Braves vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the thick of the action as the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets square off in a nail-biter at Citi Field tonight! Both teams are neck-and-neck in the standings, each looking to claw their way up the National League ranks with the Braves just a hair’s breadth ahead. The first pitch is set to fly at 07:10 PM EST under a clear sky, with a gentle northern breeze setting the stage. With the over/under teasing at 8.5, betting lines buzzing, and both teams fresh off a closely contested game just yesterday, the stakes couldn’t be higher. As the sun sets on Queens, will the Braves chop down the competition, or will the Mets swing their way to another victory? One thing’s for sure, in this battle of titans, expect the Braves to try and ‘mete’ out some revenge or the Mets to ‘brave’ their way to back-to-back wins!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 26, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 7.6 mph. Temperature is at 82.3° with 32% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+107	-128	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+113	-135	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+6	-7	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

164W-122L

46.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

167W-122L

53.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+6.5
04/08/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+6.5
04/09/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+2.5
04/09/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.5
04/11/24	New York Mets NYM	16	Over	+11.5
04/11/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+11.5
05/10/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-2.5
05/10/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
05/11/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.5
05/11/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-3.5
05/12/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-1.5
05/12/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-1.5
07/25/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-3.5
07/25/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-3.5
04/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-4.5
04/28/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-4.5
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	21	Over	+15.5
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+15.5
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-0.5
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-0.5
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+8.5
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+8.5
06/06/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.5
06/06/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+1.5
06/07/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+3.5
06/07/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+3.5
06/08/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+14.5
06/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	13	Over	+14.5
08/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.5
08/11/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-1.5
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-2.5
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-2.5
08/13/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+4.5
08/13/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+4.5
08/21/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+5.5
08/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+5.5
08/22/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-3.5
08/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-3.5
08/23/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-1.5
08/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Charlie Morton

ERA 3.932 | IP 103.0 | 5.0W-5.0L | KO 101.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-20-24	vsSTL	2-3W	6.0	6	1	4	Under
07-10-24	@ARI	5-7L	6.3	5	4	5	Over
07-04-24	vsSF	4-2L	5.3	5	4	5	Under
06-28-24	vsPIT	1-6W	6.3	3	0	7	Under
06-22-24	@NYY	3-8L	5.7	5	5	4	Over
06-15-24	vsTB	2-9W	6.0	3	1	8	Over
06-08-24	@WAS	3-7L	5.0	7	5	3	Over
06-02-24	vsOAK	1-3W	6.0	1	0	6	Under
05-27-24	vsWAS	8-4L	5.7	12	8	7	Over
05-21-24	@CHC	3-4L	5.0	4	2	8	Under

Kodai Senga

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

No notable injuries to report

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/27	vs NYM	2-3L	7	0	Under
07/26	@ CIN	4-9L	10	0	Over
07/24	@ CIN	1-4L	3	0	Under
07/23	@ STL	2-6L	9	1	Over
07/22	@ STL	5-9L	9	4	Over
07/22	@ STL	3-2W	6	1	Under
07/15	vs SD	0-4L	5	0	Under
07/14	vs SD	6-1W	9	3	Under
07/13	vs ARI	0-1L	5	0	Under
07/12	vs ARI	5-7L	8	1	Over
07/11	vs ARI	6-2W	11	1	Over
07/10	vs ARI	5-4W	8	2	Over
07/09	@ PHI	6-0W	9	4	Under
07/08	@ PHI	5-1W	6	2	Under
07/07	@ PHI	6-8L	8	3	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/27	@ ATL	3-2W	3	1	Under
07/26	vs NYY	12-3W	14	5	Over
07/25	vs NYY	3-2W	8	1	Under
07/24	vs MIA	6-4W	11	3	Over
07/23	vs MIA	2-4L	8	0	Under
07/22	vs MIA	1-0W	6	0	Under
07/21	vs MIA	4-6L	8	2	Over
07/15	@ COL	7-3W	6	1	Over
07/14	@ COL	7-6W	10	5	Over
07/13	@ WAS	7-0W	9	0	Under
07/12	@ WAS	6-2W	12	1	Over
07/11	@ WAS	7-5W	11	2	Over
07/10	vs PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
07/09	vs PIT	3-2W	9	0	Under
07/08	vs PIT	5-2W	11	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarred Kelenic	8.1	10.4	0.253	0.423	0.328	0.751	0.309	0.038
#2 Austin Riley	8.5	11.2	0.258	0.458	0.366	0.825	0.335	0.040
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.4	11.2	0.305	0.586	0.435	1.022	0.405	0.076
#4 Matt Olson	8.5	11.2	0.227	0.395	0.343	0.738	0.303	0.035
#5 Adam Duvall	6.7	8.8	0.183	0.313	0.270	0.583	0.245	0.032
#6 Eddie Rosario	5.6	7.4	0.185	0.335	0.242	0.577	0.242	0.035
#7 Sean Murphy	6.7	8.7	0.212	0.364	0.322	0.686	0.283	0.042
#8 Nacho Alvarez Jr.	6.5	6.5	0.077	0.077	0.077	0.154	0.067	0.000
#9 Orlando Arcia	5.1	6.5	0.217	0.334	0.271	0.605	0.254	0.021

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.0	11.9	0.256	0.483	0.373	0.856	0.347	0.054
#2 Brandon Nimmo	8.2	11.1	0.239	0.433	0.417	0.850	0.339	0.044
#3 J.D. Martinez	8.1	10.7	0.256	0.433	0.381	0.815	0.330	0.037
#4 Pete Alonso	7.4	9.8	0.244	0.451	0.370	0.821	0.333	0.049
#5 Mark Vientos	6.5	8.6	0.290	0.545	0.375	0.920	0.373	0.065
#6 Jeff McNeil	6.3	8.2	0.230	0.363	0.309	0.672	0.279	0.028
#7 Jose Iglesias	6.3	8.1	0.351	0.546	0.423	0.969	0.393	0.031
#8 Francisco Alvarez	5.9	7.8	0.276	0.442	0.391	0.833	0.337	0.026
#9 Harrison Bader	5.3	6.9	0.264	0.404	0.325	0.729	0.302	0.029

Braves Notable Injuries

Max Fried OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/13/24. Impact: 8.8
Ozzie Albies OUT (2B): Avg: 0.254 SLG:0.402 Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 2.4

Mets Notable Injuries

Christian Scott OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 4.0
Reed Garrett OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.8