Braves vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Target Field tonight as the Atlanta Braves, hot on the heels in the National League, clash with the Minnesota Twins, who are swinging to climb higher in the American League rankings. The first pitch is set to fly at 07:40 PM EST, under a partly cloudy sky with a gentle breeze perfect for some home run action. Both teams are stepping onto the diamond with something to prove after recent stumbles, setting the stage for a nail-biter. The betting lines are neck and neck, reflecting the evenly matched firepower we’re about to witness. So, as the Braves aim to tomahawk their woes and the Twins look to double down on their home field advantage, tonight’s game promises to be more than just peanuts and Cracker Jacks!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 26, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ESE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 80.1° with 87% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-110	-110	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	+101	-121	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+211	-11	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

174W-128L

49.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

165W-134L

50.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/26/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-2.5
06/26/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-2.5
06/27/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+0.5
06/27/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+0.5
06/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-4.5
06/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-4.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Max Fried

ERA 3.567 | IP 128.7 | 7.0W-7.0L | KO 119.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-21-24	vsPHI	3-2L	7.0	4	2	4	Under
08-15-24	@SF	0-6L	5.3	5	3	5	Under
08-10-24	@COL	11-8W	5.0	7	5	9	Over
08-04-24	vsMIA	7-0L	3.3	4	5	6	Under
07-11-24	@ARI	0-1L	6.0	5	1	7	Under
07-05-24	vsPHI	8-6L	6.0	11	5	4	Over
06-29-24	vsPIT	1-2W	6.0	6	1	4	Under
06-23-24	@NYY	3-1W	6.0	6	1	4	Under
06-17-24	vsDET	1-2W	5.3	4	1	6	Under
06-11-24	@BAL	0-4L	5.0	6	4	3	Under

Bailey Ober

ERA 3.536 | IP 140.0 | 12.0W-5.0L | KO 145.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-20-24	@SD	5-7L	6.0	4	3	5	Over
08-15-24	@TEX	3-2W	6.0	7	2	3	Under
08-09-24	vsCLE	2-4W	6.0	2	0	9	Under
08-03-24	vsCWS	2-6W	7.0	2	2	7	Push
07-28-24	@DET	5-0W	8.0	1	0	11	Under
07-22-24	vsPHI	2-7W	7.0	4	2	4	Over
07-10-24	@CWS	1-3L	6.0	4	3	6	Under
07-04-24	vsDET	3-12W	6.0	7	3	8	Over
06-28-24	@SEA	2-3L	6.0	2	1	9	Under
06-22-24	@OAK	10-2W	9.0	4	2	10	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/27	@ WAS	1-5L	3	1	Under
08/26	@ WAS	4-2W	11	2	Under
08/25	@ WAS	3-2W	8	1	Under
08/24	@ PHI	3-2W	10	1	Under
08/23	@ PHI	2-3L	9	1	Under
08/22	@ PHI	3-1W	7	1	Under
08/20	vs LAA	3-1W	8	1	Under
08/19	vs LAA	11-3W	12	3	Over
08/18	vs LAA	2-3L	8	0	Under
08/17	vs SF	0-6L	4	0	Under
08/16	vs SF	13-2W	11	4	Over
08/15	vs SF	4-3W	10	2	Under
08/14	vs SF	1-0W	4	0	Under
08/13	vs COL	8-9L	13	4	Over
08/12	vs COL	11-8W	11	4	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/27	@ STL	2-3L	6	1	Under
08/26	@ STL	6-0W	9	3	Under
08/25	@ STL	1-6L	5	0	Under
08/23	vs SD	11-4W	18	1	Over
08/22	vs SD	5-7L	13	1	Over
08/21	vs SD	3-5L	5	0	Push
08/20	vs TEX	5-6L	7	2	Over
08/19	vs TEX	5-2W	8	1	Under
08/18	vs TEX	4-3W	5	2	Under
08/17	vs TEX	3-2W	6	1	Under
08/16	@ KC	1-4L	7	1	Under
08/15	@ KC	13-3W	15	3	Over
08/14	@ KC	8-3W	10	2	Over
08/13	@ CLE	3-5L	11	2	Push
08/12	@ CLE	1-2L	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Michael Harris II	8.6	10.9	0.247	0.362	0.316	0.678	0.281	0.023
#2 Jorge Soler	8.1	10.9	0.240	0.432	0.391	0.824	0.331	0.041
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.4	11.1	0.306	0.585	0.426	1.010	0.402	0.076
#4 Matt Olson	7.7	10.2	0.227	0.424	0.353	0.777	0.317	0.046
#5 Sean Murphy	7.4	9.4	0.220	0.368	0.330	0.698	0.287	0.038
#6 Whit Merrifield	6.7	8.6	0.216	0.325	0.359	0.684	0.280	0.017
#7 Jarred Kelenic	6.2	8.0	0.243	0.407	0.321	0.728	0.300	0.035
#8 Gio Urshela	5.2	6.7	0.248	0.339	0.313	0.652	0.271	0.016
#9 Orlando Arcia	5.1	6.5	0.225	0.360	0.296	0.656	0.273	0.030

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Manuel Margot	7.5	9.7	0.238	0.332	0.317	0.649	0.270	0.015
#2 Royce Lewis	8.1	10.9	0.265	0.575	0.376	0.950	0.382	0.083
#3 Carlos Santana	7.4	9.8	0.239	0.425	0.372	0.797	0.323	0.043
#4 Jose Miranda	7.3	9.4	0.299	0.476	0.368	0.844	0.346	0.027
#5 Kyle Farmer	6.3	8.4	0.192	0.288	0.327	0.615	0.258	0.006
#6 Willi Castro	6.6	8.6	0.256	0.410	0.384	0.794	0.323	0.024
#7 Trevor Larnach	5.9	7.8	0.252	0.446	0.360	0.806	0.328	0.050
#8 Christian Vazquez	5.1	6.5	0.242	0.373	0.284	0.657	0.274	0.030
#9 Austin Martin	4.9	6.4	0.258	0.356	0.356	0.711	0.293	0.005

Braves Notable Injuries

Austin Riley OUT (3B): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.464 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.8
Travis d’Arnaud OUT (C): Avg: 0.248 SLG:0.45 Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 3.1
A.J. Minter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 1.2

Twins Notable Injuries

Joe Ryan OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 7.6
Byron Buxton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.275 SLG:0.528 Last game: 08/14/24. Impact: 3.6
Brooks Lee OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.263 SLG:0.347 Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 2.1
Brock Stewart OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 0.4