Orioles vs Red Sox Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 9th 2024

thefield
Baltimore Orioles

Orioles

5W-4L

Baltimore Orioles

April 09, 2024

02:10PM EST

Odds: 8.5 o/u

Red Sox

7W-3L

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox

Alright, folks, it’s time to loosen up those armchairs and dust off your lucky caps because we’ve got a rip-roaring AL showdown brewing at the historic Fenway Park. The 5W-4L Baltimore Orioles, still licking their wounds from a narrow loss against Pittsburgh, are flying north to challenge the 7W-3L Boston Red Sox, who are still riding high on the wave of their recent thrashing of the Angels. The first pitch is set to sizzle across the plate at 02:10PM EST, and with the O’s 3.0 games behind in the conference and the Sox nipping at their heels just 1.5 games back, you can bet your last hotdog this is gonna be a nail-biter. The bookies have the over/under at 8.5, with the Orioles at -134 and the Red Sox at 112. And to add to the drama, Mother Nature is playing ball too, serving up a sunny day with a gentle breeze from the north and a comfy 55.9°. So, whether you’re an Oriole hoping to peck away at the competition or a Red Sox ready to sock it to ’em, this is one game that promises to ruffle some feathers and knock a few socks off!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 09, 2024 02:10PM EST
Location: Fenway Park, Boston
Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 55.9° with 45% humidity.

Vegas Odds

BAL ML BOS ML Over/Under Line
Open -134 +112 8.5 -1.5/1.5
Recent -132 +110 8.0 -1.5/1.5
Difference +2 -2 -0.5

Team Performance

bal Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
AWAY
115W-129L

56.9% Win Probability

bos Team Logo
LAST 10
7W-3L
HOME
127W-111L

43.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
03/30/23 Baltimore Orioles BAL 10 Over +10.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 9
10/01/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 6 Under -1.5
Baltimore Orioles BAL 1
04/01/23 Baltimore Orioles BAL 8 Over +8.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 9
04/02/23 Baltimore Orioles BAL 5 Over +5.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 9
04/24/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 4 Over +0.5
Baltimore Orioles BAL 5
04/25/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 8 Over +5.5
Baltimore Orioles BAL 6
04/26/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 2 Under -0.5
Baltimore Orioles BAL 6
09/08/23 Baltimore Orioles BAL 11 Over +4.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 2
09/09/23 Baltimore Orioles BAL 13 Over +16.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 12
09/10/23 Baltimore Orioles BAL 3 Over +1.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 7
09/28/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 0 Under -6.5
Baltimore Orioles BAL 2
09/29/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 3 Under -5.5
Baltimore Orioles BAL 0
09/30/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 2 Under -1.5
Baltimore Orioles BAL 5

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Corbin Burnes
Corbin Burnes
ERA 3.392 | IP 193.7 | 10.0W-8.0L | KO 200.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
04-03-24 vsKC 3-4W 5.7 9 2 3 Under
03-28-24 vsLAA 3-11W 6.0 1 1 11 Over
09-28-23 @STL 0-3W 4.0 5 0 4 Under
09-22-23 @MIA 16-1L 5.0 2 0 6 Over
09-16-23 @WAS 5-9W 5.7 5 4 9 Over
09-10-23 @NYY 3-4W 8.0 0 0 7 Under
09-04-23 @PIT 2-4W 6.0 7 4 7 Under
08-29-23 @CHC 0-1W 7.0 8 1 7 Under
08-23-23 @MIN 7-8W 6.0 8 6 5 Over
08-17-23 @LAD 0-1W 7.0 2 0 9 Under
Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello
ERA 4.242 | IP 157.0 | 12.0W-11.0L | KO 132.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
04-02-24 @OAK 5-4W 5.0 5 4 6 Over
03-28-24 @SEA 6-4W 5.0 5 2 2 Over
09-27-23 vsTB 5-0L 6.0 9 5 3 Under
09-20-23 @TEX 5-15L 3.0 8 8 2 Over
09-15-23 @TOR 0-3L 6.0 4 3 10 Under
09-10-23 vsBAL 3-7W 5.0 7 3 4 Over
09-04-23 @TB 7-3W 6.0 5 3 7 Over
08-29-23 vsHOU 6-2L 4.7 4 3 2 Push
08-24-23 @HOU 17-1W 7.0 9 1 4 Over
08-18-23 @NYY 8-3W 6.0 6 1 4 Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
04/09 vs PIT 2-3L 6 0 Under
04/08 vs PIT 4-5L 4 0 Over
04/07 vs PIT 5-2W 12 3 Under
04/05 @ KC 4-3W 6 0 Under
04/04 @ KC 1-4L 3 0 Under
04/03 @ KC 6-4W 9 2 Over
04/02 @ LAA 1-4L 3 0 Under
04/01 @ LAA 13-4W 14 2 Over
03/30 @ LAA 11-3W 10 2 Over
10/03 @ BOS 1-6L 2 0 Under
10/02 @ BOS 5-2W 7 0 Under
10/01 @ BOS 0-3L 3 0 Under
09/30 @ BOS 2-0W 4 1 Under
09/29 @ WAS 5-1W 9 1 Under
09/28 @ WAS 1-0W 6 1 Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
04/09 vs LAA 12-2W 12 4 Over
04/08 vs LAA 1-2L 3 0 Under
04/07 vs LAA 8-6W 9 5 Over
04/05 vs OAK 1-0W 10 0 Under
04/04 vs OAK 5-4W 12 0 Over
04/03 vs OAK 9-0W 9 0 Over
04/02 vs SEA 5-1W 10 2 Under
04/01 vs SEA 3-4L 7 0 Under
03/31 vs SEA 0-1L 4 0 Under
03/30 vs SEA 6-4W 11 2 Over
10/03 vs BAL 6-1W 5 0 Under
10/02 vs BAL 2-5L 14 0 Under
10/01 vs BAL 3-0W 4 1 Under
09/30 vs BAL 0-2L 3 0 Under
09/29 @ TB 0-5L 3 0 Under

Team’s Batting Order

Orioles Notable Injuries

  • Cionel Perez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/01/24. Impact: -0.2

Red Sox Notable Injuries

  • Trevor Story OUT (SS): Avg: 0.203 SLG:0.316 Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 2.6
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