Orioles vs Royals Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 20th 2024

Get ready to ruffle some feathers and crown some kings as the Baltimore Orioles swoop into Kauffman Stadium to battle the Kansas City Royals in a showdown that’s hotter than the 45-degree weather forecast! With both teams neck and neck in the American League standings, the Orioles looking to claw back from a recent stumble against the Royals, and a first pitch at 07:10 PM EST, tonight’s game promises more twists and turns than a royal court intrigue. Betting lines are buzzing, with the over/under tantalizingly set at 7.5. As the sun shines down and the winds whip up, it’s not just the weather that’s brisk. So, will the Orioles fly high or will the Royals hold court? Let’s find out if the Royals can keep their crown or if the Orioles turn the pecking order upside down!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 20, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 17.4 mph. Temperature is at 45.0° with 40% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BAL ML	KC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-132	+110	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-122	+102	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+10	-8	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

118W-130L

55.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

114W-133L

45.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/01/24	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+2.5
04/01/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+2.5
04/02/24	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-2.5
04/02/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-2.5
04/03/24	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-0.5
04/03/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Under	-0.5
04/19/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Over	+5.5
04/19/24	Kansas City Royals KC	9	Over	+5.5
05/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+10.5
05/02/23	Kansas City Royals KC	7	Over	+10.5
05/03/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-1.5
05/03/23	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Under	-1.5
05/04/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	13	Over	+15.5
05/04/23	Kansas City Royals KC	10	Over	+15.5
06/09/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-2.5
06/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Under	-2.5
06/10/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-0.5
06/10/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Under	-0.5
06/11/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+6.5
06/11/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+6.5

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Royals Vs Over/Under

Dean Kremer

ERA 4.909 | IP 22.0 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 17.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	vsMIL	4-6W	5.0	6	3	5	Over
04-09-24	@BOS	7-1W	7.0	2	1	6	Over
04-03-24	vsKC	3-4W	5.7	9	2	3	Under
03-28-24	vsLAA	3-11W	6.0	1	1	11	Over
09-28-23	@STL	0-3W	4.0	5	0	4	Under
09-22-23	@MIA	16-1L	5.0	2	0	6	Over
09-16-23	@WAS	5-9W	5.7	5	4	9	Over
09-10-23	@NYY	3-4W	8.0	0	0	7	Under
09-04-23	@PIT	2-4W	6.0	7	4	7	Under
08-29-23	@CHC	0-1W	7.0	8	1	7	Under
04-19-24	@KC	4-9L	5.7	2	3	3	Over
04-13-24	vsMIL	11-5L	4.0	10	8	3	Over
04-07-24	@PIT	2-3L	7.0	5	1	6	Under
04-01-24	vsKC	4-6W	5.3	3	3	5	Over
09-28-23	vsBOS	0-2W	5.3	2	0	8	Under
09-22-23	@CLE	8-9L	3.3	7	6	3	Over
09-17-23	vsTB	4-5W	5.0	2	1	5	Over
09-11-23	vsSTL	5-11W	4.3	7	5	2	Over
09-05-23	@LAA	5-4W	4.7	4	0	5	Over
08-29-23	vsCWS	3-9W	6.0	6	1	5	Over

Will Smith

ERA 14.143 | IP 7.0 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 7.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	@NYM	1-2L	6.0	5	0	8	Under
04-09-24	vsHOU	3-4W	5.0	10	3	5	Under
04-03-24	@BAL	3-4L	6.3	1	0	7	Under
03-28-24	vsMIN	4-1L	6.0	5	2	9	Under
09-28-23	@DET	3-7L	6.3	5	4	8	Over
09-22-23	@HOU	7-5W	6.0	3	2	5	Over
09-16-23	vsHOU	8-10W	6.0	6	5	7	Over
09-10-23	@TOR	2-5L	5.7	1	2	6	Under
09-04-23	vsCWS	1-12W	6.0	1	0	7	Over
08-29-23	vsPIT	6-3L	7.0	3	0	9	Over
04-19-24	vsBAL	4-9W	5.7	3	0	6	Over
04-13-24	@NYM	11-7W	5.0	5	4	2	Over
04-07-24	vsCWS	3-5W	4.7	8	3	3	Over
04-02-24	@BAL	4-1W	7.0	2	1	5	Under
09-30-23	vsNYY	5-2L	4.3	6	3	6	Under
09-24-23	@HOU	6-5W	5.3	3	4	6	Over
09-19-23	vsCLE	6-7W	4.3	5	4	2	Over
09-13-23	@CWS	7-1W	4.3	3	1	5	Over
09-08-23	@TOR	4-5L	4.0	3	1	6	Over
09-02-23	vsBOS	9-5L	2.7	7	6	1	Over
04-19-24	vsBAL	4-9W	1.0	4	4	1	Over
04-17-24	@CWS	4-2W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
04-12-24	@NYM	1-6L	1.0	4	1	1	Under
04-07-24	vsCWS	3-5W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
04-05-24	vsCWS	1-2W	0.3	1	0	1	Under
04-03-24	@BAL	3-4L	0.7	2	2	1	Under
04-02-24	@BAL	4-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
03-30-24	vsMIN	5-1L	1.0	2	4	0	Under
09-29-23	@SEA	0-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-26-23	@LAA	3-9W	1.0	0	0	1	Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/21	vs KC	4-9L	8	1	Over
04/19	@ MIN	4-2W	8	3	Under
04/18	@ MIN	11-3W	15	3	Over
04/17	@ MIN	7-4W	12	3	Over
04/16	@ MIL	6-4W	11	3	Over
04/15	@ MIL	5-11L	12	3	Over
04/14	@ MIL	1-11L	6	1	Over
04/13	vs BOS	9-4W	9	4	Over
04/12	vs BOS	7-5W	9	1	Over
04/11	vs BOS	7-1W	13	0	Over
04/09	vs PIT	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/08	vs PIT	4-5L	4	0	Over
04/07	vs PIT	5-2W	12	3	Under
04/05	@ KC	4-3W	6	0	Under
04/04	@ KC	1-4L	3	0	Under

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/21	@ BAL	9-4W	9	2	Over
04/19	vs CWS	4-2W	7	2	Under
04/19	vs CWS	1-2L	5	0	Under
04/17	vs CWS	2-0W	5	1	Under
04/16	vs NYM	1-2L	3	1	Under
04/15	vs NYM	11-7W	13	1	Over
04/14	vs NYM	1-6L	3	1	Under
04/13	@ HOU	13-3W	16	2	Over
04/12	@ HOU	11-2W	11	1	Over
04/11	@ HOU	3-3L	7	0	Under
04/09	@ CWS	5-3W	6	2	Over
04/08	@ CWS	3-0W	10	1	Under
04/07	@ CWS	2-1W	7	0	Under
04/06	@ CWS	10-1W	10	2	Over
04/05	vs BAL	3-4L	10	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	11.7	15.3	0.273	0.571	37.7%	94.8%	7.8%
#2 Adley Rutschman	10.2	13.4	0.297	0.405	39.2%	79.7%	2.7%
#3 Ryan O’Hearn	9.1	11.8	0.288	0.596	38.5%	98.1%	7.7%
#4 Anthony Santander	8.4	11.4	0.211	0.423	29.6%	71.8%	5.6%
#5 Ryan Mountcastle	8.9	11.7	0.303	0.47	42.4%	89.4%	3.0%
#6 Austin Hays	6.3	8.5	0.095	0.095	19.0%	28.6%	0.0%
#6 Cedric Mullins	9.3	12.6	0.258	0.532	33.9%	87.1%	8.1%
#7 Colton Cowser	7.5	9.9	0.383	0.766	44.7%	121.3%	8.5%
#8 James McCann	5.3	6.7	0.28	0.36	28.0%	64.0%	0.0%
#8 Jordan Westburg	7.9	10.5	0.312	0.578	40.6%	98.4%	6.2%
#9 Jackson Holliday	6.3	9.3	0.037	0.037	7.4%	11.1%	0.0%
#9 Jorge Mateo	5.7	6.9	0.316	0.474	36.8%	84.2%	0.0%

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Maikel Garcia	7.6	10.1	0.167	0.333	23.1%	56.4%	3.8%
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	9.5	12.2	0.309	0.605	39.5%	100.0%	4.9%
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	7.9	10.6	0.266	0.531	43.8%	96.9%	6.2%
#4 Will Smith	-9.5	11.3	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#4 Salvador Perez	7.3	9.6	0.324	0.563	40.8%	97.2%	7.0%
#5 MJ Melendez	7.6	10.2	0.242	0.516	37.1%	88.7%	6.5%
#6 Nelson Velazquez	8.0	10.3	0.295	0.459	39.3%	85.2%	3.3%
#7 Michael Massey	6.5	8.9	0.5	0.75	50.0%	125.0%	0.0%
#8 Hunter Renfroe	6.1	8.3	0.182	0.345	27.3%	61.8%	3.6%
#9 Kyle Isbel	5.9	7.3	0.218	0.291	23.6%	52.7%	1.8%