Braves vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heat of the action as the sizzling Atlanta Braves storm into LoanDepot Park to cool off the Miami Marlins tonight at 07:10 PM EST. Sitting pretty with a solid lead in the standings, the Braves are looking to add another notch to their belt, while the Marlins, fresh off a rough ride against the Dodgers, are desperate to turn the tide in their home waters. With the stakes set high and the over/under teasing a score fest, this matchup promises more swings than a South Beach club on Saturday night. As the Braves aim to hammer it home against the struggling Marlins, remember, in this game, it’s all about whether you can brave the waves or just end up swimming with the fishes!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 20, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the N at 5.1 mph. Temperature is at 84.9° with 68% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-206	+168	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-208	+169	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-2	+1	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

181W-133L

67.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

147W-169L

32.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/12/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+0.5
04/12/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Over	+0.5
04/13/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-2.5
04/13/24	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-2.5
04/14/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+7.5
04/14/24	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+7.5
04/22/24	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-5.5
04/22/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-5.5
04/23/24	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-3.5
04/23/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-3.5
04/24/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-1.5
04/24/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-1.5
08/01/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-2.5
08/01/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-2.5
08/02/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-0.5
08/02/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-0.5
08/03/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
08/03/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-1.5
08/04/24	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Under	-1.5
08/04/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	0	Under	-1.5
04/24/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Over	+2.5
04/24/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	11	Over	+2.5
04/25/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+2.5
04/25/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+2.5
04/26/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+1.5
04/26/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+1.5
04/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+0.5
04/27/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+0.5
05/02/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-2.5
05/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-2.5
05/03/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	14	Over	+11.5
05/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+11.5
05/04/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+0.5
05/04/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+0.5
06/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+11.5
06/30/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	16	Over	+11.5
07/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-1.5
07/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.5
07/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+0.5
07/02/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+0.5
09/15/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+6.5
09/15/23	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+6.5
09/16/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+7.5
09/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	11	Over	+7.5
09/17/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Over	+9.5
09/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	16	Over	+9.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Charlie Morton

ERA 4.073 | IP 154.7 | 8.0W-8.0L | KO 161.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-15-24	vsLAD	9-2L	6.0	3	1	6	Over
09-09-24	vsCIN	1-0L	6.7	6	1	7	Under
09-04-24	vsCOL	2-5W	5.0	5	2	8	Under
08-29-24	@PHI	4-5L	5.7	5	3	7	Push
08-24-24	vsWAS	2-4W	5.7	8	2	6	Under
08-18-24	@LAA	3-1W	5.3	2	1	7	Under
08-13-24	@SF	4-3W	6.0	6	2	8	Under
08-08-24	vsMIL	16-7L	2.7	9	8	3	Over
08-01-24	vsMIA	2-4W	6.0	5	1	6	Under
07-26-24	@NYM	4-8L	2.7	6	7	2	Over

Valente Bellozo

ERA 3.703 | IP 58.3 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 39.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-14-24	@WAS	1-4L	5.3	6	3	4	Under
09-09-24	@PIT	2-3L	5.3	6	3	2	Under
09-04-24	vsWAS	3-4W	6.0	3	0	1	Under
08-29-24	@COL	12-8W	4.0	7	6	4	Over
08-24-24	vsCHC	14-2L	4.7	7	6	1	Over
08-18-24	@NYM	3-2W	5.3	7	2	4	Under
08-13-24	@PHI	5-0W	7.0	4	0	4	Under
08-07-24	vsCIN	4-6W	5.7	5	0	4	Over
08-02-24	@ATL	3-5L	5.0	2	2	5	Under
07-02-24	vsBOS	8-3L	5.0	7	5	8	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/21	vs CIN	15-3W	18	6	Over
09/20	vs CIN	7-1W	10	2	Under
09/19	vs CIN	5-6L	12	3	Over
09/18	@ LAD	0-9L	4	0	Push
09/17	@ LAD	2-9L	4	0	Over
09/16	@ LAD	10-1W	10	0	Over
09/15	@ LAD	6-2W	10	2	Under
09/13	vs WAS	1-5L	6	0	Under
09/12	vs WAS	12-0W	15	4	Over
09/11	@ CIN	0-1L	2	0	Under
09/10	@ TOR	4-3W	8	1	Under
09/09	@ TOR	5-9L	10	0	Over
09/08	@ TOR	3-1W	7	0	Under
09/07	@ COL	1-3L	5	0	Under
09/06	@ COL	5-2W	7	1	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/21	@ LAD	4-20L	9	3	Over
09/20	@ LAD	4-8L	8	0	Over
09/19	@ LAD	11-9W	15	2	Over
09/17	vs WAS	3-4L	6	1	Under
09/16	vs WAS	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/15	vs WAS	1-4L	8	1	Under
09/14	vs WAS	6-3W	8	0	Push
09/13	vs PIT	1-3L	5	0	Under
09/12	vs PIT	4-6L	9	0	Over
09/11	vs PIT	2-3L	8	0	Under
09/10	@ PHI	10-1W	11	2	Over
09/09	@ PHI	9-5W	14	3	Over
09/08	@ PHI	2-16L	5	0	Over
09/07	@ PHI	2-4L	7	0	Under
09/06	@ WAS	4-3W	7	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Michael Harris II	10.2	13.1	0.251	0.405	0.311	0.716	0.297	0.037
#2 Jorge Soler	8.4	11.2	0.242	0.443	0.393	0.836	0.336	0.043
#3 Ozzie Albies	9.5	12.4	0.254	0.402	0.332	0.735	0.304	0.022
#4 Marcell Ozuna	9.6	12.7	0.306	0.562	0.431	0.993	0.395	0.067
#5 Matt Olson	9.7	13.0	0.244	0.463	0.374	0.836	0.338	0.050
#6 Ramon Laureano	7.9	10.2	0.257	0.430	0.341	0.771	0.318	0.036
#7 Whit Merrifield	7.4	9.5	0.218	0.310	0.347	0.656	0.271	0.014
#8 Sean Murphy	7.1	9.3	0.202	0.358	0.326	0.683	0.281	0.041
#9 Orlando Arcia	5.9	7.6	0.218	0.355	0.297	0.651	0.271	0.031

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	8.2	10.2	0.314	0.385	0.434	0.819	0.330	0.004
#2 Connor Norby	7.9	10.4	0.261	0.500	0.333	0.833	0.341	0.058
#3 Jesus Sanchez	7.4	9.7	0.248	0.418	0.334	0.752	0.309	0.038
#4 Jake Burger	7.2	9.4	0.239	0.445	0.318	0.763	0.314	0.055
#5 Jonah Bride	6.1	8.0	0.253	0.402	0.402	0.804	0.324	0.036
#6 Griffin Conine	6.1	8.1	0.228	0.404	0.333	0.737	0.302	0.035
#7 Otto Lopez	5.9	7.5	0.263	0.373	0.327	0.700	0.290	0.016
#8 Kyle Stowers	4.8	6.3	0.211	0.343	0.286	0.629	0.263	0.017
#9 Nick Fortes	4.5	5.8	0.227	0.319	0.277	0.596	0.251	0.014

Braves Notable Injuries

Reynaldo Lopez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/12/24. Impact: 8.1

Marlins Notable Injuries

Max Meyer OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 3.6
John McMillon OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/13/24. Impact: 2.0
Calvin Faucher OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Andrew Nardi OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/23/24. Impact: 1.4