Braves vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Petco Park tonight as the Atlanta Braves, boasting a solid 51-41 record, roll into San Diego to clash with the Padres, who are sitting at 49-47 this season. The stakes are high with the first pitch at 09:40 PM EST, as both teams look to claw back in the National League standings. With the betting world buzzing, the line’s set with the Braves as slight favorites in a game predicting just over 8 runs. Both squads are itching to bounce back from recent narrow defeats, under the partly cloudy skies of San Diego, where the breeze barely brushes at a mild 75 degrees. As the Braves try to tomahawk their way to victory, the Padres will be swinging for the fences, hoping to pad their stats and climb the ranks. Tonight, it’s all about whether the Braves can chop down the competition or if the Padres will ride the wave to a home victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 12, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 75.0° with 69% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-131	+109	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-120	+100	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+11	-9	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

163W-120L

54.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

154W-135L

45.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/17/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-4.5
05/17/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-4.5
05/20/24	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-5.5
05/20/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-5.5
05/19/24	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+1.5
05/19/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Over	+1.5
05/20/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+2.5
05/20/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+2.5
04/06/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+4.5
04/06/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+4.5
04/07/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+0.5
04/07/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+0.5
04/08/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-3.5
04/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-3.5
04/09/23	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+3.5
04/09/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Over	+3.5
04/17/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-6.5
04/17/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-6.5
04/18/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+0.5
04/18/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Over	+0.5
04/19/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	0	Under	-7.5
04/19/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-7.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

S. Schwellenbach

ERA 5.018 | IP 37.7 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 38.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-06-24	vsPHI	1-5W	6.0	7	1	6	Under
06-30-24	vsPIT	4-2L	5.0	5	4	7	Under
06-24-24	@STL	3-4L	5.0	8	4	6	Under
06-18-24	vsDET	1-2W	6.0	3	1	7	Under
06-12-24	@BAL	2-4L	6.0	4	2	3	Under
06-05-24	@BOS	0-9L	4.7	7	6	4	Over
05-29-24	vsWAS	7-2L	5.0	5	3	5	Over

Randy Vasquez

ERA 4.655 | IP 58.0 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 38.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-05-24	vsARI	8-10W	6.3	6	2	6	Over
06-28-24	@BOS	9-2W	4.0	5	1	1	Over
06-22-24	vsMIL	4-6W	5.0	5	0	3	Over
06-17-24	@PHI	2-9L	4.3	12	6	2	Over
06-11-24	vsOAK	3-4W	5.0	7	1	5	Under
06-06-24	vsARI	4-3L	6.7	6	3	3	Under
06-01-24	@KC	7-3W	5.0	4	3	5	Over
05-20-24	@ATL	0-3L	6.0	10	3	2	Under
05-13-24	vsCOL	5-4L	3.7	8	5	0	Over
05-07-24	@CHC	2-3L	4.3	5	1	6	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/13	vs ARI	0-1L	5	0	Under
07/12	vs ARI	5-7L	8	1	Over
07/11	vs ARI	6-2W	11	1	Push
07/10	vs ARI	5-4W	8	2	Over
07/09	@ PHI	6-0W	9	4	Under
07/08	@ PHI	5-1W	6	2	Under
07/07	@ PHI	6-8L	8	3	Over
07/06	@ SF	2-4L	8	0	Under
07/05	@ SF	3-1W	10	0	Under
07/04	@ SF	3-5L	6	2	Push
07/02	@ PIT	2-4L	6	0	Under
07/01	@ PIT	2-1W	7	1	Under
06/30	@ PIT	6-1W	10	1	Under
06/29	vs CWS	0-1L	3	0	Under
06/28	vs STL	1-4L	6	0	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/12	@ SEA	0-2L	6	0	Under
07/11	@ SEA	3-8L	4	2	Over
07/09	@ ARI	1-9L	4	1	Over
07/08	@ ARI	5-7L	14	0	Over
07/07	@ ARI	10-8W	14	3	Over
07/06	vs TEX	3-1W	9	1	Under
07/05	vs TEX	6-4W	13	2	Over
07/04	vs TEX	0-7L	2	0	Under
07/02	vs BOS	1-4L	8	0	Under
07/01	vs BOS	11-1W	16	4	Over
06/30	vs BOS	9-2W	12	2	Over
06/28	@ WAS	8-5W	9	2	Over
06/27	@ WAS	9-7W	9	2	Over
06/26	@ WAS	7-6W	8	0	Over
06/25	@ MIL	2-6L	8	0	Push

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarred Kelenic	8.9	11.4	0.271	0.443	0.344	0.786	0.323	0.038
#2 Ozzie Albies	8.9	11.6	0.254	0.402	0.337	0.740	0.305	0.024
#3 Austin Riley	9.3	12.2	0.263	0.463	0.373	0.837	0.339	0.040
#4 Matt Olson	8.8	11.6	0.236	0.419	0.357	0.776	0.316	0.038
#5 Marcell Ozuna	8.6	11.5	0.298	0.567	0.424	0.991	0.395	0.070
#6 Adam Duvall	7.1	9.4	0.184	0.325	0.276	0.601	0.252	0.035
#7 Eddie Rosario	5.7	7.6	0.180	0.322	0.236	0.558	0.235	0.030
#8 Sean Murphy	6.9	8.9	0.219	0.390	0.314	0.705	0.291	0.048
#9 Orlando Arcia	5.6	7.1	0.208	0.325	0.260	0.584	0.246	0.019

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.2	10.1	0.308	0.376	0.360	0.736	0.305	0.005
#2 Jurickson Profar	7.2	9.5	0.310	0.492	0.464	0.956	0.378	0.044
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.6	10.0	0.257	0.432	0.361	0.793	0.324	0.038
#4 Manny Machado	7.5	9.8	0.261	0.403	0.330	0.733	0.302	0.033
#5 Donovan Solano	6.2	7.9	0.286	0.398	0.379	0.776	0.318	0.019
#6 Jackson Merrill	7.0	8.9	0.286	0.447	0.338	0.785	0.323	0.039
#7 Ha-Seong Kim	6.6	8.7	0.230	0.385	0.382	0.767	0.310	0.032
#8 David Peralta	4.8	6.3	0.237	0.312	0.338	0.650	0.271	0.013
#9 Kyle Higashioka	4.4	5.9	0.224	0.552	0.276	0.828	0.341	0.095

Braves Notable Injuries

Michael Harris II OUT (OF): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.358 Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 2.0
Ray Kerr OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/17/24. Impact: 1.9
Ramon Laureano OUT (OF): Avg: 0.181 SLG:0.305 Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 2.1
Hurston Waldrep OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: -3.2

Padres Notable Injuries

Fernando Tatis Jr. OUT (OF): Avg: 0.277 SLG:0.47 Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 2.8
Tom Cosgrove OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: -0.3