Orioles vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into a clash of titans as the soaring Baltimore Orioles swoop into Fenway Park to battle the Boston Red Sox tonight at 07:10 PM EST! With the Orioles perched right at the top of the American League and the Red Sox trailing behind by 8.5 games, the stakes are as high as the Fenway franks are tasty. The Orioles, fresh off a victory against these very Sox, are looking to keep their winning streak hot, while Boston aims to flip the script under the partly cloudy skies forecasted for game time. With the betting lines buzzing and an over/under of 9.5, fans are in for a thrill. So, as the Orioles aim to peck away at the competition and the Red Sox hope to sock it out of the park, tonight’s game is all set to be a feather-ruffling, sock-knocking showdown!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 11, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ESE at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 72.0° with 31% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BAL ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+118	-141	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+13	-16	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

155W-157L

45.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

160W-151L

54.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/09/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Under	-1.5
04/09/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-1.5
04/10/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+2.5
04/10/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+2.5
04/11/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	9	Over	+3.5
04/11/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+3.5
05/27/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+4.5
05/27/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+4.5
05/28/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+1.5
05/28/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+1.5
05/29/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-2.5
05/29/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Under	-2.5
08/15/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-3.5
08/15/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Under	-3.5
08/16/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	12	Over	+12.5
08/16/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	10	Over	+12.5
08/17/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-3.5
08/17/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-3.5
08/18/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-3.5
08/18/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Under	-3.5
09/09/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+5.5
09/09/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	12	Over	+5.5
09/10/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Under	-1.5
09/10/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-1.5
03/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	10	Over	+9.5
03/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+9.5
10/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Under	-2.5
10/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-2.5
04/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	8	Over	+7.5
04/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+7.5
04/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+4.5
04/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+4.5
04/24/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-0.5
04/24/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Under	-0.5
04/25/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+4.5
04/25/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+4.5
04/26/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-1.5
04/26/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Under	-1.5
09/08/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+3.5
09/08/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+3.5
09/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	13	Over	+15.5
09/09/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	12	Over	+15.5
09/10/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+0.5
09/10/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+0.5
09/28/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-7.5
09/28/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-7.5
09/29/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-6.5
09/29/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-6.5
09/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-2.5
09/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Under	-2.5

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Dean Kremer

ERA 4.29 | IP 107.0 | 7.0W-9.0L | KO 102.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-06-24	vsTB	0-2W	6.0	2	0	7	Under
08-31-24	@COL	5-7L	3.3	6	4	3	Over
08-25-24	vsHOU	6-3L	6.0	7	3	5	Under
08-20-24	@NYM	9-5W	6.0	2	1	7	Over
08-14-24	vsWAS	1-4W	6.0	5	1	3	Under
08-08-24	@TOR	6-7L	4.3	4	5	6	Over
08-02-24	@CLE	4-8L	5.0	6	4	2	Over
07-27-24	vsSD	9-4L	6.0	7	4	7	Over
07-21-24	@TEX	2-3L	5.3	5	3	2	Under
07-09-24	vsCHC	9-2L	4.0	7	7	3	Over

Nick Pivetta

ERA 4.305 | IP 123.3 | 5.0W-10.0L | KO 147.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-06-24	vsCWS	1-3W	6.0	5	1	6	Under
08-31-24	@DET	1-2L	6.0	6	2	6	Under
08-26-24	vsTOR	4-1L	6.0	4	1	10	Under
08-20-24	@HOU	6-5W	5.0	6	5	2	Over
08-15-24	@BAL	1-5L	5.0	3	3	6	Under
08-04-24	@TEX	7-2W	4.7	2	2	5	Under
07-29-24	vsSEA	7-14W	6.7	6	3	10	Over
07-24-24	@COL	7-20L	2.7	10	8	6	Over
07-19-24	@LAD	1-4L	6.0	2	0	8	Under
07-10-24	vsOAK	5-2L	6.7	6	4	10	Under

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/12	vs BOS	5-3W	10	2	Under
09/11	vs BOS	3-12L	6	1	Over
09/10	@ TB	0-2L	5	0	Under
09/09	@ TB	1-7L	6	1	Under
09/08	@ TB	2-0W	4	1	Under
09/06	@ CWS	1-8L	7	1	Under
09/05	@ CWS	9-0W	9	0	Under
09/04	@ CWS	13-3W	18	2	Over
09/03	vs COL	6-1W	9	1	Under
09/02	vs COL	5-7L	7	2	Over
09/01	vs COL	5-3W	11	1	Under
08/31	vs LAD	3-6L	4	1	Under
08/30	vs LAD	4-6L	7	0	Over
08/29	vs LAD	3-2W	7	2	Under
08/27	@ HOU	3-6L	2	1	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/12	@ BAL	3-5L	7	0	Under
09/11	@ BAL	12-3W	15	4	Over
09/10	@ CWS	2-7L	8	2	Under
09/09	@ CWS	7-5W	10	2	Over
09/08	@ CWS	3-1W	5	1	Under
09/06	vs NYM	3-8L	9	0	Over
09/05	vs NYM	2-7L	6	0	Under
09/04	vs NYM	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/03	vs DET	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/02	vs DET	1-2L	4	1	Under
09/01	vs DET	7-5W	9	3	Over
08/31	@ TOR	0-2L	2	0	Under
08/30	@ TOR	3-0W	7	1	Under
08/29	@ TOR	6-3W	9	1	Under
08/28	@ TOR	3-7L	9	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	9.6	12.7	0.283	0.535	0.422	0.958	0.380	0.062
#2 Cedric Mullins	8.9	11.6	0.234	0.416	0.339	0.756	0.309	0.044
#3 Anthony Santander	8.3	11.1	0.240	0.506	0.348	0.854	0.346	0.073
#4 Ryan O’Hearn	7.5	9.9	0.259	0.418	0.373	0.791	0.321	0.033
#5 Adley Rutschman	8.3	10.9	0.256	0.401	0.362	0.763	0.311	0.035
#6 Eloy Jimenez	7.6	9.5	0.244	0.347	0.322	0.669	0.278	0.019
#7 Colton Cowser	6.9	9.2	0.238	0.431	0.363	0.794	0.322	0.045
#8 Coby Mayo	6.3	8.5	0.094	0.094	0.250	0.344	0.158	0.000
#9 Jackson Holliday	4.9	6.5	0.177	0.311	0.250	0.561	0.236	0.030

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	10.3	13.3	0.286	0.510	0.377	0.887	0.359	0.035
#2 Rafael Devers	10.5	13.9	0.280	0.533	0.406	0.939	0.375	0.055
#3 Wilyer Abreu	8.1	10.7	0.264	0.493	0.368	0.861	0.349	0.043
#4 Tyler O’Neill	8.1	10.8	0.258	0.544	0.401	0.945	0.376	0.080
#5 Masataka Yoshida	7.6	9.9	0.290	0.430	0.405	0.835	0.339	0.027
#6 Connor Wong	7.3	9.4	0.287	0.440	0.367	0.807	0.331	0.033
#7 Triston Casas	7.5	9.9	0.242	0.433	0.389	0.822	0.330	0.051
#8 Trevor Story	6.9	8.8	0.238	0.310	0.310	0.619	0.259	0.000
#9 Enmanuel Valdez	5.5	7.3	0.223	0.386	0.315	0.701	0.289	0.033

Orioles Notable Injuries

Zach Eflin OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/09/24. Impact: 8.9
Dean Kremer OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/08/24. Impact: 6.6
Ryan Mountcastle OUT (1B): Avg: 0.266 SLG:0.427 Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 1.8
Ramon Urias OUT (3B): Avg: 0.252 SLG:0.427 Last game: 09/02/24. Impact: 3.7

Red Sox Notable Injuries

James Paxton OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 4.1
David Hamilton OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.242 SLG:0.391 Last game: 08/30/24. Impact: 2.5
Cam Booser OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 0.6
Lucas Sims OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.2