Braves vs Astros Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 15th 2024

Get ready to light up the scoreboard tonight as the sizzling Atlanta Braves, cruising with a stellar 9-5 record, swoop into Minute Maid Park to clash with the Houston Astros, who are trying to find their groove at 6-11. It’s all eyes on the diamond with a first pitch at 08:10 PM EST, where both teams are coming off fiery wins and looking to keep the momentum. With the betting lines tight and the over/under promising a slugfest at 10 runs, this matchup is shaping up to be as unpredictable as the misty, breezy evening forecasted in Houston. Will the Braves continue their march or will the Astros launch a comeback? Either way, tonight’s game is poised to blast off faster than a rocket in Braves territory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 15, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston

Weather: Mist with winds from the SE at 16.1 mph. Temperature is at 73.4° with 83% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-116	-104	10.0	-0.5/0.5
Recent	-115	-105	10.0	-0.5/0.5
Difference	+1	-1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

146W-99L

53.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

146W-102L

46.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/21/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Push	-0.0
04/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Push	-0.0
04/22/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Under	-1.0
04/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-1.0
04/23/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Under	-3.0
04/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-3.0

Braves Vs Over/Under

Astros Vs Over/Under

Darius Vines

ERA 3.984 | IP 20.3 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 14.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	@MIA	9-7W	5.7	7	6	8	Over
04-08-24	vsNYM	8-7L	5.7	5	4	4	Over
04-01-24	@CWS	9-0W	5.7	3	0	6	Under
09-22-23	@WAS	9-6W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-17-23	@MIA	2-16L	4.7	6	6	5	Over
09-11-23	@PHI	10-8W	6.0	6	4	9	Over
09-03-23	@LAD	1-3L	4.0	6	2	3	Under
08-29-23	@COL	3-1W	6.0	3	1	8	Under
08-23-23	vsNYM	0-7W	7.0	2	0	11	Under
08-16-23	vsNYY	0-2W	6.0	4	0	10	Under
09-27-23	vsCHC	5-6W	6.0	4	3	5	Over
09-22-23	@WAS	9-6W	3.3	3	3	1	Over
09-09-23	vsPIT	8-4L	3.0	2	1	1	Over
09-06-23	vsSTL	11-6L	2.0	2	1	2	Over
08-30-23	@COL	7-3W	6.0	4	2	5	Push

Luis Garcia

ERA 4.0 | IP 27.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 31.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	vsTEX	5-8W	7.0	5	2	5	Over
04-09-24	@KC	3-4L	5.3	5	3	4	Under
04-03-24	vsTOR	0-8W	5.0	1	0	3	Under
03-29-24	vsNYY	7-1L	6.0	4	0	6	Under
10-01-23	@ARI	8-1W	6.0	3	0	4	Under
09-26-23	@SEA	2-6L	4.7	3	4	6	Under
09-20-23	vsBAL	1-2W	5.0	3	1	11	Under
09-15-23	@KC	2-4L	5.0	5	3	6	Under
09-09-23	vsSD	5-7W	4.0	4	4	5	Over
09-03-23	vsNYY	6-1L	6.0	4	3	8	Under
09-10-23	@LAD	7-3L	0.0	0	0	0	Push
05-01-23	vsSF	3-7W	0.0	1	0	0	Push
04-25-23	@TB	5-0W	6.0	3	0	7	Under
04-19-23	vsTOR	1-8W	7.0	2	0	9	Under
04-14-23	vsTEX	6-2L	5.0	6	5	7	Under
04-08-23	@MIN	6-9L	4.0	6	4	4	Over
04-02-23	vsCWS	6-3L	5.0	7	3	4	Under
10-02-22	vsTB	6-3L	6.0	3	1	4	Under
09-27-22	vsARI	6-3L	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-19-22	vsTB	6-3L	5.0	2	0	4	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	vs MIA	9-7W	12	2	Over
04/15	vs MIA	1-5L	6	0	Under
04/14	vs MIA	8-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	@ NYM	4-16L	10	0	Over
04/11	@ NYM	6-5W	11	0	Over
04/10	@ NYM	7-8L	12	1	Over
04/09	@ ARI	5-2W	7	3	Under
04/08	@ ARI	9-8W	15	1	Over
04/07	@ ARI	6-5W	12	1	Over
04/04	vs CWS	2-3L	5	2	Under
04/03	vs CWS	9-0W	11	1	Under
04/02	vs PHI	4-5L	7	1	Under
04/01	vs PHI	12-4W	19	4	Over
03/31	vs PHI	9-3W	13	0	Over
10/03	@ WAS	9-10L	11	2	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	@ TEX	8-5W	10	2	Over
04/15	@ TEX	9-2W	14	0	Over
04/14	@ TEX	8-12L	11	2	Over
04/13	vs KC	3-13L	11	1	Over
04/12	vs KC	2-11L	9	0	Over
04/11	vs KC	3-3L	14	0	Under
04/10	vs TEX	10-5W	11	2	Over
04/09	vs TEX	3-1W	4	1	Under
04/08	vs TEX	2-7L	8	0	Under
04/07	vs TEX	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/05	@ TOR	8-0W	15	4	Under
04/04	@ TOR	1-2L	8	1	Under
04/03	@ TOR	10-0W	12	5	Push
04/02	@ NYY	3-4L	12	1	Under
04/01	@ NYY	3-5L	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	11.0	14.3	0.34	0.599	47.9%	107.8%	6.4%
#2 Ozzie Albies	9.4	12.4	0.28	0.515	37.2%	88.7%	5.6%
#3 Austin Riley	9.8	13.0	0.28	0.517	38.8%	90.5%	5.9%
#4 Matt Olson	8.6	11.6	0.283	0.604	46.2%	106.6%	8.9%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	8.0	10.7	0.276	0.565	39.0%	95.4%	7.6%
#6 Adam Duvall	7.3	9.7	0.245	0.522	33.0%	85.2%	6.3%
#7 Michael Harris II	7.9	10.1	0.293	0.478	35.3%	83.1%	3.6%
#8 Orlando Arcia	6.7	8.8	0.267	0.424	35.3%	77.7%	3.5%
#8 Travis d’Arnaud	6.9	9.2	0.224	0.388	31.6%	70.3%	3.8%
#9 Jarred Kelenic	7.0	9.1	0.253	0.418	36.7%	78.5%	3.0%
#9 Chadwick Tromp	5.5	7.2	0.125	0.188	12.5%	31.2%	0.0%

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	9.5	12.4	0.311	0.522	44.7%	96.9%	4.7%
#2 Yordan Alvarez	9.4	12.7	0.29	0.578	49.0%	106.8%	7.6%
#3 Kyle Tucker	8.6	11.4	0.285	0.52	42.9%	94.9%	5.1%
#4 Alex Bregman	7.9	10.6	0.264	0.443	42.6%	86.9%	4.0%
#5 Yainer Diaz	7.6	10.0	0.284	0.543	33.0%	87.2%	6.5%
#6 Chas McCormick	7.0	9.2	0.272	0.489	39.7%	88.5%	5.5%
#6 Jon Singleton	4.9	6.7	0.165	0.264	30.8%	57.1%	2.2%
#7 Jeremy Pena	6.4	8.2	0.268	0.387	35.9%	74.6%	1.7%
#8 Mauricio Dubon	6.1	7.8	0.281	0.415	32.8%	74.3%	2.2%
#8 Luis Garcia	4.1	6.4	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#9 Jake Meyers	5.6	7.3	0.232	0.395	33.3%	72.9%	3.3%