Orioles vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready for a showdown at Target Field as the high-flying Baltimore Orioles swoop into Minnesota to clash with the Twins under a perfect 68-degree sunny sky. It’s a battle of the birds versus the twinsies in an American League face-off that’s got the stands buzzing and the betting lines hotter than a July doubleheader. With the Orioles just a few games shy of the top and the Twins trying to claw back into contention, tonight’s 07:15 PM EST game is set to be a real sizzler. The Orioles are fresh off a dominating victory, and the Twins are hungry for redemption after yesterday’s stumble. So, as the winds lightly brush the field, will it be a case of twin magic, or will the Orioles continue to rule the roost?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 28, 2024 07:15PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NNE at 4.5 mph. Temperature is at 68.5° with 68% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BAL ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-105	-115	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-104	-116	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

159W-161L

51.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

171W-144L

49.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+2.0
04/15/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+2.0
04/16/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Over	+5.0
04/16/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+5.0
04/17/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-3.0
04/17/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Under	-3.0
09/27/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Push	-0.0
09/27/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Push	-0.0
06/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Push	-0.0
06/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Push	-0.0
07/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-8.0
07/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-8.0
07/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-6.0
07/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-6.0
07/07/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Under	-5.0
07/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.0
07/08/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Under	-1.0
07/08/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.0
07/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	15	Over	+8.0
07/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+8.0

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Albert Suarez

ERA 3.867 | IP 132.7 | 8.0W-8.0L | KO 110.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-22-24	vsDET	4-3L	5.0	5	4	6	Under
09-22-24	vsDET	4-3L	5.0	5	4	6	Under
09-17-24	vsSF	10-0L	3.3	6	4	3	Over
09-10-24	@BOS	5-3W	6.0	4	1	8	Under
09-04-24	vsCWS	8-1L	4.3	8	6	2	Push
08-30-24	@COL	5-3W	7.0	8	2	4	Under
08-24-24	vsHOU	2-3W	5.7	4	2	3	Under
08-18-24	vsBOS	2-4W	6.0	7	0	6	Under
08-11-24	@TB	1-2L	6.7	4	0	5	Under
08-06-24	@TOR	2-5L	5.0	2	0	6	Under

Zebby Matthews

ERA 5.263 | IP 39.3 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 44.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-22-24	@BOS	3-9L	4.7	2	1	6	Over
09-22-24	@BOS	3-9L	4.7	2	1	6	Over
09-17-24	@CLE	4-1W	4.7	5	1	5	Under
09-11-24	vsLAA	4-6W	3.3	5	2	5	Over
09-06-24	@KC	0-5L	5.0	9	4	4	Under
08-31-24	vsTOR	15-0L	2.0	10	9	5	Over
08-25-24	vsSTL	3-2L	5.0	4	1	7	Under
08-19-24	@SD	3-5L	5.0	4	5	1	Under
08-13-24	vsKC	3-13W	5.0	5	2	5	Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	vs MIN	7-2W	12	2	Push
09/28	vs NYY	1-10L	7	0	Over
09/27	vs NYY	9-7W	17	0	Over
09/26	vs NYY	5-3W	8	3	Under
09/24	@ DET	3-4L	6	1	Under
09/24	@ DET	3-4L	6	1	Under
09/23	@ DET	4-6L	10	0	Over
09/22	@ DET	7-1W	9	5	Under
09/21	@ SF	5-3W	10	1	Under
09/20	@ SF	3-5L	7	0	Under
09/19	@ SF	0-10L	5	0	Over
09/17	vs DET	2-4L	7	1	Under
09/16	vs DET	4-2W	8	1	Under
09/15	vs DET	0-1L	1	0	Under
09/13	vs BOS	3-5L	8	2	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	@ BAL	2-7L	4	0	Push
09/28	@ MIA	6-8L	12	1	Over
09/27	@ MIA	8-3W	8	1	Over
09/26	@ MIA	1-4L	8	0	Under
09/24	vs BOS	1-8L	4	0	Push
09/24	vs BOS	3-9L	8	0	Over
09/24	vs BOS	1-8L	4	0	Push
09/24	vs BOS	3-9L	8	0	Over
09/22	vs BOS	4-2W	13	0	Under
09/21	vs CLE	2-3L	3	0	Under
09/20	vs CLE	4-5L	8	0	Push
09/19	vs CLE	4-1W	8	1	Under
09/18	vs CLE	3-4L	8	0	Under
09/17	@ CIN	9-2W	12	1	Over
09/16	@ CIN	1-11L	5	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	9.8	12.9	0.283	0.528	0.422	0.950	0.378	0.058
#2 Jordan Westburg	8.5	11.1	0.265	0.485	0.333	0.818	0.336	0.044
#3 Anthony Santander	9.0	12.1	0.234	0.499	0.346	0.846	0.343	0.073
#4 Colton Cowser	8.4	11.1	0.240	0.446	0.360	0.806	0.327	0.048
#5 Adley Rutschman	8.2	10.7	0.255	0.398	0.360	0.758	0.309	0.034
#6 Ryan O’Hearn	7.4	9.7	0.258	0.416	0.363	0.779	0.317	0.032
#7 Ryan Mountcastle	7.4	9.6	0.272	0.430	0.333	0.763	0.315	0.028
#8 Cedric Mullins	7.0	9.1	0.230	0.405	0.333	0.739	0.303	0.043
#9 Ramon Urias	6.2	8.1	0.253	0.424	0.357	0.781	0.319	0.041

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Byron Buxton	10.0	13.1	0.278	0.518	0.364	0.882	0.360	0.050
#2 Carlos Correa	7.8	10.3	0.305	0.508	0.440	0.948	0.377	0.043
#3 Trevor Larnach	7.8	10.4	0.257	0.425	0.376	0.801	0.325	0.041
#4 Royce Lewis	8.4	11.2	0.233	0.452	0.332	0.784	0.320	0.055
#5 Carlos Santana	7.8	10.3	0.233	0.410	0.363	0.773	0.314	0.042
#6 Kyle Farmer	6.4	8.5	0.225	0.366	0.347	0.714	0.294	0.023
#7 Ryan Jeffers	6.1	8.2	0.222	0.421	0.335	0.756	0.311	0.049
#8 Willi Castro	6.2	8.1	0.248	0.386	0.379	0.765	0.312	0.022
#9 Austin Martin	5.5	7.1	0.253	0.351	0.351	0.702	0.290	0.004

Orioles Notable Injuries

Burch Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/19/24. Impact: 0.4

Twins Notable Injuries

Matt Wallner OUT (OF): Avg: 0.265 SLG:0.525 Last game: 09/26/24. Impact: 2.0
Max Kepler OUT (OF): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.389 Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.1
Kody Funderburk OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/29/24. Impact: 0.2