Orioles vs Red Sox Game Breakdown
Orioles
81W-62L
September 10, 2024
07:10PM EST
Odds: 4.5 o/u
Red Sox
73W-69L
Get ready to rumble at Fenway tonight as the surging Baltimore Orioles swoop into Boston, looking to claw back into the top spot in the American League against the feisty Red Sox. With the Orioles just a whisker away from the lead and the Sox swinging to stay relevant, tonight’s 07:10 PM showdown promises all the drama we live for. The stakes are sky-high, and with the betting lines nearly neck-and-neck and an over/under that might just make your heart stop at 4.5, you know everyone’s playing for keeps. Fenway’s iconic green will be lit under partly cloudy skies, with a cool breeze setting the stage. After yesterday’s scoreboard explosion, where the Sox dominated, the O’s are hungry for a comeback. So, as the Orioles try to peck their way to victory, let’s see if the Red Sox can keep the bases loaded with surprises!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: September 10, 2024 07:10PM EST
Location: Fenway Park, Boston
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 69.1° with 55% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| BAL ML | BOS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -107 | -113 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +110 | -132 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +217 | -19 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
47.6% Win Probability
52.4% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/24 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 7 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 1 | ||||
| 04/10/24 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 7 | Over | +7.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 5 | ||||
| 04/11/24 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 9 | Over | +8.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | ||||
| 05/27/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | Over | +9.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 11 | ||||
| 05/28/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 8 | Over | +6.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 3 | ||||
| 05/29/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 1 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | ||||
| 08/15/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 1 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 5 | ||||
| 08/16/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 12 | Over | +17.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 10 | ||||
| 08/17/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 5 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 1 | ||||
| 08/18/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 4 | ||||
| 09/09/24 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 3 | Over | +10.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 12 | ||||
| 03/30/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 10 | Over | +14.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 9 | ||||
| 10/01/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 1 | ||||
| 04/01/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 8 | Over | +12.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 9 | ||||
| 04/02/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 5 | Over | +9.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 9 | ||||
| 04/24/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 5 | ||||
| 04/25/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 8 | Over | +9.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | ||||
| 04/26/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | ||||
| 09/08/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 11 | Over | +8.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | ||||
| 09/09/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 13 | Over | +20.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 12 | ||||
| 09/10/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 3 | Over | +5.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | ||||
| 09/28/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 0 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 2 | ||||
| 09/29/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 0 | ||||
| 09/30/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 5 |
Orioles Vs Over/Under
Red Sox Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09-24 | @BOS | 3-12L | 4.7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | Over |
| 09-03-24 | vsCWS | 0-9W | 7.3 | 5 | 0 | 10 | Push |
| 08-29-24 | @LAD | 3-6L | 3.3 | 10 | 5 | 3 | Push |
| 08-23-24 | vsHOU | 5-7W | 5.0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | Over |
| 08-17-24 | vsBOS | 5-1L | 6.3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | Under |
| 07-29-24 | vsTOR | 8-4L | 4.3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | Over |
| 07-12-24 | vsNYY | 4-1L | 5.3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | Under |
| 07-06-24 | @OAK | 8-19L | 1.0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 06-29-24 | vsTEX | 5-6W | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | Over |
| 06-24-24 | vsCLE | 3-2L | 5.7 | 7 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09-24 | vsBAL | 3-12W | 5.3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Over |
| 09-02-24 | @NYM | 1-4L | 5.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | Under |
| 08-28-24 | vsTOR | 0-3W | 8.0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 08-23-24 | vsARI | 12-2L | 5.3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | Over |
| 08-17-24 | @BAL | 5-1W | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 08-12-24 | vsTEX | 4-5W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | Push |
| 08-06-24 | @KC | 6-5W | 4.7 | 5 | 3 | 6 | Over |
| 07-31-24 | vsSEA | 2-3W | 6.3 | 7 | 2 | 7 | Under |
| 07-26-24 | vsNYY | 7-9W | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 07-20-24 | @LAD | 6-7L | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Over |
Orioles Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | vs BOS | 3-12L | 6 | 1 | Over |
| 09/10 | @ TB | 0-2L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 09/09 | @ TB | 1-7L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 09/08 | @ TB | 2-0W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 09/06 | @ CWS | 1-8L | 7 | 1 | Push |
| 09/05 | @ CWS | 9-0W | 9 | 0 | Push |
| 09/04 | @ CWS | 13-3W | 18 | 2 | Over |
| 09/03 | vs COL | 6-1W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 09/02 | vs COL | 5-7L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 09/01 | vs COL | 5-3W | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 08/31 | vs LAD | 3-6L | 4 | 1 | Push |
| 08/30 | vs LAD | 4-6L | 7 | 0 | Over |
| 08/29 | vs LAD | 3-2W | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 08/27 | @ HOU | 3-6L | 2 | 1 | Push |
| 08/26 | @ HOU | 3-2W | 7 | 0 | Under |
Red Sox Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | @ BAL | 12-3W | 15 | 4 | Over |
| 09/10 | @ CWS | 2-7L | 8 | 2 | Push |
| 09/09 | @ CWS | 7-5W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 09/08 | @ CWS | 3-1W | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 09/06 | vs NYM | 3-8L | 9 | 0 | Over |
| 09/05 | vs NYM | 2-7L | 6 | 0 | Push |
| 09/04 | vs NYM | 1-4L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 09/03 | vs DET | 1-4L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 09/02 | vs DET | 1-2L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 09/01 | vs DET | 7-5W | 9 | 3 | Over |
| 08/31 | @ TOR | 0-2L | 2 | 0 | Under |
| 08/30 | @ TOR | 3-0W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 08/29 | @ TOR | 6-3W | 9 | 1 | Push |
| 08/28 | @ TOR | 3-7L | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 08/28 | @ TOR | 1-4L | 4 | 1 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Baltimore Orioles | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.4 | 13.7 | 0.283 | 0.537 | 0.422 | 0.959 | 0.381 | 0.062 | |
| 8.8 | 11.5 | 0.231 | 0.400 | 0.335 | 0.735 | 0.301 | 0.039 | |
| 8.7 | 11.6 | 0.239 | 0.507 | 0.345 | 0.851 | 0.346 | 0.073 | |
|
#4
Ryan O’Hearn
|
7.7 | 10.1 | 0.260 | 0.421 | 0.375 | 0.796 | 0.323 | 0.033 |
| 8.8 | 11.5 | 0.257 | 0.403 | 0.364 | 0.767 | 0.313 | 0.036 | |
|
#6
Eloy Jimenez
|
7.5 | 9.4 | 0.244 | 0.347 | 0.322 | 0.669 | 0.278 | 0.019 |
| 7.0 | 9.3 | 0.238 | 0.432 | 0.364 | 0.796 | 0.323 | 0.046 | |
|
#8
Coby Mayo
|
6.1 | 8.5 | 0.069 | 0.069 | 0.241 | 0.310 | 0.146 | 0.000 |
|
#9
Livan Soto
|
4.9 | 7.3 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 0.127 | 0.000 |
| Boston Red Sox | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jarren Duran
|
10.8 | 13.9 | 0.287 | 0.513 | 0.379 | 0.891 | 0.361 | 0.036 |
| 9.1 | 12.0 | 0.279 | 0.534 | 0.405 | 0.938 | 0.375 | 0.055 | |
| 8.4 | 11.0 | 0.288 | 0.479 | 0.412 | 0.891 | 0.358 | 0.041 | |
| 9.5 | 12.7 | 0.260 | 0.548 | 0.402 | 0.950 | 0.378 | 0.080 | |
| 8.8 | 11.3 | 0.284 | 0.432 | 0.364 | 0.796 | 0.326 | 0.025 | |
|
#6
Connor Wong
|
8.1 | 10.4 | 0.285 | 0.434 | 0.366 | 0.801 | 0.328 | 0.033 |
|
#7
Trevor Story
|
8.1 | 10.3 | 0.238 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 0.619 | 0.259 | 0.000 |
|
#8
Danny Jansen
|
6.8 | 9.1 | 0.209 | 0.354 | 0.358 | 0.713 | 0.291 | 0.031 |
| 6.3 | 8.2 | 0.253 | 0.408 | 0.296 | 0.704 | 0.293 | 0.031 |
Orioles Notable Injuries
- Dean Kremer OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/08/24. Impact: 6.6
- Ryan Mountcastle OUT (1B): Avg: 0.266 SLG:0.427 Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 1.8
- Ramon Urias OUT (3B): Avg: 0.252 SLG:0.427 Last game: 09/02/24. Impact: 3.7
Red Sox Notable Injuries
- James Paxton OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 4.1
- David Hamilton OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.242 SLG:0.391 Last game: 08/30/24. Impact: 2.5
- Cam Booser OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 0.6
- Lucas Sims OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.2
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