Braves vs Reds Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some major league excitement as the Atlanta Braves bring their A-game to the Great American Ball Park, squaring off against the Cincinnati Reds in a showdown that’s sure to light up the scoreboard. With the first pitch at 06:40 PM EST, the stakes are high as the Braves, trailing by 9 games in the National League, look to claw back against the Reds, who are 14.5 games adrift themselves. Both teams are itching to bounce back from tough losses, under a perfect sky in Cincinnati where the sun will be shining and the breeze will be just a whisper. Odds makers are expecting a score fest with an over/under of 9, and the lines are buzzing with the Braves as slight favorites. As both teams look to outpitch, outhit, and outrun each other, it’s safe to say that tonight’s game could turn into a real ‘Brave’ battle at the ‘Red’ line!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 17, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ENE at 3.1 mph. Temperature is at 78.1° with 36% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-120	+100	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-136	+114	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-16	+14	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

179W-132L

57.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

148W-165L

42.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/22/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-4.0
07/22/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-4.0
09/09/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-8.0
09/09/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	0	Under	-8.0
07/24/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+4.0
07/24/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+4.0
04/10/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Push	-0.0
04/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Push	-0.0
04/11/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+4.0
04/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+4.0
04/12/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Push	-0.0
04/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Push	-0.0
06/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+12.0
06/23/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	11	Over	+12.0
06/24/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+4.0
06/24/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+4.0
06/25/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+4.0
06/25/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+4.0

Braves Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Grant Holmes

ERA 3.787 | IP 54.7 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 54.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-14-24	vsLAD	1-10W	1.0	1	0	0	Over
09-09-24	vsCIN	1-0L	1.3	2	0	3	Under
09-07-24	vsTOR	9-5L	0.7	5	3	0	Over
09-01-24	@PHI	2-3L	0.0	1	0	0	Under
08-29-24	@PHI	4-5L	1.7	2	1	1	Over
08-26-24	@MIN	10-6W	2.0	3	1	1	Over
08-24-24	vsWAS	2-4W	1.0	2	0	0	Under
08-20-24	vsPHI	1-3W	2.0	0	0	2	Under
08-14-24	@SF	13-2W	7.0	8	2	6	Over
08-09-24	@COL	5-6L	5.0	6	5	8	Over

Brandon Williamson

ERA 2.769 | IP 13.0 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 11.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-11-24	@STL	1-2L	5.0	3	1	5	Under
09-06-24	@NYM	4-6L	4.7	1	1	1	Over
09-01-24	vsMIL	3-4W	3.3	4	2	5	Under
09-29-23	@STL	19-2W	6.0	5	2	2	Over
09-24-23	vsPIT	2-4W	4.3	4	2	3	Under
09-17-23	@NYM	4-8L	4.0	6	3	2	Over
09-12-23	@DET	6-5W	4.0	7	5	4	Over
08-29-23	@SF	1-6L	6.0	6	5	5	Under
08-24-23	@ARI	2-3L	6.0	6	0	6	Under
08-19-23	vsTOR	4-3L	5.7	9	4	6	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/18	@ LAD	0-9L	4	0	Over
09/17	@ LAD	2-9L	4	0	Over
09/16	@ LAD	10-1W	10	0	Over
09/15	@ LAD	6-2W	10	2	Under
09/13	vs WAS	1-5L	6	0	Under
09/12	vs WAS	12-0W	15	4	Over
09/11	@ CIN	0-1L	2	0	Under
09/10	@ TOR	4-3W	8	1	Under
09/09	@ TOR	5-9L	10	0	Over
09/08	@ TOR	3-1W	7	0	Under
09/07	@ COL	1-3L	5	0	Under
09/06	@ COL	5-2W	7	1	Under
09/05	@ COL	3-0W	7	0	Under
09/03	vs PHI	2-3L	6	1	Under
09/02	vs PHI	0-3L	6	0	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/17	vs MIN	2-9L	7	0	Over
09/16	vs MIN	11-1W	15	2	Over
09/15	vs MIN	8-4W	9	2	Over
09/14	vs STL	1-6L	4	0	Under
09/13	vs STL	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/12	vs STL	3-0W	7	0	Under
09/11	vs ATL	1-0W	8	0	Under
09/10	vs NYM	3-1W	7	0	Under
09/09	vs NYM	0-4L	6	0	Under
09/08	vs NYM	4-6L	3	2	Over
09/07	@ HOU	1-0W	6	1	Under
09/06	@ HOU	12-5W	14	1	Over
09/04	@ HOU	5-3W	13	0	Under
09/03	@ MIL	4-3W	10	1	Under
09/02	@ MIL	4-5L	8	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Michael Harris II	9.6	12.2	0.246	0.376	0.306	0.681	0.283	0.028
#2 Jorge Soler	9.2	12.3	0.241	0.433	0.391	0.823	0.331	0.040
#3 Marcell Ozuna	10.2	13.4	0.302	0.552	0.428	0.980	0.390	0.067
#4 Matt Olson	9.4	12.6	0.240	0.446	0.367	0.813	0.330	0.045
#5 Travis d’Arnaud	9.2	12.2	0.237	0.424	0.331	0.755	0.311	0.043
#6 Ramon Laureano	7.8	10.0	0.250	0.415	0.335	0.750	0.309	0.034
#7 Orlando Arcia	6.4	8.3	0.218	0.358	0.299	0.657	0.273	0.032
#8 Gio Urshela	5.8	7.4	0.238	0.329	0.298	0.627	0.262	0.016
#9 Whit Merrifield	5.7	7.3	0.220	0.316	0.351	0.667	0.274	0.014

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	8.2	10.9	0.245	0.388	0.414	0.803	0.323	0.028
#2 Elly De La Cruz	10.7	13.9	0.257	0.465	0.386	0.850	0.342	0.040
#3 Tyler Stephenson	7.5	9.9	0.253	0.446	0.370	0.816	0.332	0.043
#4 Spencer Steer	8.6	11.4	0.235	0.416	0.375	0.791	0.320	0.035
#5 TJ Friedl	7.4	9.9	0.230	0.404	0.347	0.751	0.308	0.049
#6 Ty France	7.0	9.1	0.243	0.377	0.355	0.732	0.301	0.027
#7 Santiago Espinal	5.9	7.6	0.258	0.377	0.328	0.706	0.292	0.028
#8 Jake Fraley	7.0	8.8	0.275	0.388	0.356	0.744	0.306	0.016
#9 Noelvi Marte	6.1	7.8	0.198	0.299	0.254	0.553	0.234	0.020

Braves Notable Injuries

Reynaldo Lopez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/12/24. Impact: 8.1
Austin Riley OUT (3B): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.464 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.8
Whit Merrifield OUT (2B): Avg: 0.22 SLG:0.316 Last game: 09/18/24. Impact: 1.9

Reds Notable Injuries

Nick Lodolo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 4.8
Andrew Abbott OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 5.7
Jeimer Candelario OUT (1B): Avg: 0.227 SLG:0.433 Last game: 08/21/24. Impact: 2.2
Stuart Fairchild OUT (OF): Avg: 0.215 SLG:0.368 Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.8
Sam Moll OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/09/24. Impact: 0.4