Braves vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Atlanta Braves, boasting a solid 29-19 record, swoop into PNC Park for a showdown with the Pittsburgh Pirates, who are sailing at 24-28 this season. The first pitch is set to fly at 04:05 PM EST, and with both teams looking to climb their way up from 6 games back in the National League, this game is more than just a regular matchup. The stakes? High. The betting lines? Braves are the favorites at -153, but with the Pirates riding the wave of a recent 11-5 triumph over these very Braves, who knows what twists and turns this game might take! Plus, the weather’s playing ball too—sunny skies, a gentle breeze from the SSW, and perfect game-time temps. So, as the Braves try to chop down the competition and the Pirates aim to plunder a victory, this clash is set to be nothing short of legendary!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 25, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SSW at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 77.0° with 60% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-153	+128	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-168	+140	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-15	+12	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

154W-107L

62.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

120W-145L

37.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/24/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+7.5
05/24/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	11	Over	+7.5
08/07/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+4.5
08/07/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+4.5
08/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+5.5
08/08/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+5.5
08/09/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.5
08/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+2.5
08/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+3.5
08/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+3.5
09/08/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+1.5
09/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+1.5
09/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+3.5
09/09/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+3.5
09/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-1.5
09/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-1.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Reynaldo Lopez

ERA 1.543 | IP 46.7 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 44.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-20-24	vsSD	6-5L	6.3	5	2	4	Over
05-13-24	vsCHC	0-2W	5.0	2	0	4	Under
05-07-24	vsBOS	2-4W	5.3	6	2	5	Under
04-30-24	@SEA	2-3L	5.0	6	3	7	Under
04-24-24	vsMIA	3-4W	7.0	3	1	6	Under
04-16-24	@HOU	6-2W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
04-09-24	vsNYM	5-6W	6.0	3	0	6	Over
04-02-24	@CWS	2-3L	6.0	4	1	5	Under
09-29-23	@DET	7-5L	1.0	2	0	1	Over
09-27-23	@CIN	3-4W	1.0	0	0	1	Under

Mitch Keller

ERA 3.836 | IP 61.0 | 5.0W-3.0L | KO 54.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-19-24	@CHC	3-2W	6.0	2	2	3	Under
05-13-24	@MIL	8-6W	6.0	8	0	7	Over
05-06-24	vsLAA	1-4W	9.0	5	1	5	Under
04-30-24	@OAK	2-5L	5.0	5	3	7	Under
04-25-24	vsMIL	7-5L	5.0	6	4	7	Over
04-20-24	vsBOS	4-2L	6.0	5	4	4	Under
04-14-24	@PHI	9-2W	7.0	8	2	4	Over
04-08-24	vsDET	4-7W	6.0	5	2	9	Over
04-03-24	@WAS	3-5L	5.3	8	5	5	Under
03-28-24	@MIA	6-5W	5.7	7	5	3	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/26	vs PIT	5-11L	7	1	Over
05/25	vs CHC	3-0W	6	1	Under
05/24	vs CHC	9-1W	9	3	Over
05/23	vs CHC	3-4L	5	2	Under
05/22	@ SD	5-6L	12	2	Over
05/22	@ SD	3-0W	11	1	Under
05/21	@ SD	1-9L	4	0	Over
05/19	@ SD	1-3L	7	0	Under
05/17	@ CHC	1-7L	8	0	Under
05/16	@ CHC	7-0W	9	2	Under
05/15	@ CHC	2-0W	10	0	Under
05/14	vs NYM	3-4L	6	1	Under
05/13	vs NYM	4-1W	7	1	Under
05/12	vs NYM	4-2W	7	3	Under
05/10	@ BOS	5-0W	9	3	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/26	@ ATL	11-5W	14	1	Over
05/25	@ SF	6-7L	9	3	Over
05/24	@ SF	5-9L	6	1	Over
05/23	@ SF	7-6W	11	0	Over
05/21	vs CHC	3-2W	10	1	Under
05/20	vs CHC	0-1L	4	0	Under
05/19	vs CHC	9-3W	15	2	Over
05/18	vs CHC	5-4W	7	2	Over
05/17	vs MIL	2-10L	8	1	Over
05/16	vs MIL	3-4L	3	2	Under
05/15	vs MIL	8-6W	13	3	Over
05/14	@ CHC	4-5L	8	2	Over
05/13	@ CHC	10-9W	11	5	Over
05/12	@ CHC	2-7L	7	0	Over
05/10	@ LAA	4-5L	6	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	11.1	14.5	0.257	0.372	42.1%	79.2%	2.2%
#2 Ozzie Albies	10.0	13.1	0.264	0.38	36.2%	74.2%	1.8%
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.6	11.5	0.318	0.631	45.5%	108.5%	8.5%
#4 Matt Olson	10.1	13.5	0.223	0.406	37.1%	77.7%	4.0%
#5 Travis d’Arnaud	7.9	10.6	0.263	0.483	38.1%	86.4%	4.2%
#6 Michael Harris II	9.1	11.5	0.255	0.38	30.7%	68.8%	2.6%
#7 Orlando Arcia	7.1	9.2	0.242	0.404	28.1%	68.5%	2.8%
#8 Zack Short	5.0	6.9	0.146	0.188	35.4%	54.2%	0.0%
#9 Jarred Kelenic	6.9	8.7	0.259	0.389	32.4%	71.3%	2.8%

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	7.1	9.4	0.232	0.397	39.7%	79.5%	4.6%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.2	10.6	0.258	0.426	37.8%	80.4%	3.3%
#3 Oneil Cruz	7.7	9.9	0.251	0.433	32.6%	75.9%	3.7%
#4 Connor Joe	7.2	9.5	0.273	0.46	38.5%	84.5%	3.7%
#5 Nick Gonzales	6.2	8.2	0.3	0.5	40.0%	90.0%	4.0%
#6 Yasmani Grandal	6.1	8.3	0.217	0.413	23.9%	65.2%	4.3%
#7 Rowdy Tellez	5.5	7.2	0.175	0.225	26.7%	49.2%	0.8%
#8 Jared Triolo	5.0	6.5	0.206	0.273	33.3%	60.6%	1.8%
#9 Ji Hwan Bae	5.2	7.1	0.143	0.143	28.6%	42.9%	0.0%