Braves vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some sizzling MLB action as the Atlanta Braves duke it out with the New York Mets at the iconic Citi Field today at 4:10 PM EST! With both teams neck-and-neck in the National League standings, this face-off is more than just a game; it’s a battle for supremacy. The Braves, just a hair behind the Mets, are looking to settle scores and climb the ranks, making every pitch and swing count. The stakes are as high as today’s balmy weather, with clear skies and a gentle breeze setting the stage. Betting enthusiasts, take note: the line’s tight with the Braves at -103 and the Mets at -117, and an over/under that promises plenty of action. After yesterday’s showdown where the Mets came out on top, the Braves are hungry for redemption. So, who will take the crown in this clash of titans? It’s a perfect day for some Mets to brave the heat and a chance for the Braves to mete out some payback!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 27, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SSE at 3.4 mph. Temperature is at 86.9° with 30% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-103	-117	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-103	-117	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

164W-123L

50.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

168W-122L

49.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+6.5
04/08/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+6.5
04/09/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+2.5
04/09/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.5
04/11/24	New York Mets NYM	16	Over	+11.5
04/11/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+11.5
05/10/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-2.5
05/10/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
05/11/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.5
05/11/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-3.5
05/12/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-1.5
05/12/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-1.5
07/25/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-3.5
07/25/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-3.5
07/26/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+3.5
07/26/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+3.5
04/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-4.5
04/28/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-4.5
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	21	Over	+15.5
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+15.5
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-0.5
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-0.5
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+8.5
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+8.5
06/06/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.5
06/06/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+1.5
06/07/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+3.5
06/07/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+3.5
06/08/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+14.5
06/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	13	Over	+14.5
08/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.5
08/11/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-1.5
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-2.5
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-2.5
08/13/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+4.5
08/13/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+4.5
08/21/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+5.5
08/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+5.5
08/22/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-3.5
08/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-3.5
08/23/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-1.5
08/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

S. Schwellenbach

ERA 4.618 | IP 50.7 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 49.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-21-24	vsSTL	6-2L	6.0	7	4	8	Push
07-12-24	@SD	6-1W	7.0	3	1	3	Under
07-06-24	vsPHI	1-5W	6.0	7	1	6	Under
06-30-24	vsPIT	4-2L	5.0	5	4	7	Under
06-24-24	@STL	3-4L	5.0	8	4	6	Under
06-18-24	vsDET	1-2W	6.0	3	1	7	Under
06-12-24	@BAL	2-4L	6.0	4	2	3	Under
06-05-24	@BOS	0-9L	4.7	7	6	4	Over
05-29-24	vsWAS	7-2L	5.0	5	3	5	Over

Tylor Megill

ERA 4.846 | IP 39.0 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 49.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-29-24	vsHOU	9-6L	5.3	5	4	6	Over
06-22-24	@CHC	1-8L	3.0	5	6	6	Over
06-16-24	vsSD	6-11W	5.0	5	2	5	Over
06-11-24	vsMIA	4-2L	4.7	4	3	8	Under
06-03-24	@WAS	8-7W	5.0	7	5	4	Over
05-28-24	vsLAD	5-2L	7.0	3	0	9	Under
05-20-24	@CLE	1-3L	5.0	4	3	7	Under
03-31-24	vsMIL	4-1L	4.0	3	2	4	Under
09-30-23	vsPHI	3-4W	7.3	4	1	7	Under
09-22-23	@PHI	4-5L	6.0	5	3	6	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/28	vs NYM	4-8L	7	3	Over
07/27	vs NYM	2-3L	7	0	Under
07/26	@ CIN	4-9L	10	0	Over
07/24	@ CIN	1-4L	3	0	Under
07/23	@ STL	2-6L	9	1	Push
07/22	@ STL	5-9L	9	4	Over
07/22	@ STL	3-2W	6	1	Under
07/15	vs SD	0-4L	5	0	Under
07/14	vs SD	6-1W	9	3	Under
07/13	vs ARI	0-1L	5	0	Under
07/12	vs ARI	5-7L	8	1	Over
07/11	vs ARI	6-2W	11	1	Push
07/10	vs ARI	5-4W	8	2	Over
07/09	@ PHI	6-0W	9	4	Under
07/08	@ PHI	5-1W	6	2	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/28	@ ATL	8-4W	8	3	Over
07/27	@ ATL	3-2W	3	1	Under
07/26	vs NYY	12-3W	14	5	Over
07/25	vs NYY	3-2W	8	1	Under
07/24	vs MIA	6-4W	11	3	Over
07/23	vs MIA	2-4L	8	0	Under
07/22	vs MIA	1-0W	6	0	Under
07/21	vs MIA	4-6L	8	2	Over
07/15	@ COL	7-3W	6	1	Over
07/14	@ COL	7-6W	10	5	Over
07/13	@ WAS	7-0W	9	0	Under
07/12	@ WAS	6-2W	12	1	Push
07/11	@ WAS	7-5W	11	2	Over
07/10	vs PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
07/09	vs PIT	3-2W	9	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarred Kelenic	9.2	11.8	0.250	0.419	0.328	0.747	0.307	0.037
#2 Austin Riley	9.7	12.7	0.255	0.452	0.361	0.812	0.330	0.039
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.3	11.0	0.308	0.595	0.440	1.035	0.410	0.078
#4 Matt Olson	9.3	12.2	0.228	0.394	0.346	0.740	0.303	0.035
#5 Adam Duvall	7.7	10.2	0.188	0.340	0.273	0.613	0.256	0.039
#6 Eddie Rosario	6.5	8.6	0.182	0.330	0.239	0.568	0.239	0.034
#7 Sean Murphy	6.5	8.4	0.212	0.364	0.322	0.686	0.283	0.042
#8 Nacho Alvarez Jr.	5.5	6.6	0.062	0.062	0.125	0.188	0.093	0.000
#9 Orlando Arcia	5.4	6.9	0.217	0.333	0.271	0.604	0.254	0.021

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.3	11.0	0.254	0.478	0.372	0.850	0.345	0.053
#2 Brandon Nimmo	7.6	10.3	0.237	0.430	0.419	0.848	0.338	0.044
#3 J.D. Martinez	7.6	10.1	0.263	0.449	0.387	0.836	0.338	0.040
#4 Pete Alonso	7.4	9.8	0.242	0.447	0.370	0.817	0.331	0.049
#5 Jeff McNeil	6.8	8.9	0.231	0.364	0.308	0.673	0.280	0.028
#6 Mark Vientos	6.1	8.1	0.296	0.562	0.384	0.946	0.383	0.069
#7 Jose Iglesias	5.7	7.4	0.350	0.540	0.430	0.970	0.393	0.030
#8 DJ Stewart	5.2	7.1	0.176	0.304	0.412	0.716	0.289	0.034
#9 Luis Torrens	4.5	6.0	0.276	0.517	0.362	0.879	0.359	0.052

Braves Notable Injuries

Max Fried OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/13/24. Impact: 8.8
Ozzie Albies OUT (2B): Avg: 0.254 SLG:0.402 Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 2.4

Mets Notable Injuries

Christian Scott OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 4.0
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.6
Reed Garrett OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.8