Braves vs Nationals Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the Atlanta Braves, boasting a solid 79-66 record, roll into Nationals Park with their eyes set on the prize against the Washington Nationals, who are trying to find their footing at 64-80 this season. The action kicks off at 6:45 PM EST, under the partly cloudy skies of a warm D.C. evening, with just a hint of a breeze to keep things interesting. Fresh off a dominating 12-0 victory against these very Nationals, the Braves are looking to keep that momentum going, while the Nats are itching for redemption after the recent blowout. With the betting lines tilting in favor of Atlanta and an over/under of 7.5, tonight’s matchup promises plenty of fireworks. So, as the Braves aim to chop down the competition and the Nationals hope to rewrite their recent history, brace yourself for a battle that’s sure to be more thrilling than a political debate in the capital!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 11, 2024 06:45PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSE at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 84.0° with 40% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-174	+143	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-181	+149	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-7	+6	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

179W-131L

64.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

124W-185L

35.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/27/24	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+4.5
05/27/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+4.5
05/28/24	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-5.5
05/28/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-5.5
05/29/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+1.5
05/29/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Over	+1.5
05/30/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-3.5
05/30/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-3.5
06/06/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-0.5
06/06/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-0.5
06/07/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-4.5
06/07/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-4.5
06/08/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Over	+2.5
06/08/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+2.5
06/09/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+5.5
06/09/24	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+5.5
08/23/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.5
08/23/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-2.5
08/24/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-1.5
08/24/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-1.5
08/25/24	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Under	-1.5
08/25/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-1.5
09/10/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	12	Over	+4.5
09/10/24	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Over	+4.5
03/30/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+1.5
03/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+1.5
10/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	10	Over	+11.5
10/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+11.5
04/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+0.5
04/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Over	+0.5
04/02/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	1	Under	-2.5
04/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-2.5
06/09/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.5
06/09/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-2.5
06/10/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+2.5
06/10/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.5
06/11/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+0.5
06/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Over	+0.5
09/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	10	Over	+5.5
09/21/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+5.5
09/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+7.5
09/22/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+7.5
09/24/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+5.5
09/24/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+5.5
09/24/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-2.5
09/24/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-2.5
09/29/23	Washington Nationals WAS	10	Over	+8.5
09/29/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+8.5
09/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+0.5
09/30/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+0.5

Braves Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Max Fried

ERA 3.352 | IP 147.7 | 9.0W-8.0L | KO 138.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-06-24	vsTOR	1-3W	7.0	5	1	8	Under
08-31-24	@PHI	0-3L	7.0	5	3	4	Under
08-26-24	@MIN	10-6W	5.0	4	3	7	Over
08-21-24	vsPHI	3-2L	7.0	4	2	4	Under
08-15-24	@SF	0-6L	5.3	5	3	5	Under
08-10-24	@COL	11-8W	5.0	7	5	9	Over
08-04-24	vsMIA	7-0L	3.3	4	5	6	Under
07-11-24	@ARI	0-1L	6.0	5	1	7	Under
07-05-24	vsPHI	8-6L	6.0	11	5	4	Over
06-29-24	vsPIT	1-2W	6.0	6	1	4	Under

Jake Irvin

ERA 4.056 | IP 162.0 | 9.0W-11.0L | KO 137.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-05-24	@PIT	4-9L	5.0	7	6	4	Over
08-30-24	vsCHC	7-6L	4.7	8	7	6	Over
08-24-24	@ATL	2-4L	5.3	5	2	3	Under
08-18-24	@PHI	6-4W	6.0	8	4	5	Over
08-13-24	@BAL	9-3W	6.0	7	2	3	Over
08-07-24	vsSF	7-4L	5.0	8	5	4	Over
08-02-24	vsMIL	8-3L	5.7	6	4	4	Over
07-27-24	@STL	14-3W	5.3	4	2	5	Over
07-21-24	vsCIN	2-5W	7.0	5	2	7	Under
07-09-24	@NYM	5-7L	6.0	9	6	2	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/12	vs WAS	12-0W	15	4	Over
09/11	@ CIN	0-1L	2	0	Under
09/10	@ TOR	4-3W	8	1	Under
09/09	@ TOR	5-9L	10	0	Over
09/08	@ TOR	3-1W	7	0	Under
09/07	@ COL	1-3L	5	0	Under
09/06	@ COL	5-2W	7	1	Under
09/05	@ COL	3-0W	7	0	Under
09/03	vs PHI	2-3L	6	1	Under
09/02	vs PHI	0-3L	6	0	Under
09/01	vs PHI	7-2W	9	3	Over
08/31	vs PHI	4-5L	7	2	Over
08/30	vs MIN	5-1W	8	1	Under
08/29	vs MIN	8-6W	11	1	Over
08/28	vs MIN	10-6W	13	2	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/12	@ ATL	0-12L	3	0	Over
09/10	vs PIT	3-7L	6	1	Over
09/09	vs PIT	8-6W	13	1	Over
09/09	vs PIT	4-3W	7	1	Under
09/07	vs PIT	4-9L	10	1	Over
09/06	vs MIA	3-4L	5	0	Under
09/05	vs MIA	6-2W	11	2	Over
09/03	@ CHC	1-14L	5	0	Over
09/02	@ CHC	2-5L	10	1	Under
09/01	@ CHC	6-7L	8	1	Over
08/30	@ NYY	5-2W	10	1	Under
08/29	@ NYY	4-2W	7	2	Under
08/28	@ NYY	2-5L	5	2	Under
08/27	vs ATL	5-1W	8	0	Under
08/26	vs ATL	2-4L	10	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Michael Harris II	10.0	12.7	0.245	0.376	0.302	0.678	0.282	0.030
#2 Jorge Soler	8.4	11.2	0.231	0.414	0.382	0.796	0.321	0.039
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.8	11.6	0.306	0.563	0.428	0.991	0.395	0.069
#4 Matt Olson	9.0	12.0	0.238	0.444	0.361	0.805	0.327	0.047
#5 Sean Murphy	7.6	9.9	0.209	0.369	0.325	0.694	0.286	0.044
#6 Jarred Kelenic	7.6	9.9	0.239	0.407	0.317	0.724	0.298	0.038
#7 Gio Urshela	5.8	7.4	0.243	0.328	0.303	0.631	0.263	0.014
#8 Orlando Arcia	5.8	7.4	0.221	0.365	0.299	0.664	0.276	0.033
#9 Luke Williams	4.6	6.4	0.196	0.261	0.304	0.565	0.239	0.000

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Dylan Crews	6.4	8.4	0.200	0.440	0.320	0.760	0.310	0.060
#2 James Wood	6.8	8.9	0.274	0.417	0.422	0.839	0.336	0.022
#3 Juan Yepez	6.5	8.4	0.276	0.443	0.362	0.805	0.329	0.029
#4 Andres Chaparro	6.6	8.8	0.250	0.489	0.352	0.841	0.344	0.045
#5 Jose Tena	5.7	7.1	0.302	0.406	0.354	0.760	0.314	0.021
#6 Keibert Ruiz	5.3	6.9	0.228	0.370	0.278	0.647	0.271	0.033
#7 CJ Abrams	5.7	7.5	0.236	0.417	0.339	0.756	0.310	0.037
#8 Ildemaro Vargas	5.1	6.6	0.261	0.339	0.339	0.678	0.281	0.004
#9 Jacob Young	4.7	6.0	0.258	0.339	0.346	0.685	0.284	0.007

Braves Notable Injuries

Austin Riley OUT (3B): Avg: 0.257 SLG:0.464 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 2.8
Travis d’Arnaud OUT (C): Avg: 0.24 SLG:0.432 Last game: 09/10/24. Impact: 2.2
Whit Merrifield OUT (2B): Avg: 0.213 SLG:0.31 Last game: 09/08/24. Impact: 1.8
A.J. Minter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 1.2

Nationals Notable Injuries

Alex Call OUT (OF): Avg: 0.343 SLG:0.525 Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 3.0
Joan Adon OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 0.9