Orioles vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to watch sparks fly at Fenway tonight as the Baltimore Orioles swoop into Boston to challenge the Red Sox in a clash that’s got everyone buzzing! With the Orioles perched at the top of the American League and the Sox trailing not too far behind, this game is more than just a battle; it’s a quest for supremacy. The stakes are as high as the over/under at 9.5, and with both teams licking their wounds from recent defeats, they’re hungry for victory. The first pitch is set to fly at 7:10 PM EST under a partly cloudy sky, with a crisp breeze setting the stage. So, as the Orioles try to peck their way to victory, will the Red Sox swing back hard enough to turn the tides at their historic home ground? It’s a game where feathers will fly and bats will swing!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 09, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 75.0° with 32% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BAL ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+100	-120	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+102	-122	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+2	-2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

154W-156L

49.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

159W-150L

50.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/09/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Under	-1.5
04/09/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-1.5
04/10/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+2.5
04/10/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+2.5
04/11/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	9	Over	+3.5
04/11/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+3.5
05/27/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+4.5
05/27/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+4.5
05/28/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+1.5
05/28/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+1.5
05/29/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-2.5
05/29/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Under	-2.5
08/15/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-3.5
08/15/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Under	-3.5
08/16/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	12	Over	+12.5
08/16/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	10	Over	+12.5
08/17/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-3.5
08/17/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-3.5
08/18/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-3.5
08/18/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Under	-3.5
03/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	10	Over	+9.5
03/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+9.5
10/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Under	-2.5
10/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-2.5
04/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	8	Over	+7.5
04/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+7.5
04/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+4.5
04/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+4.5
04/24/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-0.5
04/24/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Under	-0.5
04/25/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+4.5
04/25/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+4.5
04/26/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-1.5
04/26/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Under	-1.5
09/08/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+3.5
09/08/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+3.5
09/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	13	Over	+15.5
09/09/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	12	Over	+15.5
09/10/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+0.5
09/10/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+0.5
09/28/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-7.5
09/28/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-7.5
09/29/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-6.5
09/29/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-6.5
09/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-2.5
09/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Under	-2.5

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Cade Povich

ERA 5.764 | IP 59.3 | 2.0W-7.0L | KO 47.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-03-24	vsCWS	0-9W	7.3	5	0	10	Under
08-29-24	@LAD	3-6L	3.3	10	5	3	Under
08-23-24	vsHOU	5-7W	5.0	8	5	3	Over
08-17-24	vsBOS	5-1L	6.3	6	2	6	Under
07-29-24	vsTOR	8-4L	4.3	7	6	1	Over
07-12-24	vsNYY	4-1L	5.3	5	3	6	Under
07-06-24	@OAK	8-19L	1.0	5	8	1	Over
06-29-24	vsTEX	5-6W	5.0	5	2	3	Over
06-24-24	vsCLE	3-2L	5.7	7	3	5	Under
06-19-24	@NYY	7-6W	4.7	1	1	1	Over

Brayan Bello

ERA 4.776 | IP 135.7 | 11.0W-7.0L | KO 132.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-02-24	@NYM	1-4L	5.0	7	4	4	Under
08-28-24	vsTOR	0-3W	8.0	2	0	9	Under
08-23-24	vsARI	12-2L	5.3	7	5	2	Over
08-17-24	@BAL	5-1W	6.0	2	1	6	Under
08-12-24	vsTEX	4-5W	6.0	4	1	5	Under
08-06-24	@KC	6-5W	4.7	5	3	6	Over
07-31-24	vsSEA	2-3W	6.3	7	2	7	Under
07-26-24	vsNYY	7-9W	5.0	5	3	4	Over
07-20-24	@LAD	6-7L	6.0	5	3	7	Over
07-09-24	vsOAK	9-12W	5.3	9	5	11	Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/10	@ TB	0-2L	5	0	Under
09/09	@ TB	1-7L	6	1	Under
09/08	@ TB	2-0W	4	1	Under
09/06	@ CWS	1-8L	7	1	Under
09/05	@ CWS	9-0W	9	0	Under
09/04	@ CWS	13-3W	18	2	Over
09/03	vs COL	6-1W	9	1	Under
09/02	vs COL	5-7L	7	2	Over
09/01	vs COL	5-3W	11	1	Under
08/31	vs LAD	3-6L	4	1	Under
08/30	vs LAD	4-6L	7	0	Over
08/29	vs LAD	3-2W	7	2	Under
08/27	@ HOU	3-6L	2	1	Under
08/26	@ HOU	3-2W	7	0	Under
08/25	@ HOU	7-5W	8	2	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/10	@ CWS	2-7L	8	2	Under
09/09	@ CWS	7-5W	10	2	Over
09/08	@ CWS	3-1W	5	1	Under
09/06	vs NYM	3-8L	9	0	Over
09/05	vs NYM	2-7L	6	0	Under
09/04	vs NYM	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/03	vs DET	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/02	vs DET	1-2L	4	1	Under
09/01	vs DET	7-5W	9	3	Over
08/31	@ TOR	0-2L	2	0	Under
08/30	@ TOR	3-0W	7	1	Under
08/29	@ TOR	6-3W	9	1	Under
08/28	@ TOR	1-4L	4	1	Under
08/28	@ TOR	3-7L	9	1	Over
08/27	@ ARI	5-7L	9	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	10.8	14.2	0.283	0.538	0.421	0.959	0.381	0.063
#2 Cedric Mullins	9.0	11.7	0.232	0.402	0.334	0.736	0.302	0.039
#3 Anthony Santander	9.2	12.3	0.237	0.501	0.342	0.843	0.342	0.072
#4 Ryan O’Hearn	8.1	10.6	0.263	0.425	0.376	0.802	0.325	0.034
#5 Adley Rutschman	8.9	11.7	0.255	0.401	0.363	0.764	0.312	0.036
#6 Eloy Jimenez	7.6	9.5	0.248	0.352	0.326	0.678	0.281	0.020
#7 Colton Cowser	7.4	9.8	0.239	0.434	0.361	0.795	0.323	0.046
#8 Coby Mayo	5.7	7.9	0.080	0.080	0.280	0.360	0.166	0.000
#9 Livan Soto	7.0	7.0	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	10.7	13.8	0.289	0.517	0.382	0.899	0.363	0.036
#2 Rafael Devers	9.0	12.0	0.276	0.533	0.402	0.936	0.374	0.056
#3 Rob Refsnyder	8.5	11.1	0.278	0.445	0.399	0.844	0.341	0.034
#4 Tyler O’Neill	10.1	13.4	0.256	0.528	0.399	0.927	0.370	0.076
#5 Romy Gonzalez	8.9	11.4	0.287	0.439	0.369	0.809	0.331	0.025
#6 Connor Wong	8.2	10.5	0.286	0.437	0.368	0.806	0.330	0.033
#7 Trevor Story	8.5	10.9	0.237	0.316	0.316	0.632	0.263	0.000
#8 Danny Jansen	6.8	9.0	0.209	0.356	0.348	0.704	0.288	0.032
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	6.6	8.5	0.251	0.405	0.294	0.700	0.291	0.031

Orioles Notable Injuries

Dean Kremer OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/08/24. Impact: 6.6
Ryan Mountcastle OUT (1B): Avg: 0.266 SLG:0.427 Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 1.8
Ramon Urias OUT (3B): Avg: 0.252 SLG:0.427 Last game: 09/02/24. Impact: 3.7

Red Sox Notable Injuries

James Paxton OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 4.1
David Hamilton OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.242 SLG:0.391 Last game: 08/30/24. Impact: 2.5
Cam Booser OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 0.6
Lucas Sims OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.2