Braves vs Astros Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 17th 2024

Get ready to slide into some Daily Fantasy Sports action as the red-hot Atlanta Braves, boasting an impressive 11W-5L record, storm into Minute Maid Park to clash with the struggling Houston Astros, who are trying to find their rhythm at 6W-13L. The showdown kicks off at the crack of 02:10 PM EST, under an overcast Houston sky with a breeze that might just carry a few homers. With the Braves leading the charge in the National League and the Astros trailing in the American League, the stakes are as sizzling as the Texas weather! Vegas has the line buzzing, setting the over/under at a tantalizing 9.0, hinting at some scoreboard fireworks. Fresh off a victorious face-off where the Braves outplayed the Astros just yesterday, both teams are pumped and ready to rewrite the script. So, let’s see if the Braves can continue their stampede or if the Astros will launch a counterattack that’s out of this world!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 17, 2024 02:10PM EST

Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SSE at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 75.0° with 84% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-148	+124	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-142	+119	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+6	-5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

148W-99L

58.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

146W-104L

41.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-2.0
04/15/24	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-2.0
04/16/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-1.0
04/16/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-1.0
04/21/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+1.0
04/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+1.0
04/22/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Push	-0.0
04/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Push	-0.0
04/23/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Under	-2.0
04/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-2.0

Braves Vs Over/Under

Astros Vs Over/Under

Reynaldo Lopez

ERA 3.273 | IP 66.0 | 3.0W-7.0L | KO 83.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-12-24	@MIA	8-1W	6.3	4	1	4	Push
04-06-24	vsARI	8-9W	4.3	10	8	5	Over
03-30-24	@PHI	12-4W	0.7	2	3	1	Over
09-21-23	@WAS	10-3W	6.0	3	1	7	Over
09-12-23	@PHI	7-6W	5.0	4	1	6	Over
09-07-23	vsSTL	5-8W	6.0	6	3	4	Over
09-01-23	@LAD	6-3W	7.0	3	0	10	Push
08-26-23	@SF	7-3W	6.0	6	2	8	Over
08-20-23	vsSF	4-3L	5.7	9	3	6	Under
08-14-23	vsNYY	3-11W	6.0	8	2	2	Over
04-16-24	@HOU	6-2W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
04-09-24	vsNYM	5-6W	6.0	3	0	6	Over
04-02-24	@CWS	2-3L	6.0	4	1	5	Under
09-29-23	@DET	7-5L	1.0	2	0	1	Over
09-27-23	@CIN	3-4W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-22-23	@BAL	8-9W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-21-23	@BAL	2-5W	1.0	1	0	2	Under
09-18-23	@KC	4-6W	0.3	0	0	1	Over
09-16-23	@TEX	1-2W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-12-23	@SF	3-1L	1.0	0	0	1	Under

Luis Garcia

ERA 4.0 | IP 27.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 31.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-16-24	vsATL	6-2L	6.0	5	2	3	Under
04-11-24	@KC	3-13L	0.7	11	9	0	Over
04-05-24	@TEX	2-10L	3.0	8	5	3	Over
03-30-24	vsNYY	5-3L	4.0	4	1	5	Under
10-01-23	@ARI	8-1W	1.0	0	0	0	Push
09-24-23	vsKC	6-5L	3.0	6	6	4	Over
09-19-23	vsBAL	9-5L	5.3	6	7	5	Over
09-13-23	vsOAK	2-6W	5.0	0	0	7	Under
09-08-23	vsSD	11-2L	4.3	6	6	5	Over
09-02-23	vsNYY	5-4L	4.0	5	5	5	Push
04-12-24	vsTEX	12-8L	4.0	8	8	3	Over
04-06-24	@TEX	2-7L	5.7	8	3	4	Push
03-31-24	vsNYY	4-3L	5.7	6	3	5	Under
09-23-23	vsKC	3-2L	5.0	7	3	5	Under
09-16-23	@KC	8-10L	4.3	5	5	0	Over
09-10-23	vsSD	2-12W	6.0	4	1	5	Over
09-04-23	@TEX	13-6W	5.0	6	5	5	Over
08-29-23	@BOS	6-2W	5.7	5	2	3	Under
08-24-23	vsBOS	17-1L	2.3	11	10	3	Over
08-18-23	vsSEA	2-0L	6.0	7	2	7	Under
09-10-23	@LAD	7-3L	0.0	0	0	0	Over
05-01-23	vsSF	3-7W	0.0	1	0	0	Over
04-25-23	@TB	5-0W	6.0	3	0	7	Under
04-19-23	vsTOR	1-8W	7.0	2	0	9	Push
04-14-23	vsTEX	6-2L	5.0	6	5	7	Under
04-08-23	@MIN	6-9L	4.0	6	4	4	Over
04-02-23	vsCWS	6-3L	5.0	7	3	4	Push
10-02-22	vsTB	6-3L	6.0	3	1	4	Push
09-27-22	vsARI	6-3L	6.0	4	1	6	Push
09-19-22	vsTB	6-3L	5.0	2	0	4	Push

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/18	vs HOU	6-2W	11	1	Under
04/17	vs HOU	6-1W	11	0	Under
04/16	vs MIA	9-7W	12	2	Over
04/15	vs MIA	1-5L	6	0	Under
04/14	vs MIA	8-1W	14	1	Push
04/13	@ NYM	4-16L	10	0	Over
04/11	@ NYM	6-5W	11	0	Over
04/10	@ NYM	7-8L	12	1	Over
04/09	@ ARI	5-2W	7	3	Under
04/08	@ ARI	9-8W	15	1	Over
04/07	@ ARI	6-5W	12	1	Over
04/04	vs CWS	2-3L	5	2	Under
04/03	vs CWS	9-0W	11	1	Push
04/02	vs PHI	4-5L	7	1	Push
04/01	vs PHI	12-4W	19	4	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/18	@ ATL	2-6L	7	1	Under
04/17	@ ATL	1-6L	7	0	Under
04/16	@ TEX	8-5W	10	2	Over
04/15	@ TEX	9-2W	14	0	Over
04/14	@ TEX	8-12L	11	2	Over
04/13	vs KC	3-13L	11	1	Over
04/12	vs KC	2-11L	9	0	Over
04/11	vs KC	3-3L	14	0	Under
04/10	vs TEX	10-5W	11	2	Over
04/09	vs TEX	3-1W	4	1	Under
04/08	vs TEX	2-7L	8	0	Push
04/07	vs TEX	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/05	@ TOR	8-0W	15	4	Under
04/04	@ TOR	1-2L	8	1	Under
04/03	@ TOR	10-0W	12	5	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	14.0	18.2	0.34	0.599	47.9%	107.8%	6.4%
#2 Ozzie Albies	10.7	14.1	0.28	0.515	37.2%	88.7%	5.6%
#3 Austin Riley	10.1	13.3	0.28	0.517	38.8%	90.5%	5.9%
#4 Matt Olson	9.8	13.3	0.283	0.604	46.2%	106.6%	8.9%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	9.8	13.0	0.276	0.565	39.0%	95.4%	7.6%
#6 Michael Harris II	10.0	12.8	0.293	0.478	35.3%	83.1%	3.6%
#7 Orlando Arcia	7.5	9.8	0.267	0.424	35.3%	77.7%	3.5%
#8 Travis d’Arnaud	7.4	9.8	0.224	0.388	31.6%	70.3%	3.8%
#9 Luis Guillorme	5.2	6.8	0.221	0.317	31.7%	63.5%	1.0%
#9 Jarred Kelenic	7.4	9.7	0.253	0.418	36.7%	78.5%	3.0%

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	9.1	11.9	0.311	0.522	44.7%	96.9%	4.7%
#2 Yordan Alvarez	10.1	13.7	0.29	0.578	49.0%	106.8%	7.6%
#3 Kyle Tucker	9.7	12.9	0.285	0.52	42.9%	94.9%	5.1%
#4 Alex Bregman	8.0	10.7	0.264	0.443	42.6%	86.9%	4.0%
#5 Yainer Diaz	7.0	9.2	0.284	0.543	33.0%	87.2%	6.5%
#5 Luis Garcia	5.1	8.1	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#6 Chas McCormick	7.0	9.2	0.272	0.489	39.7%	88.5%	5.5%
#7 Jeremy Pena	6.2	8.0	0.268	0.387	35.9%	74.6%	1.7%
#8 Jose Abreu	6.2	7.8	0.237	0.384	32.6%	71.1%	3.4%
#9 Mauricio Dubon	5.8	7.4	0.281	0.415	32.8%	74.3%	2.2%