Braves vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the sizzling Atlanta Braves take their impressive 22W-12L record to the Big Apple, squaring off against the even-steven New York Mets at Citi Field tonight at 07:10 PM EST. The stakes are hot with the Braves chasing down the top spot, just 2 games shy in the National League, while the Mets look to claw back from a 7-game deficit. With the betting lines drawing a clear picture (Braves at -153 and Mets at +128) and an over/under teasing at 8, tonight’s matchup promises more twists than a pretzel vendor’s arm. Both teams are stepping in fresh off victories, ready to battle under a light drizzly sky with a brisk wind nudging the excitement. As the temperature cools, the game heats up, so let’s see if the Braves can chop down the competition or if the Mets can catch a home run swing in their city net!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 10, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Light rain with winds from the E at 16.1 mph. Temperature is at 51.1° with 77% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-153	+128	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-155	+130	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-2	+2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

150W-104L

60.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

149W-107L

39.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+7.0
04/08/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+7.0
04/09/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+3.0
04/09/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+3.0
04/11/24	New York Mets NYM	16	Over	+12.0
04/11/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+12.0
04/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-4.0
04/28/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-4.0
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	21	Over	+16.0
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+16.0
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Push	-0.0
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Push	-0.0
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+9.0
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+9.0
06/06/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+2.0
06/06/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.0
06/07/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+4.0
06/07/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+4.0
06/08/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+15.0
06/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	13	Over	+15.0
08/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.0
08/11/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-1.0
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-2.0
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-2.0
08/13/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+5.0
08/13/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+5.0
08/21/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+6.0
08/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+6.0
08/22/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-3.0
08/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-3.0
08/23/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-1.0
08/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.0

Braves Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Charlie Morton

ERA 3.533 | IP 35.7 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 33.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-03-24	@LAD	3-4L	6.0	5	2	5	Under
04-27-24	vsCLE	4-2L	6.7	1	0	6	Under
04-20-24	vsTEX	2-5W	6.0	4	2	4	Under
04-14-24	@MIA	9-7W	5.7	7	6	8	Over
04-08-24	vsNYM	8-7L	5.7	5	4	4	Over
04-01-24	@CWS	9-0W	5.7	3	0	6	Over
09-22-23	@WAS	9-6W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-17-23	@MIA	2-16L	4.7	6	6	5	Over
09-11-23	@PHI	10-8W	6.0	6	4	9	Over
09-03-23	@LAD	1-3L	4.0	6	2	3	Under

Jose Quintana

ERA 5.202 | IP 36.3 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 25.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-03-24	@TB	8-10L	2.7	10	8	2	Over
04-28-24	vsSTL	2-4W	8.0	3	1	3	Under
04-22-24	@SF	2-5L	5.0	7	5	4	Under
04-16-24	vsPIT	1-3W	5.0	4	1	4	Under
04-11-24	@ATL	16-4W	5.3	5	3	4	Over
04-05-24	@CIN	3-2W	5.7	5	1	4	Under
03-29-24	vsMIL	3-1L	4.7	6	2	4	Under
09-30-23	vsPHI	4-11W	4.0	7	4	5	Over
09-23-23	@PHI	5-7L	6.0	8	6	10	Over
09-17-23	vsCIN	4-8W	6.7	8	2	2	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/10	@ BOS	5-0W	9	3	Under
05/09	@ BOS	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/07	vs LAD	1-5L	5	1	Under
05/06	vs LAD	2-11L	6	0	Over
05/05	vs LAD	3-4L	6	2	Under
05/03	vs SEA	5-2W	6	0	Under
05/02	vs SEA	2-3L	7	0	Under
05/01	vs SEA	1-2L	3	0	Under
04/30	@ CLE	4-2W	9	0	Under
04/29	@ CLE	2-3L	7	0	Under
04/28	@ CLE	6-2W	8	1	Push
04/26	@ MIA	4-3W	10	0	Under
04/25	@ MIA	5-0W	10	1	Under
04/24	@ MIA	3-0W	8	1	Under
04/23	@ TEX	4-6L	5	1	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/09	vs STL	7-5W	14	2	Over
05/08	vs STL	4-3W	10	1	Under
05/07	vs TB	6-7L	8	1	Over
05/06	vs TB	1-3L	6	0	Under
05/05	vs TB	8-10L	10	2	Over
05/04	@ CHC	7-6W	8	0	Over
05/03	@ CHC	0-1L	5	0	Under
05/02	@ CHC	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/01	@ CHC	1-3L	4	1	Under
04/30	@ STL	4-2W	8	2	Under
04/29	@ STL	4-7L	7	1	Over
04/28	@ STL	2-4L	8	1	Under
04/26	vs SF	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/25	vs SF	1-5L	9	0	Under
04/24	vs SF	2-5L	4	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	10.1	13.0	0.275	0.366	45.0%	81.7%	1.5%
#2 Ozzie Albies	8.2	10.9	0.29	0.43	39.3%	82.2%	1.9%
#3 Austin Riley	8.9	11.8	0.246	0.399	34.8%	74.6%	2.2%
#4 Matt Olson	8.6	11.7	0.205	0.361	37.7%	73.8%	2.5%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	7.8	10.6	0.315	0.646	44.1%	108.7%	9.4%
#6 Orlando Arcia	7.0	9.0	0.27	0.429	31.0%	73.8%	2.4%
#7 Michael Harris II	7.1	9.0	0.255	0.38	30.7%	68.6%	2.2%
#8 Travis d’Arnaud	6.2	8.4	0.265	0.542	38.6%	92.8%	6.0%
#9 Adam Duvall	5.7	7.7	0.216	0.373	35.3%	72.5%	3.9%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	7.9	10.8	0.229	0.412	46.6%	87.8%	3.8%
#2 Starling Marte	6.7	8.6	0.269	0.396	33.6%	73.1%	3.0%
#3 Francisco Lindor	7.8	10.4	0.211	0.387	31.7%	70.4%	4.2%
#4 Pete Alonso	7.5	10.1	0.212	0.445	33.6%	78.1%	6.6%
#5 DJ Stewart	7.9	11.0	0.185	0.415	47.7%	89.2%	6.2%
#6 J.D. Martinez	7.5	8.9	0.297	0.351	37.8%	73.0%	0.0%
#7 Brett Baty	5.5	7.1	0.257	0.354	35.4%	70.8%	2.7%
#8 Jeff McNeil	6.1	7.7	0.248	0.32	36.0%	68.0%	0.8%
#9 Tomas Nido	4.1	5.0	0.229	0.343	25.7%	60.0%	2.9%