Braves vs Cubs Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some high-stakes diamond drama as the Atlanta Braves, boasting a solid 27W-17L record, gear up to challenge the Chicago Cubs at the iconic Wrigley Field tonight at 07:40 PM EST. It’s a clash of National League titans with the Braves chasing glory 5.0 games back and the Cubs hot on their heels just 1.5 games behind in the standings. With the betting lines tilting slightly in favor of the Braves at -130 and an over/under that promises a scoreboard workout at 10.0, this matchup is buzzing! Both teams are shaking off recent stumbles, the Cubs with a narrow 2-3 loss to Pittsburgh and the Braves falling 5-6 against San Diego. Plus, with the weather playing nice—partly cloudy skies, a gentle breeze, and perfect game-time temps—there’s nothing but green lights. Tonight, let’s see if the Braves can ‘chop’ down the competition or if the Cubs will ‘bear’ down and claw their way to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 21, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSE at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 77.0° with 66% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-130	+108	10.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-120	+100	11.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+10	-8	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

152W-105L

54.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

131W-128L

45.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/13/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-8.0
05/13/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-8.0
05/14/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-3.0
05/14/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-3.0
05/15/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Under	-2.0
05/15/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-2.0
08/04/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Under	-2.0
08/04/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-2.0
08/05/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+4.0
08/05/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Over	+4.0
08/06/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Push	-0.0
08/06/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Push	-0.0
09/26/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+3.0
09/26/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+3.0
09/27/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+1.0
09/27/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+1.0
09/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-2.0
09/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-2.0

Braves Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Charlie Morton

ERA 3.547 | IP 45.7 | 3.0W-1.0L | KO 44.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-15-24	vsCHC	7-1L	3.0	5	4	4	Under
05-10-24	@NYM	4-2W	7.0	3	1	7	Under
05-03-24	@LAD	3-4L	6.0	5	2	5	Under
04-27-24	vsCLE	4-2L	6.7	1	0	6	Under
04-20-24	vsTEX	2-5W	6.0	4	2	4	Under
04-14-24	@MIA	9-7W	5.7	7	6	8	Over
04-08-24	vsNYM	8-7L	5.7	5	4	4	Over
04-01-24	@CWS	9-0W	5.7	3	0	6	Under
09-22-23	@WAS	9-6W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-17-23	@MIA	2-16L	4.7	6	6	5	Over

Javier Assad

ERA 1.49 | IP 48.3 | 4.0W-0.0L | KO 42.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-15-24	@ATL	7-1W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
05-10-24	@PIT	7-2W	4.3	4	2	4	Under
05-05-24	vsMIL	0-5W	6.0	4	0	4	Under
04-30-24	@NYM	2-4L	5.0	5	1	1	Under
04-25-24	vsHOU	1-3W	5.7	4	1	5	Under
04-20-24	vsMIA	3-2L	4.7	3	1	3	Under
04-14-24	@SEA	3-2W	5.7	4	2	6	Under
04-08-24	@SD	8-9L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
04-02-24	vsCOL	2-12W	6.0	4	0	5	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	1.7	2	0	4	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/22	@ SD	5-6L	12	2	Push
05/22	@ SD	3-0W	11	1	Under
05/21	@ SD	1-9L	4	0	Under
05/19	@ SD	1-3L	7	0	Under
05/17	@ CHC	1-7L	8	0	Under
05/16	@ CHC	7-0W	9	2	Under
05/15	@ CHC	2-0W	10	0	Under
05/14	vs NYM	3-4L	6	1	Under
05/13	vs NYM	4-1W	7	1	Under
05/12	vs NYM	4-2W	7	3	Under
05/10	@ BOS	5-0W	9	3	Under
05/09	@ BOS	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/07	vs LAD	1-5L	5	1	Under
05/06	vs LAD	2-11L	6	0	Over
05/05	vs LAD	3-4L	6	2	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/21	@ PIT	2-3L	2	0	Under
05/20	@ PIT	1-0W	5	0	Under
05/19	@ PIT	3-9L	4	1	Over
05/18	@ PIT	4-5L	7	1	Under
05/17	vs ATL	7-1W	13	2	Under
05/16	vs ATL	0-7L	3	0	Under
05/15	vs ATL	0-2L	5	0	Under
05/14	vs PIT	5-4W	9	2	Under
05/13	vs PIT	9-10L	10	1	Over
05/12	vs PIT	7-2W	14	1	Under
05/10	@ SD	0-3L	1	0	Under
05/09	@ SD	3-2W	10	2	Under
05/08	@ SD	3-6L	7	2	Under
05/07	@ MIL	5-0W	7	1	Under
05/06	@ MIL	6-5W	8	3	Push

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	11.5	14.9	0.263	0.371	43.1%	80.2%	1.8%
#2 Ozzie Albies	9.5	12.4	0.275	0.403	36.2%	76.5%	2.0%
#3 Marcell Ozuna	10.3	13.8	0.327	0.642	45.7%	109.9%	8.6%
#4 Matt Olson	11.0	14.8	0.234	0.418	39.2%	81.0%	3.8%
#5 Travis d’Arnaud	8.1	10.8	0.274	0.509	39.6%	90.6%	4.7%
#6 Michael Harris II	8.8	11.1	0.251	0.366	30.9%	67.4%	2.3%
#7 Orlando Arcia	7.0	9.0	0.241	0.389	28.4%	67.3%	2.5%
#8 Jarred Kelenic	7.7	9.6	0.257	0.356	31.7%	67.3%	2.0%
#9 Zack Short	5.1	6.9	0.158	0.211	36.8%	57.9%	0.0%

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Mike Tauchman	8.4	11.1	0.257	0.417	44.4%	86.1%	2.8%
#2 Seiya Suzuki	8.7	11.7	0.267	0.456	38.9%	84.4%	4.4%
#3 Cody Bellinger	8.9	11.7	0.263	0.489	38.3%	87.2%	5.3%
#4 Christopher Morel	8.7	11.7	0.216	0.413	35.3%	76.6%	5.4%
#5 Ian Happ	8.5	11.3	0.201	0.296	37.1%	66.7%	1.3%
#6 Dansby Swanson	8.3	10.9	0.209	0.341	31.8%	65.9%	3.1%
#7 Michael Busch	8.1	10.8	0.245	0.456	38.1%	83.7%	4.8%
#9 Miguel Amaya	5.9	7.8	0.181	0.287	26.6%	55.3%	2.1%