Braves vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the Atlanta Braves, boasting a solid 29-19 record, charge into PNC Park to face the scrappy Pittsburgh Pirates, who are sitting at a 24-28 tally. The stakes are high in this afternoon showdown set for 04:05 PM EST, with both teams looking to climb their way up from a 6.0-game gap in the National League rankings. The betting scene is buzzing with an over/under of 8.5, favoring the Braves at -153, while the Pirates sail in at +128, fresh off a victory that had them plundering Atlanta just yesterday. With the weather playing nice—partly cloudy skies, a gentle southern breeze, and temps hanging at a comfy 72 degrees—it’s the perfect backdrop for what promises to be an electrifying game. Will the Braves tomahawk their way to redemption, or will the Pirates hoist their flag for another conquest? Let’s find out if today’s game will be a case of the Braves storming the ship or the Pirates raiding the mound!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 25, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the S at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 72.0° with 73% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-153	+128	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-158	+132	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-5	+4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

154W-107L

61.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

120W-145L

38.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/24/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+7.5
05/24/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	11	Over	+7.5
08/07/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+4.5
08/07/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+4.5
08/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+5.5
08/08/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+5.5
08/09/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.5
08/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+2.5
08/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+3.5
08/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+3.5
09/08/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+1.5
09/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+1.5
09/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+3.5
09/09/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+3.5
09/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-1.5
09/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-1.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Reynaldo Lopez

ERA 1.543 | IP 46.7 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 44.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-20-24	vsSD	6-5L	6.3	5	2	4	Over
05-13-24	vsCHC	0-2W	5.0	2	0	4	Under
05-07-24	vsBOS	2-4W	5.3	6	2	5	Under
04-30-24	@SEA	2-3L	5.0	6	3	7	Under
04-24-24	vsMIA	3-4W	7.0	3	1	6	Under
04-16-24	@HOU	6-2W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
04-09-24	vsNYM	5-6W	6.0	3	0	6	Over
04-02-24	@CWS	2-3L	6.0	4	1	5	Under
09-29-23	@DET	7-5L	1.0	2	0	1	Over
09-27-23	@CIN	3-4W	1.0	0	0	1	Under

Mitch Keller

ERA 3.836 | IP 61.0 | 5.0W-3.0L | KO 54.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-19-24	@CHC	3-2W	6.0	2	2	3	Under
05-13-24	@MIL	8-6W	6.0	8	0	7	Over
05-06-24	vsLAA	1-4W	9.0	5	1	5	Under
04-30-24	@OAK	2-5L	5.0	5	3	7	Under
04-25-24	vsMIL	7-5L	5.0	6	4	7	Over
04-20-24	vsBOS	4-2L	6.0	5	4	4	Under
04-14-24	@PHI	9-2W	7.0	8	2	4	Over
04-08-24	vsDET	4-7W	6.0	5	2	9	Over
04-03-24	@WAS	3-5L	5.3	8	5	5	Under
03-28-24	@MIA	6-5W	5.7	7	5	3	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/26	vs PIT	5-11L	7	1	Over
05/25	vs CHC	3-0W	6	1	Under
05/24	vs CHC	9-1W	9	3	Over
05/23	vs CHC	3-4L	5	2	Under
05/22	@ SD	5-6L	12	2	Over
05/22	@ SD	3-0W	11	1	Under
05/21	@ SD	1-9L	4	0	Over
05/19	@ SD	1-3L	7	0	Under
05/17	@ CHC	1-7L	8	0	Under
05/16	@ CHC	7-0W	9	2	Under
05/15	@ CHC	2-0W	10	0	Under
05/14	vs NYM	3-4L	6	1	Under
05/13	vs NYM	4-1W	7	1	Under
05/12	vs NYM	4-2W	7	3	Under
05/10	@ BOS	5-0W	9	3	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/26	@ ATL	11-5W	14	1	Over
05/25	@ SF	6-7L	9	3	Over
05/24	@ SF	5-9L	6	1	Over
05/23	@ SF	7-6W	11	0	Over
05/21	vs CHC	3-2W	10	1	Under
05/20	vs CHC	0-1L	4	0	Under
05/19	vs CHC	9-3W	15	2	Over
05/18	vs CHC	5-4W	7	2	Over
05/17	vs MIL	2-10L	8	1	Over
05/16	vs MIL	3-4L	3	2	Under
05/15	vs MIL	8-6W	13	3	Over
05/14	@ CHC	4-5L	8	2	Over
05/13	@ CHC	10-9W	11	5	Over
05/12	@ CHC	2-7L	7	0	Over
05/10	@ LAA	4-5L	6	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	11.8	15.4	0.257	0.372	42.1%	79.2%	2.2%
#2 Ozzie Albies	9.4	12.3	0.264	0.38	36.2%	74.2%	1.8%
#3 Marcell Ozuna	9.2	12.3	0.318	0.631	45.5%	108.5%	8.5%
#4 Matt Olson	9.7	13.0	0.223	0.406	37.1%	77.7%	4.0%
#5 Travis d’Arnaud	7.9	10.6	0.263	0.483	38.1%	86.4%	4.2%
#6 Michael Harris II	9.7	12.2	0.255	0.38	30.7%	68.8%	2.6%
#7 Orlando Arcia	6.5	8.4	0.242	0.404	28.1%	68.5%	2.8%
#8 Zack Short	5.5	7.6	0.146	0.188	35.4%	54.2%	0.0%
#9 Jarred Kelenic	6.7	8.4	0.259	0.389	32.4%	71.3%	2.8%

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	6.8	9.0	0.232	0.397	39.7%	79.5%	4.6%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	7.8	10.1	0.258	0.426	37.8%	80.4%	3.3%
#3 Oneil Cruz	8.2	10.5	0.251	0.433	32.6%	75.9%	3.7%
#4 Connor Joe	6.8	9.0	0.273	0.46	38.5%	84.5%	3.7%
#5 Nick Gonzales	6.3	8.4	0.3	0.5	40.0%	90.0%	4.0%
#6 Yasmani Grandal	5.6	7.6	0.217	0.413	23.9%	65.2%	4.3%
#7 Rowdy Tellez	5.9	7.6	0.175	0.225	26.7%	49.2%	0.8%
#8 Jared Triolo	5.2	6.7	0.206	0.273	33.3%	60.6%	1.8%
#9 Ji Hwan Bae	5.3	7.3	0.143	0.143	28.6%	42.9%	0.0%