@TOR	2-3L	6.3	4	2	6	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/06	vs BOS	8-3W	8	2	Over
06/04	@ OAK	3-1W	7	0	Under
06/03	@ OAK	9-11L	13	2	Over
06/02	@ OAK	4-2W	6	0	Under
06/01	@ WAS	1-3L	5	0	Under
05/31	@ WAS	2-7L	8	0	Under
05/30	@ WAS	2-0W	5	1	Under
05/29	@ WAS	4-8L	8	1	Over
05/28	vs PIT	8-1W	14	2	Under
05/27	vs PIT	1-4L	9	0	Under
05/26	vs PIT	5-11L	7	1	Over
05/25	vs CHC	3-0W	6	1	Under
05/24	vs CHC	9-1W	9	3	Push
05/23	vs CHC	3-4L	5	2	Under
05/22	@ SD	5-6L	12	2	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/06	@ ATL	3-8L	5	1	Over
06/04	@ DET	4-8L	8	1	Over
06/03	@ DET	6-3W	10	2	Under
06/02	@ DET	7-3W	12	2	Push
06/01	@ DET	0-5L	2	0	Under
05/31	vs BAL	1-6L	6	0	Under
05/30	vs BAL	8-3W	11	2	Over
05/29	vs BAL	3-11L	8	0	Over
05/28	@ MIL	2-1W	9	0	Under
05/27	@ MIL	3-6L	5	0	Under
05/26	@ MIL	2-7L	9	1	Under
05/24	vs TB	8-5W	8	1	Over
05/23	vs TB	5-2W	7	2	Under
05/22	vs TB	5-0W	7	2	Under
05/21	vs STL	11-3W	14	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Michael Harris II	11.6	14.6	0.259	0.373	32.0%	69.3%	2.2%
#2 Austin Riley	10.2	13.5	0.232	0.362	33.3%	69.5%	1.7%
#3 Marcell Ozuna	9.3	12.5	0.313	0.607	44.4%	105.1%	7.9%
#4 Matt Olson	9.7	12.9	0.239	0.441	37.1%	81.2%	4.2%
#5 Ozzie Albies	9.3	12.2	0.275	0.41	37.5%	78.5%	2.0%
#6 Adam Duvall	8.4	11.3	0.196	0.366	32.1%	68.8%	4.5%
#7 Jarred Kelenic	8.1	10.3	0.277	0.418	34.0%	75.9%	2.1%
#8 Travis d’Arnaud	6.6	8.9	0.252	0.466	36.6%	83.2%	3.8%
#9 Orlando Arcia	6.7	8.6	0.235	0.385	27.2%	65.7%	2.8%

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	8.1	10.4	0.258	0.427	35.9%	78.6%	1.2%
#2 Dominic Smith	7.3	9.8	0.198	0.308	31.9%	62.6%	2.2%
#3 Tyler O’Neill	8.8	11.7	0.236	0.5	39.9%	89.9%	7.4%
#4 Rafael Devers	8.8	11.6	0.282	0.543	43.1%	97.3%	5.9%
#5 Enmanuel Valdez	6.3	8.5	0.188	0.356	22.8%	58.4%	4.0%
#6 Garrett Cooper	7.5	9.7	0.2	0.3	29.0%	59.0%	1.0%
#7 Reese McGuire	5.7	7.4	0.226	0.333	33.3%	66.7%	3.2%
#8 Ceddanne Rafaela	6.3	8.4	0.206	0.373	25.0%	62.3%	3.4%
#9 David Hamilton	5.8	7.3	0.271	0.396	36.5%	76.0%	2.1%

Braves Notable Injuries

AJ Smith-Shawver OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/25/24. Impact: 3.9
Ronald Acuna Jr. OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.376 Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 3.2
A.J. Minter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 0.8

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Wilyer Abreu OUT (OF): Avg: 0.272 SLG:0.485 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 2.7
Romy Gonzalez OUT (SS): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.343 Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 1.5
Chris Martin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 1.3
Vaughn Grissom OUT (2B): Avg: 0.148 SLG:0.16 Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 1.1