Braves vs Marlins Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 14th 2024

Get ready to dive into the heat of the action as the sizzling Atlanta Braves, boasting a solid 8-5 record, storm into the breezy LoanDepot Park to face off against the struggling Miami Marlins, who are trying to find their rhythm at 3-12 this season. The clash kicks off at the crack of the afternoon with the first pitch slated for 01:40 PM EST. With the Braves neck-and-neck in the National League standings and the Marlins trailing by a stretch, today’s matchup is more than just a game—it’s a quest for dominance. The stakes are high with the over/under teasing at 8.5, hinting at a potentially explosive showdown. After yesterday’s flip of fate where the Marlins snatched a win from the Braves, today’s weather—overcast with a brisk eastern breeze—might just be the only chill factor in this heated rivalry. So, as the Braves aim to soar back to the top and the Marlins fight to make a splash, let’s see if Atlanta can brave the storm or if Miami will ride the wave to another victory.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 14, 2024 01:40PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Overcast with winds from the ENE at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 75.0° with 54% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-154	+129	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-152	+127	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+2	-2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

145W-99L

60.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

119W-128L

39.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/12/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+0.5
04/12/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Over	+0.5
04/13/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-2.5
04/13/24	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-2.5
04/24/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Over	+2.5
04/24/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	11	Over	+2.5
04/25/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+2.5
04/25/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+2.5
04/26/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+1.5
04/26/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+1.5
04/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+0.5
04/27/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+0.5
05/02/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-2.5
05/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-2.5
05/03/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	14	Over	+11.5
05/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+11.5
05/04/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+0.5
05/04/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+0.5
06/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+11.5
06/30/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	16	Over	+11.5
07/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-1.5
07/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.5
07/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+0.5
07/02/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+0.5
09/15/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+6.5
09/15/23	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+6.5
09/16/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+7.5
09/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	11	Over	+7.5
09/17/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Over	+9.5
09/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	16	Over	+9.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Charlie Morton

ERA 3.637 | IP 163.3 | 14.0W-12.0L | KO 183.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-13-24	@MIA	1-5L	7.0	6	5	7	Under
04-07-24	vsARI	2-5W	5.3	4	2	6	Under
03-31-24	@PHI	4-5L	5.3	5	2	7	Over
09-28-23	@BAL	0-2W	5.0	3	1	2	Under
09-22-23	@CWS	2-3W	5.0	3	0	7	Under
09-16-23	@TOR	3-4W	6.0	2	1	10	Under
09-09-23	@BAL	13-12L	4.0	6	7	5	Over
09-03-23	@KC	7-3L	5.0	2	0	5	Over
08-28-23	@HOU	13-5L	4.7	7	3	6	Over
08-23-23	@HOU	7-5L	5.0	6	4	9	Over
04-08-24	vsNYM	8-7L	5.7	5	4	4	Over
04-01-24	@CWS	9-0W	5.7	3	0	6	Over
09-22-23	@WAS	9-6W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-17-23	@MIA	2-16L	4.7	6	6	5	Over
09-11-23	@PHI	10-8W	6.0	6	4	9	Over
09-03-23	@LAD	1-3L	4.0	6	2	3	Under
08-29-23	@COL	3-1W	6.0	3	1	8	Under
08-23-23	vsNYM	0-7W	7.0	2	0	11	Under
08-16-23	vsNYY	0-2W	6.0	4	0	10	Under
08-11-23	@NYM	7-0W	5.0	3	0	4	Under

Max Meyer

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-08-24	@NYY	0-7L	4.7	8	7	4	Under
04-02-24	vsLAA	3-1L	5.3	4	3	5	Under
03-28-24	vsPIT	6-5L	5.0	2	2	8	Over
10-02-23	@NYM	0-1L	7.3	4	0	10	Under
09-23-23	vsMIL	4-5W	5.0	3	3	4	Over
09-17-23	vsATL	2-16W	6.0	4	0	8	Over
09-11-23	@MIL	0-12L	5.0	10	6	5	Over
09-05-23	vsLAD	3-6W	6.0	4	2	6	Over
08-30-23	vsTB	3-0L	6.0	1	0	8	Under
08-22-23	@SD	3-0W	6.0	2	0	7	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/15	vs MIA	1-5L	6	0	Under
04/14	vs MIA	8-1W	14	1	Over
04/13	@ NYM	4-16L	10	0	Over
04/11	@ NYM	6-5W	11	0	Over
04/10	@ NYM	7-8L	12	1	Over
04/09	@ ARI	5-2W	7	3	Under
04/08	@ ARI	9-8W	15	1	Over
04/07	@ ARI	6-5W	12	1	Over
04/04	vs CWS	2-3L	5	2	Under
04/03	vs CWS	9-0W	11	1	Over
04/02	vs PHI	4-5L	7	1	Over
04/01	vs PHI	12-4W	19	4	Over
03/31	vs PHI	9-3W	13	0	Over
10/03	@ WAS	9-10L	11	2	Over
10/02	@ WAS	5-3W	11	1	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/15	@ ATL	5-1W	8	1	Under
04/14	@ ATL	1-8L	6	0	Over
04/12	vs NYY	5-2W	6	1	Under
04/11	vs NYY	2-3L	4	0	Under
04/10	vs NYY	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/09	vs STL	10-3W	13	2	Over
04/08	vs STL	1-3L	8	0	Under
04/06	vs STL	5-8L	9	3	Over
04/05	@ LAA	2-10L	4	0	Over
04/04	@ LAA	1-3L	5	1	Under
04/03	@ LAA	4-7L	9	0	Over
04/02	@ PIT	7-9L	7	3	Over
04/01	@ PIT	3-9L	5	0	Over
03/31	@ PIT	2-7L	9	0	Over
03/30	@ PIT	5-6L	8	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	11.0	14.3	0.34	0.599	47.9%	107.8%	6.4%
#2 Ozzie Albies	9.9	13.1	0.28	0.515	37.2%	88.7%	5.6%
#3 Austin Riley	9.9	13.1	0.28	0.517	38.8%	90.5%	5.9%
#4 Matt Olson	9.7	13.1	0.283	0.604	46.2%	106.6%	8.9%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	8.7	11.6	0.276	0.565	39.0%	95.4%	7.6%
#6 Adam Duvall	7.2	9.6	0.245	0.522	33.0%	85.2%	6.3%
#6 Michael Harris II	9.3	11.9	0.293	0.478	35.3%	83.1%	3.6%
#7 Orlando Arcia	6.7	8.7	0.267	0.424	35.3%	77.7%	3.5%
#8 Travis d’Arnaud	6.3	8.4	0.224	0.388	31.6%	70.3%	3.8%
#9 Jarred Kelenic	6.7	8.8	0.253	0.418	36.7%	78.5%	3.0%
#9 Chadwick Tromp	5.0	6.6	0.125	0.188	12.5%	31.2%	0.0%

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.4	9.3	0.356	0.472	42.5%	89.6%	1.8%
#2 Josh Bell	7.2	9.5	0.247	0.419	36.6%	78.6%	4.0%
#3 Jake Burger	7.5	10.0	0.248	0.518	33.8%	85.7%	7.0%
#4 Bryan De La Cruz	6.2	8.1	0.253	0.401	32.5%	72.6%	3.1%
#5 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	6.5	8.4	0.252	0.462	33.1%	79.3%	5.4%
#5 Jesus Sanchez	7.4	9.7	0.253	0.444	36.5%	80.9%	3.7%
#6 Tim Anderson	6.2	7.7	0.248	0.299	30.7%	60.7%	0.2%
#7 Avisail Garcia	6.1	7.9	0.185	0.315	25.9%	57.4%	2.8%
#7 Nick Gordon	5.7	7.5	0.176	0.319	18.7%	50.5%	2.2%
#8 Nick Fortes	5.1	6.6	0.203	0.3	28.6%	58.6%	2.1%
#8 Emmanuel Rivera	5.2	6.7	0.265	0.364	35.2%	71.5%	1.6%
#9 C. Bethancourt	5.2	6.8	0.228	0.385	26.6%	65.1%	3.5%
#9 Vidal Brujan	4.0	5.4	0.171	0.197	26.3%	46.1%	0.0%