Braves vs Phillies Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Citizens Bank Park tonight as the Atlanta Braves, hot on the heels of their recent slip-up, look to settle scores against the Philadelphia Phillies, who are riding high at the top of the National League. With the first pitch at 07:10 PM EST, the stakes are sky-high and the betting lines buzzing. The Braves, trailing slightly in the conference rankings, are itching to claw back into contention, while the Phillies aim to fortify their lead after shutting out Atlanta just yesterday. Under the overcast skies of Philly, with a gentle breeze swirling around, the stage is set for a clash that’s bound to keep the run counters busy. As the humidity hangs heavy and the fans buzz with anticipation, tonight’s game could very well be a case of the Braves taking a swing at the liberty bell or the Phillies continuing to forge their path to supremacy!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 01, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 75.9° with 79% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+119	-142	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+119	-142	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

178W-130L

45.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

186W-121L

54.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+3.5
09/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+3.5
03/29/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+3.5
03/29/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+3.5
03/30/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	12	Over	+7.5
03/30/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+7.5
03/31/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+0.5
03/31/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+0.5
07/05/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+5.5
07/05/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+5.5
07/06/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-2.5
07/06/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-2.5
07/07/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Under	-2.5
07/07/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-2.5
08/20/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-4.5
08/20/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-4.5
08/21/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-3.5
08/21/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-3.5
08/22/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-3.5
08/22/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-3.5
08/29/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+0.5
08/29/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+0.5
08/30/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+0.5
08/30/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Over	+0.5
08/31/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	0	Under	-5.5
08/31/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-5.5
05/25/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+4.5
05/25/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+4.5
05/26/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+1.5
05/26/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+1.5
05/27/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-5.5
05/27/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-5.5
05/28/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+6.5
05/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	11	Over	+6.5
06/20/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-2.5
06/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
09/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+9.5
09/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+9.5
06/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-2.5
06/22/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-2.5
09/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+4.5
09/12/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+4.5
09/13/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.5
09/13/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-3.5
09/18/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Under	-0.5
09/18/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-0.5
09/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+3.5
09/19/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+3.5
09/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+2.5
09/20/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+2.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Phillies Vs Over/Under

S. Schwellenbach

ERA 3.724 | IP 87.0 | 5.0W-6.0L | KO 102.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-27-24	@MIN	8-6W	4.7	5	0	8	Over
08-22-24	vsPHI	2-3W	6.7	3	2	9	Under
08-16-24	@LAA	2-3L	5.0	4	3	8	Under
08-11-24	@COL	8-9L	6.0	6	2	7	Over
08-02-24	vsMIA	3-5W	7.0	6	3	10	Push
07-27-24	@NYM	4-0W	7.0	2	0	11	Under
07-21-24	vsSTL	6-2L	6.0	7	4	8	Push
07-12-24	@SD	6-1W	7.0	3	1	3	Under
07-06-24	vsPHI	1-5W	6.0	7	1	6	Under
06-30-24	vsPIT	4-2L	5.0	5	4	7	Under

Aaron Nola

ERA 3.355 | IP 166.3 | 12.0W-6.0L | KO 153.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-27-24	vsHOU	0-5W	7.0	4	0	6	Under
08-21-24	@ATL	3-2W	5.3	8	2	5	Under
08-16-24	vsWAS	2-3W	6.7	7	0	4	Under
08-10-24	@ARI	1-11L	5.0	9	4	4	Over
08-05-24	@LAD	3-5L	6.0	8	4	4	Push
07-30-24	vsNYY	7-6L	5.7	7	2	4	Over
07-24-24	@MIN	4-5L	6.0	6	1	6	Over
07-19-24	@PIT	7-8L	5.0	6	4	4	Over
07-11-24	vsLAD	1-5W	6.0	4	1	9	Under
07-05-24	@ATL	8-6W	6.0	5	3	8	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/02	vs PHI	0-3L	6	0	Under
09/01	vs PHI	7-2W	9	3	Over
08/31	vs PHI	4-5L	7	2	Over
08/30	vs MIN	5-1W	8	1	Under
08/29	vs MIN	8-6W	11	1	Over
08/28	vs MIN	10-6W	13	2	Over
08/27	@ WAS	1-5L	3	1	Under
08/26	@ WAS	4-2W	11	2	Under
08/25	@ WAS	3-2W	8	1	Under
08/24	@ PHI	3-2W	10	1	Under
08/23	@ PHI	2-3L	9	1	Under
08/22	@ PHI	3-1W	7	1	Under
08/20	vs LAA	3-1W	8	1	Under
08/19	vs LAA	11-3W	12	3	Over
08/18	vs LAA	2-3L	8	0	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/02	@ ATL	3-0W	5	2	Under
09/01	@ ATL	2-7L	7	2	Over
08/31	@ ATL	5-4W	7	2	Over
08/30	@ HOU	0-10L	3	0	Over
08/29	@ HOU	5-0W	11	1	Under
08/28	@ HOU	3-2W	9	1	Under
08/27	vs KC	11-3W	16	1	Over
08/26	vs KC	11-2W	18	2	Over
08/25	vs KC	4-7L	11	0	Over
08/24	vs ATL	2-3L	3	0	Under
08/23	vs ATL	3-2W	5	0	Under
08/22	vs ATL	1-3L	5	0	Under
08/20	@ WAS	4-6L	10	3	Over
08/19	@ WAS	5-1W	10	0	Under
08/18	@ WAS	3-2W	10	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Whit Merrifield	7.3	9.4	0.215	0.314	0.341	0.655	0.270	0.015
#2 Jorge Soler	7.8	10.5	0.235	0.425	0.391	0.817	0.328	0.042
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.4	11.1	0.307	0.579	0.427	1.006	0.401	0.073
#4 Matt Olson	9.0	12.0	0.235	0.450	0.355	0.805	0.327	0.050
#5 Travis d’Arnaud	7.4	9.8	0.243	0.443	0.329	0.773	0.318	0.047
#6 Michael Harris II	8.2	10.4	0.245	0.362	0.310	0.672	0.279	0.025
#7 Orlando Arcia	6.3	8.1	0.226	0.371	0.305	0.675	0.280	0.033
#8 Ramon Laureano	5.6	7.3	0.245	0.413	0.332	0.745	0.308	0.038
#9 Gio Urshela	5.2	6.7	0.248	0.337	0.310	0.648	0.270	0.015

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	8.5	11.6	0.240	0.455	0.451	0.906	0.355	0.060
#2 Trea Turner	9.1	11.7	0.295	0.452	0.361	0.813	0.334	0.035
#3 Bryce Harper	9.7	12.9	0.279	0.522	0.421	0.943	0.375	0.057
#4 Alec Bohm	7.4	9.7	0.288	0.457	0.376	0.833	0.340	0.026
#5 Nick Castellanos	7.7	10.1	0.249	0.422	0.329	0.751	0.309	0.037
#6 Bryson Stott	6.6	8.5	0.245	0.363	0.368	0.731	0.298	0.024
#7 J.T. Realmuto	7.1	9.2	0.262	0.420	0.344	0.763	0.314	0.035
#8 Brandon Marsh	5.9	7.7	0.246	0.423	0.368	0.791	0.320	0.041
#9 Austin Hays	6.3	8.1	0.264	0.403	0.343	0.745	0.309	0.019

Braves Notable Injuries

Austin Riley OUT (3B): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.464 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.8
Travis d’Arnaud OUT (C): Avg: 0.243 SLG:0.443 Last game: 09/02/24. Impact: 2.9
A.J. Minter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 1.2