Braves vs Brewers Game Breakdown

Get ready to chug your beers and chop some air, because tonight’s MLB showdown has the Atlanta Braves rolling into American Family Field to face the Milwaukee Brewers at 08:10 PM EST! With the Braves trying to claw back from 8 games down in the National League and the Brewers holding firm at the top, this matchup is as steamy as Milwaukee’s summer evening at a crisp 79.9°. The stakes are high with the over/under teasing at 9 runs, and the Brewers looking to double down on their recent victory against the Braves. Will the Braves flip the script or will the Brewers keep their taps flowing? It’s a perfect night for baseball with clear skies and a gentle breeze, so let’s see if the Braves can brew up a comeback or if Milwaukee will keep serving up the wins!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 30, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Sunny with winds from the WNW at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 79.9° with 68% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+105	-125	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

166W-124L

48.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

168W-121L

51.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/29/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Over	+2.0
07/29/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	8	Over	+2.0
07/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+1.0
07/21/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Over	+1.0
07/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-2.0
07/22/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-2.0
07/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.0
07/23/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-3.0
07/28/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+8.0
07/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+8.0
07/29/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+7.0
07/29/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	11	Over	+7.0
07/30/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+5.0
07/30/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+5.0

Braves Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Bryce Elder

ERA 6.353 | IP 39.7 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 33.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-20-24	vsSTL	9-5L	5.0	8	6	9	Over
07-08-24	@ARI	5-4W	5.0	4	3	1	Push
06-26-24	@STL	1-4L	6.0	4	2	4	Under
05-19-24	vsSD	9-1L	3.0	9	7	3	Over
05-12-24	@NYM	3-4L	5.3	7	2	6	Under
05-04-24	@LAD	2-11L	3.3	7	7	4	Over
04-28-24	vsCLE	3-4W	5.3	4	2	2	Under
04-22-24	vsMIA	0-3W	6.7	8	0	4	Under
09-26-23	vsCHC	6-7W	3.7	7	5	2	Over
09-20-23	vsPHI	6-5L	3.7	3	4	0	Over

Joe Ross

ERA 4.5 | IP 42.0 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 35.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-20-24	@MIA	2-3L	1.0	1	0	0	Under
05-14-24	vsPIT	3-4W	5.0	2	2	6	Under
05-08-24	@KC	4-6L	5.0	3	3	2	Over
05-03-24	@CHC	3-1W	6.0	6	1	4	Under
04-27-24	vsNYY	15-3L	5.0	8	7	5	Over
04-22-24	@PIT	2-4L	5.3	6	2	4	Under
04-15-24	vsSD	7-3L	4.7	9	7	4	Over
04-09-24	@CIN	9-5W	6.3	5	3	7	Over
04-03-24	vsMIN	7-3L	3.7	2	0	3	Over
08-11-21	vsNYM	7-3L	5.0	6	4	2	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/31	vs MIL	3-8L	4	3	Over
07/30	vs NYM	8-2W	8	4	Over
07/29	vs NYM	4-0W	6	3	Under
07/28	vs NYM	4-8L	7	3	Over
07/27	vs NYM	2-3L	7	0	Under
07/26	@ CIN	4-9L	10	0	Over
07/24	@ CIN	1-4L	3	0	Under
07/23	@ STL	2-6L	9	1	Under
07/22	@ STL	5-9L	9	4	Over
07/22	@ STL	3-2W	6	1	Under
07/15	vs SD	0-4L	5	0	Under
07/14	vs SD	6-1W	9	3	Under
07/13	vs ARI	0-1L	5	0	Under
07/12	vs ARI	5-7L	8	1	Over
07/11	vs ARI	6-2W	11	1	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/31	@ ATL	8-3W	11	3	Over
07/30	@ MIA	6-2W	9	2	Under
07/29	@ MIA	3-7L	8	1	Over
07/28	@ MIA	2-6L	7	1	Under
07/26	vs CHC	3-2W	10	0	Under
07/25	vs CHC	1-0W	7	0	Under
07/24	vs CHC	1-3L	5	1	Under
07/23	vs MIN	8-7W	11	4	Over
07/22	vs MIN	8-4W	11	0	Over
07/15	@ WAS	5-6L	6	0	Over
07/14	@ WAS	2-5L	4	0	Under
07/13	@ PIT	0-1L	2	0	Under
07/12	@ PIT	9-0W	14	2	Push
07/11	@ PIT	2-12L	6	0	Over
07/09	vs LAD	9-2W	12	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarred Kelenic	8.1	10.4	0.243	0.407	0.318	0.725	0.299	0.036
#2 Austin Riley	9.2	12.1	0.251	0.450	0.357	0.807	0.329	0.041
#3 Marcell Ozuna	9.4	12.5	0.306	0.600	0.436	1.036	0.411	0.081
#4 Matt Olson	9.0	11.9	0.226	0.403	0.340	0.743	0.305	0.039
#5 Jorge Soler	8.0	10.6	0.243	0.424	0.383	0.807	0.326	0.036
#6 Travis d’Arnaud	7.3	9.7	0.252	0.426	0.347	0.772	0.317	0.035
#7 Eddie Rosario	6.3	8.3	0.184	0.338	0.239	0.577	0.242	0.037
#8 Orlando Arcia	6.3	8.1	0.221	0.352	0.282	0.634	0.265	0.026
#9 Nacho Alvarez Jr.	5.8	6.9	0.077	0.077	0.154	0.231	0.113	0.000

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Brice Turang	9.0	11.5	0.266	0.370	0.361	0.731	0.300	0.016
#3 Jake Bauers	7.8	10.6	0.225	0.410	0.380	0.790	0.319	0.040
#3 William Contreras	7.9	10.3	0.287	0.430	0.398	0.828	0.335	0.025
#4 Willy Adames	7.9	10.5	0.242	0.419	0.369	0.788	0.320	0.040
#5 Jackson Chourio	6.9	9.0	0.261	0.425	0.327	0.752	0.310	0.039
#6 Garrett Mitchell	8.3	10.4	0.269	0.346	0.404	0.750	0.305	0.000
#7 Rhys Hoskins	6.2	8.4	0.216	0.438	0.353	0.792	0.321	0.064
#8 Sal Frelick	6.0	7.6	0.265	0.339	0.377	0.716	0.294	0.006
#9 Joey Ortiz	5.1	6.7	0.243	0.402	0.398	0.799	0.321	0.027

Braves Notable Injuries

Max Fried OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/13/24. Impact: 8.8
Ozzie Albies OUT (2B): Avg: 0.254 SLG:0.402 Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 2.4

Brewers Notable Injuries

Christian Yelich OUT (OF): Avg: 0.316 SLG:0.504 Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 3.3
Bryan Hudson OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.0
Enoli Paredes OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/04/24. Impact: 0.9
Trevor Megill OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.2
Rob Zastryzny OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/26/24. Impact: 0.8