Orioles vs Yankees Game Breakdown

Get ready to ruffle some feathers and swing for the fences as the Baltimore Orioles swoop into the iconic Yankee Stadium to face the New York Yankees in a clash that’s got all the makings of an East Coast showdown. With the Orioles looking to peck away at the Yankees’ lead in the American League, tonight’s game at 07:05 PM EST is more than just a regular matchup; it’s a battle for supremacy. The stakes are sky-high with the Orioles flying in on the wings of a recent victory and the Yankees hungry to reclaim their perch. The air’s buzzing—not just from the overcast skies and the brisk ESE winds—but from the palpable excitement of fans betting on whether this game will soar over or dive under the 7.5-run line. As these two titans clash, remember: in a game of birds and bats, expect the unexpected!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 25, 2024 07:05PM EST

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Weather: Overcast with winds from the ESE at 9.2 mph. Temperature is at 66.0° with 63% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BAL ML	NYY ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+126	-150	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+116	-139	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-10	+11	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

157W-160L

46.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

184W-131L

53.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/29/24	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-5.5
04/29/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-5.5
04/30/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-1.5
04/30/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Under	-1.5
05/01/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-5.5
05/01/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-5.5
05/02/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Over	+1.5
05/02/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+1.5
06/18/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-1.5
06/18/24	New York Yankees NYY	4	Under	-1.5
06/19/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+5.5
06/19/24	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+5.5
06/20/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	17	Over	+14.5
06/20/24	New York Yankees NYY	5	Over	+14.5
07/12/24	New York Yankees NYY	4	Under	-2.5
07/12/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-2.5
07/13/24	New York Yankees NYY	6	Under	-0.5
07/13/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-0.5
07/14/24	New York Yankees NYY	5	Over	+3.5
07/14/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+3.5
09/24/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+0.5
09/24/24	New York Yankees NYY	3	Over	+0.5
04/07/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+5.5
04/07/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+5.5
04/08/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Under	-2.5
04/08/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-2.5
04/09/23	New York Yankees NYY	5	Over	+0.5
04/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+0.5
05/23/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+3.5
05/23/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+3.5
05/24/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	9	Over	+7.5
05/24/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+7.5
05/25/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Under	-3.5
05/25/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Under	-3.5
07/03/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+1.5
07/03/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+1.5
07/04/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Over	+4.5
07/04/23	New York Yankees NYY	8	Over	+4.5
07/05/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+1.5
07/05/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Over	+1.5
07/06/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	14	Over	+7.5
07/06/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Over	+7.5
07/28/23	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-6.5
07/28/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-6.5
07/29/23	New York Yankees NYY	8	Over	+3.5
07/29/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+3.5
07/30/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Over	+4.5
07/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	9	Over	+4.5

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Zach Eflin

ERA 3.529 | IP 160.7 | 10.0W-9.0L | KO 133.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-19-24	vsSF	3-5W	6.0	6	2	5	Push
09-13-24	@DET	0-1L	6.7	5	1	3	Under
09-07-24	vsTB	7-1L	5.7	8	3	4	Push
09-01-24	@COL	6-1W	7.0	4	1	9	Under
08-15-24	vsBOS	1-5W	6.0	5	1	8	Under
08-09-24	@TB	4-1W	7.0	4	0	7	Under
08-03-24	@CLE	7-4W	6.3	5	2	3	Over
07-29-24	vsTOR	5-11W	6.0	10	3	7	Over
07-24-24	@TOR	3-6W	5.7	6	2	4	Over
07-19-24	@NYY	1-6W	5.0	7	5	5	Under

Nestor Cortes

ERA 3.769 | IP 174.3 | 9.0W-10.0L | KO 162.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-18-24	@SEA	2-1W	6.0	4	0	6	Under
09-12-24	vsBOS	1-2W	5.0	3	1	9	Under
09-07-24	@CHC	2-0W	4.3	0	0	3	Under
09-01-24	vsSTL	14-7L	4.0	9	5	2	Over
08-26-24	@WAS	5-2W	6.7	4	1	5	Under
08-21-24	vsCLE	1-8W	7.0	3	0	4	Over
08-13-24	@CWS	4-1W	7.0	3	0	9	Under
08-08-24	vsLAA	9-4L	4.7	9	6	2	Over
07-31-24	@PHI	6-5W	5.3	3	3	6	Over
07-26-24	@BOS	7-9L	4.7	9	4	5	Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/26	vs NYY	5-3W	8	3	Push
09/24	@ DET	3-4L	6	1	Under
09/24	@ DET	3-4L	6	1	Under
09/23	@ DET	4-6L	10	0	Over
09/22	@ DET	7-1W	9	5	Push
09/21	@ SF	5-3W	10	1	Push
09/20	@ SF	3-5L	7	0	Push
09/19	@ SF	0-10L	5	0	Over
09/17	vs DET	2-4L	7	1	Under
09/16	vs DET	4-2W	8	1	Under
09/15	vs DET	0-1L	1	0	Under
09/13	vs BOS	3-5L	8	2	Push
09/12	vs BOS	5-3W	10	2	Push
09/11	vs BOS	3-12L	6	1	Over
09/10	@ TB	0-2L	5	0	Under

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/26	@ BAL	3-5L	7	1	Push
09/24	vs OAK	7-4W	9	3	Over
09/24	vs OAK	7-4W	9	3	Over
09/23	vs OAK	10-0W	14	3	Over
09/22	vs OAK	3-2W	8	0	Under
09/21	vs SEA	2-3L	6	1	Under
09/20	vs SEA	2-1W	3	0	Under
09/19	vs SEA	11-2W	12	2	Over
09/17	@ BOS	5-2W	9	2	Under
09/16	@ BOS	1-7L	5	0	Push
09/15	@ BOS	5-4W	7	1	Over
09/14	@ BOS	2-1W	7	1	Under
09/13	@ KC	4-3W	6	1	Under
09/12	@ KC	0-5L	3	0	Under
09/11	@ KC	10-4W	12	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Austin Slater	7.0	9.3	0.207	0.266	0.385	0.651	0.268	0.012
#2 Jordan Westburg	8.3	10.9	0.269	0.497	0.339	0.837	0.343	0.045
#3 Anthony Santander	9.0	12.0	0.232	0.501	0.345	0.846	0.343	0.075
#4 Gunnar Henderson	8.2	10.8	0.283	0.533	0.423	0.956	0.380	0.059
#5 Adley Rutschman	7.6	10.0	0.254	0.399	0.361	0.759	0.310	0.034
#6 Ryan Mountcastle	7.3	9.5	0.267	0.428	0.330	0.757	0.312	0.029
#7 Colton Cowser	5.7	7.6	0.240	0.443	0.360	0.803	0.326	0.048
#8 Ramon Urias	5.9	7.7	0.252	0.430	0.360	0.791	0.322	0.043
#9 James McCann	5.1	6.7	0.234	0.383	0.299	0.682	0.284	0.035

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Gleyber Torres	7.9	10.3	0.258	0.384	0.373	0.757	0.309	0.028
#2 Juan Soto	9.4	12.7	0.287	0.571	0.521	1.093	0.416	0.071
#3 Aaron Judge	9.4	12.7	0.328	0.710	0.579	1.290	0.480	0.104
#4 Austin Wells	6.6	8.8	0.238	0.412	0.371	0.783	0.317	0.038
#5 Giancarlo Stanton	6.8	9.0	0.233	0.474	0.332	0.806	0.329	0.064
#6 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	6.6	8.5	0.253	0.429	0.356	0.785	0.320	0.042
#7 Jasson Dominguez	5.6	7.4	0.200	0.422	0.333	0.756	0.307	0.067
#8 Anthony Rizzo	5.5	7.2	0.217	0.325	0.322	0.648	0.270	0.024
#9 Anthony Volpe	5.2	6.6	0.248	0.370	0.318	0.688	0.285	0.019

Orioles Notable Injuries

Zach Eflin OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 8.9
Burch Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/19/24. Impact: 0.4

Yankees Notable Injuries

DJ LeMahieu OUT (1B): Avg: 0.204 SLG:0.259 Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 1.6
Jake Cousins OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 1.1