Orioles vs Royals Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 19th 2024

Get ready to rumble at Kauffman Stadium tonight as the sizzling Baltimore Orioles swoop into Kansas City, ready to claw their way past the equally formidable Royals in a showdown that’s got all the makings of a classic! With both teams boasting impressive early-season records (Orioles at 12-6 and Royals at 12-7) and nipping at the heels of the top spots in the American League, this 07:40 PM EST start promises not just a battle, but an all-out war for supremacy. The stakes are sky-high with the betting lines buzzing and the over/under teasing at a tantalizing 9.0. As the partly cloudy skies loom and a gentle breeze whispers through the stadium, both teams come hot off recent victories, setting the stage for a clash that could tilt the scales of the conference rankings. Tonight, it’s not just about baseball; it’s about pride, power, and the pursuit of that top spot. So, let’s see if the Royals can defend their castle or if the Orioles will conquer new lands!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 19, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ENE at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 48.0° with 49% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BAL ML	KC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-140	+117	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-139	+116	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+1	-1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

118W-129L

58.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

113W-133L

41.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/01/24	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+1.0
04/01/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+1.0
04/02/24	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-4.0
04/02/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-4.0
04/03/24	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-2.0
04/03/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Under	-2.0
05/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+9.0
05/02/23	Kansas City Royals KC	7	Over	+9.0
05/03/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-3.0
05/03/23	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Under	-3.0
05/04/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	13	Over	+14.0
05/04/23	Kansas City Royals KC	10	Over	+14.0
06/09/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-4.0
06/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Under	-4.0
06/10/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-2.0
06/10/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Under	-2.0
06/11/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+5.0
06/11/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+5.0

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Royals Vs Over/Under

Dean Kremer

ERA 4.118 | IP 172.7 | 13.0W-5.0L | KO 157.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-13-24	vsMIL	11-5L	4.0	10	8	3	Over
04-07-24	@PIT	2-3L	7.0	5	1	6	Under
04-01-24	vsKC	4-6W	5.3	3	3	5	Over
09-28-23	vsBOS	0-2W	5.3	2	0	8	Under
09-22-23	@CLE	8-9L	3.3	7	6	3	Over
09-17-23	vsTB	4-5W	5.0	2	1	5	Push
09-11-23	vsSTL	5-11W	4.3	7	5	2	Over
09-05-23	@LAA	5-4W	4.7	4	0	5	Push
08-29-23	vsCWS	3-9W	6.0	6	1	5	Over
08-23-23	vsTOR	0-7W	6.0	5	0	5	Under

Will Smith

ERA 4.395 | IP 57.3 | 2.0W-7.0L | KO 55.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-13-24	@NYM	11-7W	5.0	5	4	2	Over
04-07-24	vsCWS	3-5W	4.7	8	3	3	Under
04-02-24	@BAL	4-1W	7.0	2	1	5	Under
09-30-23	vsNYY	5-2L	4.3	6	3	6	Under
09-24-23	@HOU	6-5W	5.3	3	4	6	Over
09-19-23	vsCLE	6-7W	4.3	5	4	2	Over
09-13-23	@CWS	7-1W	4.3	3	1	5	Under
09-08-23	@TOR	4-5L	4.0	3	1	6	Push
09-02-23	vsBOS	9-5L	2.7	7	6	1	Over
08-27-23	@SEA	2-3L	5.7	5	3	9	Under
04-17-24	@CWS	4-2W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
04-12-24	@NYM	1-6L	1.0	4	1	1	Under
04-07-24	vsCWS	3-5W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
04-05-24	vsCWS	1-2W	0.3	1	0	1	Under
04-03-24	@BAL	3-4L	0.7	2	2	1	Under
04-02-24	@BAL	4-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
03-30-24	vsMIN	5-1L	1.0	2	4	0	Under
09-29-23	@SEA	0-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-26-23	@LAA	3-9W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-20-23	@BOS	5-15W	1.0	3	1	1	Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/19	@ MIN	4-2W	8	3	Under
04/18	@ MIN	11-3W	15	3	Over
04/17	@ MIN	7-4W	12	3	Over
04/16	@ MIL	6-4W	11	3	Over
04/15	@ MIL	5-11L	12	3	Over
04/14	@ MIL	1-11L	6	1	Over
04/13	vs BOS	9-4W	9	4	Over
04/12	vs BOS	7-5W	9	1	Over
04/11	vs BOS	7-1W	13	0	Under
04/09	vs PIT	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/08	vs PIT	4-5L	4	0	Push
04/07	vs PIT	5-2W	12	3	Under
04/05	@ KC	4-3W	6	0	Under
04/04	@ KC	1-4L	3	0	Under
04/03	@ KC	6-4W	9	2	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/19	vs CWS	4-2W	7	2	Under
04/19	vs CWS	1-2L	5	0	Under
04/17	vs CWS	2-0W	5	1	Under
04/16	vs NYM	1-2L	3	1	Under
04/15	vs NYM	11-7W	13	1	Over
04/14	vs NYM	1-6L	3	1	Under
04/13	@ HOU	13-3W	16	2	Over
04/12	@ HOU	11-2W	11	1	Over
04/11	@ HOU	3-3L	7	0	Under
04/09	@ CWS	5-3W	6	2	Under
04/08	@ CWS	3-0W	10	1	Under
04/07	@ CWS	2-1W	7	0	Under
04/06	@ CWS	10-1W	10	2	Over
04/05	vs BAL	3-4L	10	1	Under
04/04	vs BAL	4-1W	8	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	10.6	14.0	0.254	0.49	35.9%	84.9%	5.0%
#2 Adley Rutschman	9.6	12.6	0.276	0.43	43.5%	86.5%	3.3%
#3 Ryan O’Hearn	8.3	10.8	0.288	0.48	34.0%	82.0%	4.1%
#4 Anthony Santander	9.5	12.6	0.254	0.46	35.4%	81.4%	4.4%
#5 Ryan Mountcastle	8.9	11.7	0.268	0.45	36.3%	81.3%	4.3%
#6 Cedric Mullins	9.9	13.2	0.231	0.414	34.1%	75.4%	3.8%
#7 Colton Cowser	6.9	9.9	0.103	0.138	36.2%	50.0%	0.0%
#8 Jordan Westburg	7.9	10.3	0.261	0.399	34.5%	74.4%	1.5%

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Maikel Garcia	7.4	9.4	0.272	0.359	35.9%	71.7%	0.9%
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	9.6	12.4	0.276	0.494	34.3%	83.7%	4.7%
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	7.9	10.3	0.247	0.437	36.4%	80.1%	3.9%
#4 Salvador Perez	7.1	9.3	0.254	0.422	31.2%	73.5%	4.3%
#4 Will Smith	5.9	10.5	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#5 MJ Melendez	7.3	9.5	0.236	0.4	35.7%	75.7%	3.0%
#6 Nelson Velazquez	6.8	9.2	0.228	0.58	32.7%	90.7%	10.5%
#7 Michael Massey	6.3	8.2	0.226	0.377	29.2%	67.0%	3.5%
#8 Hunter Renfroe	6.2	8.2	0.233	0.416	32.7%	74.3%	4.0%
#9 Kyle Isbel	5.7	7.5	0.236	0.368	29.9%	66.7%	1.4%