Braves vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some serious MLB excitement as the sizzling Atlanta Braves bring their top game to the Big Apple, facing off against the New York Mets at Citi Field today at the crack of the afternoon bat! With the Braves looking to tighten their grip on the National League standings and the Mets itching to claw back from their recent stumble, this matchup is more loaded than a grand slam plate. The stakes are sky-high and the odds are buzzing, setting the scene for a showdown that’s as unpredictable as a curveball in the ninth. And with Mother Nature playing nice, offering up a perfect sunny backdrop with just a whisper of wind, there’s nothing but clear skies for today’s game. So, as the Mets try to “Met-a-morphose” their recent fortunes and the Braves aim to “Brave” their way further up the ranks, this game is gearing up to be a classic diamond duel!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 11, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ENE at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 57.0° with 44% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-157	+131	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-157	+131	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	0	0	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

151W-104L

61.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

149W-108L

38.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+7.5
04/08/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+7.5
04/09/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+3.5
04/09/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+3.5
04/11/24	New York Mets NYM	16	Over	+12.5
04/11/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+12.5
05/10/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-1.5
05/10/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.5
04/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.5
04/28/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-3.5
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	21	Over	+16.5
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+16.5
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Over	+0.5
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+0.5
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+9.5
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+9.5
06/06/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+2.5
06/06/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.5
06/07/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+4.5
06/07/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+4.5
06/08/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+15.5
06/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	13	Over	+15.5
08/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-0.5
08/11/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-0.5
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-1.5
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-1.5
08/13/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+5.5
08/13/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+5.5
08/21/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+6.5
08/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+6.5
08/22/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
08/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-2.5
08/23/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-0.5
08/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-0.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Max Fried

ERA 4.226 | IP 38.3 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 32.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-05-24	@LAD	1-5L	7.0	4	4	7	Under
04-29-24	@SEA	1-2L	6.0	0	0	7	Under
04-23-24	vsMIA	0-5W	9.0	3	0	6	Under
04-17-24	@HOU	5-4W	5.0	7	3	2	Over
04-12-24	@MIA	8-1W	6.3	4	1	4	Over
04-06-24	vsARI	8-9W	4.3	10	8	5	Over
03-30-24	@PHI	12-4W	0.7	2	3	1	Over
09-21-23	@WAS	10-3W	6.0	3	1	7	Over
09-12-23	@PHI	7-6W	5.0	4	1	6	Over
09-07-23	vsSTL	5-8W	6.0	6	3	4	Over

Christian Scott

ERA 1.35 | IP 6.7 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 6.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-04-24	@TB	1-3L	6.7	5	1	6	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/12	vs NYM	4-2W	7	3	Under
05/10	@ BOS	5-0W	9	3	Under
05/09	@ BOS	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/07	vs LAD	1-5L	5	1	Under
05/06	vs LAD	2-11L	6	0	Over
05/05	vs LAD	3-4L	6	2	Push
05/03	vs SEA	5-2W	6	0	Push
05/02	vs SEA	2-3L	7	0	Under
05/01	vs SEA	1-2L	3	0	Under
04/30	@ CLE	4-2W	9	0	Under
04/29	@ CLE	2-3L	7	0	Under
04/28	@ CLE	6-2W	8	1	Over
04/26	@ MIA	4-3W	10	0	Push
04/25	@ MIA	5-0W	10	1	Under
04/24	@ MIA	3-0W	8	1	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/12	@ ATL	2-4L	4	1	Under
05/09	vs STL	7-5W	14	2	Over
05/08	vs STL	4-3W	10	1	Push
05/07	vs TB	6-7L	8	1	Over
05/06	vs TB	1-3L	6	0	Under
05/05	vs TB	8-10L	10	2	Over
05/04	@ CHC	7-6W	8	0	Over
05/03	@ CHC	0-1L	5	0	Under
05/02	@ CHC	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/01	@ CHC	1-3L	4	1	Under
04/30	@ STL	4-2W	8	2	Under
04/29	@ STL	4-7L	7	1	Over
04/28	@ STL	2-4L	8	1	Under
04/26	vs SF	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/25	vs SF	1-5L	9	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	10.1	13.1	0.272	0.382	44.1%	82.4%	2.2%
#2 Ozzie Albies	7.5	9.9	0.291	0.455	40.0%	85.5%	2.7%
#3 Austin Riley	7.7	10.1	0.248	0.397	35.5%	75.2%	2.1%
#4 Matt Olson	7.7	10.4	0.206	0.381	37.3%	75.4%	3.2%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	7.0	9.5	0.313	0.634	43.5%	106.9%	9.2%
#6 Travis d’Arnaud	6.4	8.6	0.267	0.535	39.5%	93.0%	5.8%
#7 Michael Harris II	7.0	8.8	0.248	0.369	29.8%	66.7%	2.1%
#8 Orlando Arcia	5.8	7.4	0.262	0.415	30.0%	71.5%	2.3%
#9 Jarred Kelenic	5.4	6.8	0.303	0.395	38.2%	77.6%	1.3%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Tyrone Taylor	6.4	8.3	0.284	0.419	32.4%	74.3%	2.7%
#2 Starling Marte	6.5	8.4	0.263	0.387	33.6%	72.3%	2.9%
#3 Francisco Lindor	7.0	9.3	0.212	0.404	31.5%	71.9%	4.8%
#4 Pete Alonso	7.2	9.6	0.22	0.454	34.0%	79.4%	6.4%
#5 J.D. Martinez	7.2	8.5	0.268	0.317	34.1%	65.9%	0.0%
#6 Brett Baty	5.3	6.9	0.252	0.348	34.8%	69.6%	2.6%
#7 Harrison Bader	5.4	6.8	0.262	0.32	31.1%	63.1%	1.0%
#8 Jeff McNeil	4.8	6.1	0.244	0.315	36.2%	67.7%	0.8%
#9 Tomas Nido	3.7	4.6	0.211	0.316	23.7%	55.3%	2.6%