Orioles vs Red Sox Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 9th 2024
Orioles
5W-4L
April 09, 2024
02:10PM EST
Odds: 8.5 o/u
Red Sox
7W-3L
Alright, folks, it’s time to loosen up those armchairs and dust off your lucky caps because we’ve got a rip-roaring AL showdown brewing at the historic Fenway Park. The 5W-4L Baltimore Orioles, still licking their wounds from a narrow loss against Pittsburgh, are flying north to challenge the 7W-3L Boston Red Sox, who are still riding high on the wave of their recent thrashing of the Angels. The first pitch is set to sizzle across the plate at 02:10PM EST, and with the O’s 3.0 games behind in the conference and the Sox nipping at their heels just 1.5 games back, you can bet your last hotdog this is gonna be a nail-biter. The bookies have the over/under at 8.5, with the Orioles at -134 and the Red Sox at 112. And to add to the drama, Mother Nature is playing ball too, serving up a sunny day with a gentle breeze from the north and a comfy 55.9°. So, whether you’re an Oriole hoping to peck away at the competition or a Red Sox ready to sock it to ’em, this is one game that promises to ruffle some feathers and knock a few socks off!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 09, 2024 02:10PM EST
Location: Fenway Park, Boston
Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 55.9° with 45% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| BAL ML | BOS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -134 | +112 | 8.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Recent | -132 | +110 | 8.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Difference | +2 | -2 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
56.9% Win Probability
43.1% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/30/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 10 | Over | +10.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 9 | ||||
| 10/01/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 1 | ||||
| 04/01/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 8 | Over | +8.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 9 | ||||
| 04/02/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 5 | Over | +5.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 9 | ||||
| 04/24/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | Over | +0.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 5 | ||||
| 04/25/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 8 | Over | +5.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | ||||
| 04/26/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | ||||
| 09/08/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 11 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | ||||
| 09/09/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 13 | Over | +16.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 12 | ||||
| 09/10/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 3 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | ||||
| 09/28/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 0 | Under | -6.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 2 | ||||
| 09/29/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | Under | -5.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 0 | ||||
| 09/30/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 5 |
Orioles Vs Over/Under
Red Sox Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-03-24 | vsKC | 3-4W | 5.7 | 9 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 03-28-24 | vsLAA | 3-11W | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | Over |
| 09-28-23 | @STL | 0-3W | 4.0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| 09-22-23 | @MIA | 16-1L | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 09-16-23 | @WAS | 5-9W | 5.7 | 5 | 4 | 9 | Over |
| 09-10-23 | @NYY | 3-4W | 8.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 09-04-23 | @PIT | 2-4W | 6.0 | 7 | 4 | 7 | Under |
| 08-29-23 | @CHC | 0-1W | 7.0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 08-23-23 | @MIN | 7-8W | 6.0 | 8 | 6 | 5 | Over |
| 08-17-23 | @LAD | 0-1W | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02-24 | @OAK | 5-4W | 5.0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | Over |
| 03-28-24 | @SEA | 6-4W | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | Over |
| 09-27-23 | vsTB | 5-0L | 6.0 | 9 | 5 | 3 | Under |
| 09-20-23 | @TEX | 5-15L | 3.0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | Over |
| 09-15-23 | @TOR | 0-3L | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | Under |
| 09-10-23 | vsBAL | 3-7W | 5.0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 09-04-23 | @TB | 7-3W | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Over |
| 08-29-23 | vsHOU | 6-2L | 4.7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | Push |
| 08-24-23 | @HOU | 17-1W | 7.0 | 9 | 1 | 4 | Over |
| 08-18-23 | @NYY | 8-3W | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | Over |
Orioles Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | vs PIT | 2-3L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/08 | vs PIT | 4-5L | 4 | 0 | Over |
| 04/07 | vs PIT | 5-2W | 12 | 3 | Under |
| 04/05 | @ KC | 4-3W | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/04 | @ KC | 1-4L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/03 | @ KC | 6-4W | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/02 | @ LAA | 1-4L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/01 | @ LAA | 13-4W | 14 | 2 | Over |
| 03/30 | @ LAA | 11-3W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 10/03 | @ BOS | 1-6L | 2 | 0 | Under |
| 10/02 | @ BOS | 5-2W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 10/01 | @ BOS | 0-3L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 09/30 | @ BOS | 2-0W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 09/29 | @ WAS | 5-1W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 09/28 | @ WAS | 1-0W | 6 | 1 | Under |
Red Sox Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | vs LAA | 12-2W | 12 | 4 | Over |
| 04/08 | vs LAA | 1-2L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/07 | vs LAA | 8-6W | 9 | 5 | Over |
| 04/05 | vs OAK | 1-0W | 10 | 0 | Under |
| 04/04 | vs OAK | 5-4W | 12 | 0 | Over |
| 04/03 | vs OAK | 9-0W | 9 | 0 | Over |
| 04/02 | vs SEA | 5-1W | 10 | 2 | Under |
| 04/01 | vs SEA | 3-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 03/31 | vs SEA | 0-1L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 03/30 | vs SEA | 6-4W | 11 | 2 | Over |
| 10/03 | vs BAL | 6-1W | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 10/02 | vs BAL | 2-5L | 14 | 0 | Under |
| 10/01 | vs BAL | 3-0W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 09/30 | vs BAL | 0-2L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 09/29 | @ TB | 0-5L | 3 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Baltimore Orioles | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.1 | 14.7 | 0.254 | 0.49 | 35.9% | 84.9% | 5.0% | |
| 10.1 | 13.3 | 0.276 | 0.43 | 43.5% | 86.5% | 3.3% | |
| 9.9 | 13.1 | 0.254 | 0.46 | 35.4% | 81.4% | 4.4% | |
| 8.9 | 11.7 | 0.268 | 0.45 | 36.3% | 81.3% | 4.3% | |
|
#5
Ryan O’Hearn
|
8.2 | 10.7 | 0.288 | 0.48 | 34.0% | 82.0% | 4.1% |
| 8.6 | 11.5 | 0.231 | 0.414 | 34.1% | 75.4% | 3.8% | |
| 7.2 | 9.3 | 0.261 | 0.399 | 34.5% | 74.4% | 1.5% | |
| 5.8 | 8.3 | 0.103 | 0.138 | 36.2% | 50.0% | 0.0% | |
|
#9
Ramon Urias
|
6.6 | 8.6 | 0.262 | 0.366 | 36.1% | 72.7% | 0.8% |
| Boston Red Sox | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jarren Duran
|
8.2 | 10.5 | 0.294 | 0.482 | 37.6% | 85.8% | 2.4% |
| 7.7 | 10.3 | 0.271 | 0.502 | 39.8% | 89.9% | 5.7% | |
| 8.2 | 10.7 | 0.231 | 0.403 | 34.9% | 75.2% | 3.8% | |
| 7.4 | 9.8 | 0.263 | 0.49 | 42.9% | 91.8% | 5.6% | |
| 6.9 | 8.9 | 0.287 | 0.439 | 36.4% | 80.3% | 2.6% | |
| 6.1 | 7.7 | 0.241 | 0.386 | 30.1% | 68.7% | 2.4% | |
| 5.2 | 6.7 | 0.266 | 0.453 | 33.1% | 78.4% | 4.3% | |
| 5.2 | 6.5 | 0.267 | 0.358 | 33.2% | 69.0% | 0.5% | |
| 5.2 | 6.8 | 0.121 | 0.182 | 30.3% | 48.5% | 0.0% |
Orioles Notable Injuries
- Cionel Perez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/01/24. Impact: -0.2
Red Sox Notable Injuries
- Trevor Story OUT (SS): Avg: 0.203 SLG:0.316 Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 2.6
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