Braves vs Astros Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 16th 2024

Get ready to slide into the excitement as the red-hot Atlanta Braves, boasting a stellar 10W-5L record, gear up to clash with the struggling Houston Astros at the iconic Minute Maid Park tonight at 08:10 PM EST. The Braves are sitting pretty at the top of the National League, while the Astros, with a 6W-12L scorecard, are looking to claw back from 3.5 games down in the American League. With the betting scene buzzing, the over/under tantalizingly set at 10.0, and the odds favoring the Braves at -120, all eyes are on this high-stakes showdown. Adding a dash of drama is the weather—misty with a brisk SE wind at 15 mph and a sticky 89% humidity setting the stage. After yesterday’s face-off where the Braves took the Astros down 6-1, tonight’s game promises another thrilling chapter in this inter-conference saga. So, as the Braves aim to chop down their competition and the Astros hope to launch a comeback, expect a night where bats will swing and stars will align!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 16, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston

Weather: Mist with winds from the SE at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 75.2° with 89% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-120	+100	10.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-115	-105	9.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+5	-205	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

147W-99L

53.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

146W-103L

46.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-3.0
04/15/24	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-3.0
04/21/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Push	-0.0
04/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Push	-0.0
04/22/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Under	-1.0
04/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-1.0
04/23/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Under	-3.0
04/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-3.0

Braves Vs Over/Under

Astros Vs Over/Under

Reynaldo Lopez

ERA 3.273 | IP 66.0 | 3.0W-7.0L | KO 83.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	vsNYM	5-6W	6.0	3	0	6	Over
04-02-24	@CWS	2-3L	6.0	4	1	5	Under
09-29-23	@DET	7-5L	1.0	2	0	1	Over
09-27-23	@CIN	3-4W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-22-23	@BAL	8-9W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-21-23	@BAL	2-5W	1.0	1	0	2	Under
09-18-23	@KC	4-6W	0.3	0	0	1	Over
09-16-23	@TEX	1-2W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-12-23	@SF	3-1L	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-11-23	@SF	4-5W	0.7	1	0	0	Under

Luis Garcia

ERA 4.0 | IP 27.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 31.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-11-24	@KC	3-13L	0.7	11	9	0	Over
04-05-24	@TEX	2-10L	3.0	8	5	3	Over
03-30-24	vsNYY	5-3L	4.0	4	1	5	Under
10-01-23	@ARI	8-1W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
09-24-23	vsKC	6-5L	3.0	6	6	4	Over
09-19-23	vsBAL	9-5L	5.3	6	7	5	Over
09-13-23	vsOAK	2-6W	5.0	0	0	7	Under
09-08-23	vsSD	11-2L	4.3	6	6	5	Over
09-02-23	vsNYY	5-4L	4.0	5	5	5	Under
08-26-23	@DET	9-2W	5.0	4	2	9	Over
09-10-23	@LAD	7-3L	0.0	0	0	0	Over
05-01-23	vsSF	3-7W	0.0	1	0	0	Over
04-25-23	@TB	5-0W	6.0	3	0	7	Under
04-19-23	vsTOR	1-8W	7.0	2	0	9	Under
04-14-23	vsTEX	6-2L	5.0	6	5	7	Under
04-08-23	@MIN	6-9L	4.0	6	4	4	Over
04-02-23	vsCWS	6-3L	5.0	7	3	4	Under
10-02-22	vsTB	6-3L	6.0	3	1	4	Under
09-27-22	vsARI	6-3L	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-19-22	vsTB	6-3L	5.0	2	0	4	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	vs HOU	6-1W	11	0	Under
04/16	vs MIA	9-7W	12	2	Over
04/15	vs MIA	1-5L	6	0	Under
04/14	vs MIA	8-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	@ NYM	4-16L	10	0	Over
04/11	@ NYM	6-5W	11	0	Over
04/10	@ NYM	7-8L	12	1	Over
04/09	@ ARI	5-2W	7	3	Under
04/08	@ ARI	9-8W	15	1	Over
04/07	@ ARI	6-5W	12	1	Over
04/04	vs CWS	2-3L	5	2	Under
04/03	vs CWS	9-0W	11	1	Under
04/02	vs PHI	4-5L	7	1	Under
04/01	vs PHI	12-4W	19	4	Over
03/31	vs PHI	9-3W	13	0	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	@ ATL	1-6L	7	0	Under
04/16	@ TEX	8-5W	10	2	Over
04/15	@ TEX	9-2W	14	0	Over
04/14	@ TEX	8-12L	11	2	Over
04/13	vs KC	3-13L	11	1	Over
04/12	vs KC	2-11L	9	0	Over
04/11	vs KC	3-3L	14	0	Under
04/10	vs TEX	10-5W	11	2	Over
04/09	vs TEX	3-1W	4	1	Under
04/08	vs TEX	2-7L	8	0	Under
04/07	vs TEX	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/05	@ TOR	8-0W	15	4	Under
04/04	@ TOR	1-2L	8	1	Under
04/03	@ TOR	10-0W	12	5	Over
04/02	@ NYY	3-4L	12	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	14.2	18.5	0.34	0.599	47.9%	107.8%	6.4%
#2 Ozzie Albies	10.2	13.5	0.28	0.515	37.2%	88.7%	5.6%
#3 Austin Riley	10.2	13.5	0.28	0.517	38.8%	90.5%	5.9%
#4 Matt Olson	10.5	14.2	0.283	0.604	46.2%	106.6%	8.9%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	10.1	13.4	0.276	0.565	39.0%	95.4%	7.6%
#6 Michael Harris II	10.3	13.1	0.293	0.478	35.3%	83.1%	3.6%
#7 Orlando Arcia	7.3	9.6	0.267	0.424	35.3%	77.7%	3.5%
#8 Travis d’Arnaud	7.1	9.4	0.224	0.388	31.6%	70.3%	3.8%
#9 Jarred Kelenic	7.4	9.6	0.253	0.418	36.7%	78.5%	3.0%

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	9.4	12.3	0.311	0.522	44.7%	96.9%	4.7%
#2 Yordan Alvarez	9.7	13.2	0.29	0.578	49.0%	106.8%	7.6%
#3 Kyle Tucker	9.0	11.9	0.285	0.52	42.9%	94.9%	5.1%
#4 Alex Bregman	7.6	10.2	0.264	0.443	42.6%	86.9%	4.0%
#5 Luis Garcia	4.9	7.8	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#5 Yainer Diaz	7.6	10.0	0.284	0.543	33.0%	87.2%	6.5%
#6 Chas McCormick	7.3	9.6	0.272	0.489	39.7%	88.5%	5.5%
#7 Jeremy Pena	6.4	8.2	0.268	0.387	35.9%	74.6%	1.7%
#8 Jose Abreu	6.5	8.3	0.237	0.384	32.6%	71.1%	3.4%
#9 Mauricio Dubon	5.2	6.7	0.281	0.415	32.8%	74.3%	2.2%