Braves vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some Major League excitement as the Atlanta Braves, boasting a solid 72-60 record, swoop into Target Field to clash with the equally matched Minnesota Twins, who are sitting pretty with a 71-60 scorecard. The first pitch is set to fly at 07:40 PM EST, under a misty Minneapolis sky that promises a light drizzle and a breeze just brisk enough to keep the flags fluttering. With the Braves swinging to close a 5.5-game gap in the National League and the Twins chopping at a 3.5-game deficit in the American, the stakes are as high as the humidity. Following a head-to-head where Atlanta edged out Minnesota 8-6 just yesterday, the betting lines are buzzing, setting the stage at an over/under of 7.5. So, as these two titans prepare to battle it out, brace yourself for a game where Braves aim to conquer and Twins look to twin—it’s all about who masters the elements and the diamond tonight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 28, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Light drizzle with winds from the NE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 64.0° with 90% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-144	+121	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-132	+110	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+12	-11	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

176W-128L

56.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

165W-136L

43.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/26/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+8.5
08/26/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+8.5
08/27/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+6.5
08/27/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+6.5
06/26/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-2.5
06/26/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-2.5
06/27/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+0.5
06/27/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+0.5
06/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-4.5
06/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-4.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Chris Sale

ERA 2.65 | IP 142.7 | 13.0W-3.0L | KO 187.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-23-24	vsWAS	2-3W	7.0	9	2	4	Under
08-17-24	@LAA	11-3W	6.0	6	2	10	Over
08-12-24	@SF	1-0W	7.0	3	0	12	Under
08-07-24	vsMIL	8-5L	4.7	9	3	10	Over
07-31-24	@MIL	6-2W	5.7	6	2	6	Over
07-25-24	@NYM	2-3L	7.3	2	2	9	Under
07-09-24	@ARI	6-2W	5.3	5	2	9	Over
07-03-24	vsSF	1-3W	6.0	3	1	9	Under
06-27-24	@CWS	0-1L	7.0	4	1	11	Under
06-21-24	@NYY	8-1W	5.0	1	1	8	Over

David Festa

ERA 5.202 | IP 36.3 | 2.0W-3.0L | KO 44.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-23-24	vsSTL	6-1L	3.7	3	3	5	Under
08-17-24	@TEX	5-2W	5.0	6	2	6	Under
08-11-24	vsCLE	5-3L	3.3	3	1	3	Over
08-05-24	@CHC	3-0W	5.0	2	0	9	Under
07-30-24	@NYM	0-2L	5.0	3	2	6	Under
07-24-24	vsPHI	4-5W	4.3	4	1	7	Over
07-03-24	vsDET	9-2L	5.0	9	7	6	Over
06-27-24	@ARI	13-6W	5.0	7	5	2	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/29	vs MIN	8-6W	11	1	Over
08/28	vs MIN	10-6W	13	2	Over
08/27	@ WAS	1-5L	3	1	Under
08/26	@ WAS	4-2W	11	2	Under
08/25	@ WAS	3-2W	8	1	Under
08/24	@ PHI	3-2W	10	1	Under
08/23	@ PHI	2-3L	9	1	Under
08/22	@ PHI	3-1W	7	1	Under
08/20	vs LAA	3-1W	8	1	Under
08/19	vs LAA	11-3W	12	3	Over
08/18	vs LAA	2-3L	8	0	Under
08/17	vs SF	0-6L	4	0	Under
08/16	vs SF	13-2W	11	4	Over
08/15	vs SF	4-3W	10	2	Under
08/14	vs SF	1-0W	4	0	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/29	@ ATL	6-8L	14	0	Over
08/28	@ ATL	6-10L	9	2	Over
08/27	@ STL	2-3L	6	1	Under
08/26	@ STL	6-0W	9	3	Under
08/25	@ STL	1-6L	5	0	Under
08/23	vs SD	11-4W	18	1	Over
08/22	vs SD	5-7L	13	1	Over
08/21	vs SD	3-5L	5	0	Over
08/20	vs TEX	5-6L	7	2	Over
08/19	vs TEX	5-2W	8	1	Under
08/18	vs TEX	4-3W	5	2	Under
08/17	vs TEX	3-2W	6	1	Under
08/16	@ KC	1-4L	7	1	Under
08/15	@ KC	13-3W	15	3	Over
08/14	@ KC	8-3W	10	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Whit Merrifield	8.4	10.8	0.227	0.335	0.364	0.698	0.285	0.017
#2 Jorge Soler	8.3	11.2	0.238	0.428	0.397	0.825	0.331	0.041
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.6	11.4	0.309	0.587	0.431	1.018	0.405	0.075
#4 Matt Olson	8.9	11.9	0.233	0.438	0.356	0.794	0.323	0.047
#5 Sean Murphy	8.5	10.9	0.220	0.368	0.330	0.698	0.287	0.038
#6 Michael Harris II	7.8	9.9	0.248	0.371	0.316	0.687	0.285	0.026
#7 Ramon Laureano	6.9	8.9	0.244	0.420	0.337	0.756	0.312	0.041
#8 Gio Urshela	5.8	7.4	0.247	0.335	0.311	0.646	0.269	0.015
#9 Orlando Arcia	5.5	7.1	0.224	0.357	0.301	0.658	0.274	0.029

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Manuel Margot	7.0	9.1	0.244	0.341	0.322	0.663	0.276	0.015
#2 Royce Lewis	7.8	10.6	0.253	0.547	0.358	0.905	0.366	0.079
#3 Jose Miranda	6.7	8.7	0.299	0.473	0.367	0.840	0.345	0.027
#4 Carlos Santana	6.7	8.8	0.242	0.427	0.374	0.801	0.325	0.043
#5 Kyle Farmer	6.3	8.5	0.194	0.306	0.325	0.631	0.263	0.013
#6 Willi Castro	6.0	7.9	0.258	0.412	0.386	0.797	0.324	0.023
#7 Christian Vazquez	5.4	6.9	0.242	0.371	0.283	0.654	0.273	0.029
#8 Matt Wallner	4.4	6.0	0.282	0.626	0.511	1.137	0.437	0.076
#9 Austin Martin	4.8	6.3	0.252	0.347	0.347	0.693	0.286	0.005

Braves Notable Injuries

Austin Riley OUT (3B): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.464 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.8
Travis d’Arnaud OUT (C): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.452 Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 3.4
A.J. Minter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 1.2

Twins Notable Injuries

Joe Ryan OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 7.6
Byron Buxton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.275 SLG:0.528 Last game: 08/14/24. Impact: 3.6
Brooks Lee OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.263 SLG:0.347 Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 2.1
Brock Stewart OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 0.4