Orioles vs Guardians Game Breakdown

It’s showdown time at Progressive Field as the Baltimore Orioles swoop into Cleveland to clash with the Guardians in what promises to be a titanic tussle at the top of the American League. Both teams are locked in a dead heat in the standings, making tonight’s game a crucial pivot point in their seasons. The first pitch is slated for 7:15 PM EST under skies that might just sprinkle some drama with patchy rain and a slight breeze. Betting lines are buzzing, setting the stage with the Orioles as slight favorites in a game pegged with an over/under of 9 runs. Fresh off their recent encounters where the Guardians took the upper hand, the Orioles are hungry for redemption. So, as the Orioles try to claw back and the Guardians aim to stand firm, expect feathers and gloves to fly in a game that’s anything but for the birds!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 03, 2024 07:15PM EST

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the N at 5.4 mph. Temperature is at 74.4° with 83% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BAL ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-128	+107	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-117	-103	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+11	-210	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

145W-148L

53.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

161W-126L

46.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/24/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-4.0
06/24/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-4.0
06/25/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	10	Over	+9.0
06/25/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	8	Over	+9.0
06/26/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-3.0
06/26/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Under	-3.0
08/01/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+4.0
08/01/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	10	Over	+4.0
08/02/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Over	+3.0
08/02/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	8	Over	+3.0
05/29/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-4.0
05/29/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-4.0
05/30/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Over	+4.0
05/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	8	Over	+4.0
05/31/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	12	Over	+11.0
05/31/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	8	Over	+11.0
09/21/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-2.0
09/21/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-2.0
09/22/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	8	Over	+8.0
09/22/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	9	Over	+8.0
09/23/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-6.0
09/23/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Under	-6.0
09/24/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Under	-3.0
09/24/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Under	-3.0

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Zach Eflin

ERA 4.112 | IP 116.0 | 6.0W-7.0L | KO 94.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-29-24	vsTOR	5-11W	6.0	10	3	7	Over
07-24-24	@TOR	3-6W	5.7	6	2	4	Over
07-19-24	@NYY	1-6W	5.0	7	5	5	Under
07-10-24	@NYY	2-1L	7.0	4	2	6	Under
07-04-24	@KC	10-8L	5.0	7	6	3	Over
06-28-24	@WAS	1-3W	6.0	4	0	6	Under
06-22-24	@PIT	3-4W	7.0	5	4	6	Under
06-16-24	@ATL	8-6L	5.7	7	4	7	Over
06-11-24	@CHC	2-5W	5.7	7	2	3	Under
06-05-24	@MIA	5-3L	4.0	3	2	3	Under

Joey Cantillo

ERA 8.1 | IP 3.3 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 3.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-28-24	@PHI	4-3W	3.3	4	3	3	Under

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/04	vs CLE	4-8L	4	0	Over
08/03	vs CLE	3-10L	5	1	Over
08/02	@ TOR	10-4W	12	2	Over
08/01	@ TOR	6-2W	11	2	Under
07/31	@ TOR	4-8L	9	2	Over
07/31	@ TOR	11-5W	13	2	Over
07/30	@ SD	8-6W	9	0	Over
07/29	@ SD	4-9L	7	1	Over
07/28	@ SD	4-6L	8	2	Over
07/27	vs MIA	7-6W	12	3	Over
07/26	vs MIA	3-6L	4	0	Over
07/25	vs MIA	3-6L	9	0	Over
07/23	vs TEX	2-3L	5	1	Under
07/22	vs TEX	8-4W	12	3	Over
07/21	vs TEX	9-1W	11	4	Over

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/04	@ BAL	8-4W	10	0	Over
08/03	@ BAL	10-3W	11	3	Over
08/01	vs DET	5-0W	8	3	Under
07/31	vs DET	8-4W	9	3	Over
07/30	vs PHI	4-3W	9	2	Under
07/29	vs PHI	0-8L	4	0	Under
07/28	vs PHI	3-1W	9	0	Under
07/27	@ DET	0-3L	4	0	Under
07/26	@ DET	2-1W	4	0	Under
07/25	@ DET	5-4W	11	3	Over
07/24	@ DET	2-8L	12	0	Over
07/23	@ SD	1-2L	2	0	Under
07/22	@ SD	0-7L	1	0	Under
07/21	@ SD	7-0W	11	0	Under
07/15	vs TB	4-2W	10	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	10.2	13.4	0.286	0.553	0.431	0.984	0.389	0.063
#2 Anthony Santander	9.0	12.1	0.244	0.522	0.343	0.866	0.352	0.077
#3 Ryan Mountcastle	8.3	10.8	0.268	0.440	0.333	0.773	0.318	0.034
#4 Eloy Jimenez	7.7	9.7	0.236	0.342	0.320	0.662	0.275	0.022
#5 Austin Slater	6.6	8.9	0.196	0.234	0.393	0.626	0.259	0.009
#6 Coby Mayo	5.5	8.5	0.000	0.000	1.000	1.000	0.327	0.000
#7 Colton Cowser	6.9	9.2	0.245	0.458	0.368	0.826	0.335	0.052
#8 Ramon Urias	6.2	8.1	0.244	0.381	0.352	0.733	0.301	0.028
#9 James McCann	4.8	6.3	0.222	0.333	0.299	0.632	0.264	0.021

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	8.0	10.1	0.334	0.488	0.422	0.910	0.368	0.033
#2 Lane Thomas	8.6	11.2	0.250	0.406	0.377	0.782	0.318	0.026
#3 Jose Ramirez	8.3	11.1	0.275	0.541	0.357	0.899	0.365	0.068
#4 Josh Naylor	7.3	9.9	0.248	0.480	0.373	0.853	0.344	0.063
#5 David Fry	6.8	9.0	0.287	0.458	0.467	0.925	0.365	0.037
#6 Andres Gimenez	6.6	8.5	0.241	0.325	0.318	0.643	0.269	0.013
#7 Angel Martinez	5.8	7.5	0.226	0.355	0.344	0.699	0.287	0.022
#8 Daniel Schneemann	5.4	7.2	0.218	0.427	0.345	0.773	0.313	0.036
#9 Bo Naylor	4.9	6.5	0.206	0.356	0.300	0.657	0.272	0.034

Orioles Notable Injuries

Jordan Westburg OUT (2B/3B): Avg: 0.269 SLG:0.499 Last game: 08/02/24. Impact: 3.4
Jorge Mateo OUT (2B): Avg: 0.222 SLG:0.397 Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.1

Guardians Notable Injuries

Tanner Bibee OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 8.5
Sam Hentges OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 0.8