Orioles vs Yankees Game Breakdown

Get ready to ruffle some feathers and swing for the fences as the Baltimore Orioles swoop into Yankee Stadium tonight at 07:05PM EST, looking to peck away at the New York Yankees’ lead in the American League! With the Orioles hot on the heels, just four games back, and the Yankees holding their ground at the top, this matchup is more than just a game—it’s a showdown of avian proportions. The stakes are sky-high with the over/under teasing at 7.5, and the odds tipping slightly in favor of the home team. Fresh off a thrilling 9-7 victory against these very Yankees, the Orioles are flying high, while the Yankees are itching to settle the score under tonight’s overcast skies, spiced with a breeze from the south. So, as the Orioles try to nest in for a win and the Yankees aim to strike back, expect nothing less than a grand slam of action—may the best birds win!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 26, 2024 07:05PM EST

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Weather: Overcast with winds from the S at 7.8 mph. Temperature is at 73.0° with 84% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BAL ML	NYY ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+117	-140	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+137	-163	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+20	-23	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

158W-160L

42.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

184W-132L

57.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/29/24	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-5.5
04/29/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-5.5
04/30/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-1.5
04/30/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Under	-1.5
05/01/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-5.5
05/01/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-5.5
05/02/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Over	+1.5
05/02/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+1.5
06/18/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-1.5
06/18/24	New York Yankees NYY	4	Under	-1.5
06/19/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+5.5
06/19/24	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+5.5
06/20/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	17	Over	+14.5
06/20/24	New York Yankees NYY	5	Over	+14.5
07/12/24	New York Yankees NYY	4	Under	-2.5
07/12/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-2.5
07/13/24	New York Yankees NYY	6	Under	-0.5
07/13/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-0.5
07/14/24	New York Yankees NYY	5	Over	+3.5
07/14/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+3.5
09/24/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+0.5
09/24/24	New York Yankees NYY	3	Over	+0.5
09/25/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	9	Over	+8.5
09/25/24	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+8.5
04/07/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+5.5
04/07/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+5.5
04/08/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Under	-2.5
04/08/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-2.5
04/09/23	New York Yankees NYY	5	Over	+0.5
04/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+0.5
05/23/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+3.5
05/23/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+3.5
05/24/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	9	Over	+7.5
05/24/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+7.5
05/25/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Under	-3.5
05/25/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Under	-3.5
07/03/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+1.5
07/03/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+1.5
07/04/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Over	+4.5
07/04/23	New York Yankees NYY	8	Over	+4.5
07/05/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+1.5
07/05/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Over	+1.5
07/06/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	14	Over	+7.5
07/06/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Over	+7.5
07/28/23	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-6.5
07/28/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-6.5
07/29/23	New York Yankees NYY	8	Over	+3.5
07/29/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+3.5
07/30/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Over	+4.5
07/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	9	Over	+4.5

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Corbin Burnes

ERA 2.995 | IP 189.3 | 15.0W-8.0L | KO 172.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-20-24	vsDET	1-7W	7.0	3	0	8	Under
09-14-24	@DET	4-2W	7.0	2	0	7	Under
09-08-24	vsTB	2-0L	6.0	7	2	3	Under
09-02-24	vsCWS	3-13W	5.0	6	2	4	Over
08-28-24	@LAD	4-6L	5.0	5	6	4	Over
08-22-24	vsHOU	6-0L	5.7	8	6	2	Under
08-16-24	vsBOS	12-10L	4.0	10	8	7	Over
08-10-24	@TB	7-5W	6.0	4	3	5	Over
08-04-24	@CLE	9-5W	5.0	7	5	4	Over
07-30-24	vsTOR	2-6W	6.7	4	2	7	Under

Gerrit Cole

ERA 3.668 | IP 88.3 | 7.0W-5.0L | KO 94.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-20-24	@OAK	4-2W	9.0	2	1	7	Under
09-14-24	vsBOS	7-1L	4.3	5	7	2	Under
09-08-24	@CHC	1-2L	6.0	3	2	7	Under
09-02-24	@TEX	8-4W	6.0	4	1	9	Over
08-27-24	@WAS	2-4L	5.0	6	3	7	Under
08-22-24	vsCLE	0-6W	6.0	1	0	2	Under
08-16-24	@DET	3-0W	6.0	4	0	8	Under
08-10-24	vsTEX	9-4L	5.3	6	1	10	Over
08-04-24	vsTOR	3-4W	5.7	6	2	4	Under
07-24-24	vsNYM	12-3L	5.7	8	6	4	Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/27	vs NYY	9-7W	17	0	Over
09/26	vs NYY	5-3W	8	3	Under
09/24	@ DET	3-4L	6	1	Under
09/24	@ DET	3-4L	6	1	Under
09/23	@ DET	4-6L	10	0	Over
09/22	@ DET	7-1W	9	5	Under
09/21	@ SF	5-3W	10	1	Under
09/20	@ SF	3-5L	7	0	Under
09/19	@ SF	0-10L	5	0	Over
09/17	vs DET	2-4L	7	1	Under
09/16	vs DET	4-2W	8	1	Under
09/15	vs DET	0-1L	1	0	Under
09/13	vs BOS	3-5L	8	2	Under
09/12	vs BOS	5-3W	10	2	Under
09/11	vs BOS	3-12L	6	1	Over

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/27	@ BAL	7-9L	10	2	Over
09/26	@ BAL	3-5L	7	1	Under
09/24	vs OAK	7-4W	9	3	Over
09/24	vs OAK	7-4W	9	3	Over
09/23	vs OAK	10-0W	14	3	Over
09/22	vs OAK	3-2W	8	0	Under
09/21	vs SEA	2-3L	6	1	Under
09/20	vs SEA	2-1W	3	0	Under
09/19	vs SEA	11-2W	12	2	Over
09/17	@ BOS	5-2W	9	2	Under
09/16	@ BOS	1-7L	5	0	Under
09/15	@ BOS	5-4W	7	1	Over
09/14	@ BOS	2-1W	7	1	Under
09/13	@ KC	4-3W	6	1	Under
09/12	@ KC	0-5L	3	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	8.8	11.5	0.286	0.533	0.425	0.958	0.380	0.058
#2 Jordan Westburg	8.1	10.6	0.270	0.496	0.340	0.836	0.343	0.045
#3 Anthony Santander	8.0	10.7	0.234	0.502	0.345	0.847	0.343	0.074
#4 Colton Cowser	7.6	10.0	0.242	0.446	0.363	0.809	0.328	0.047
#5 Adley Rutschman	6.9	9.1	0.254	0.399	0.361	0.759	0.310	0.034
#6 Ryan O’Hearn	6.0	7.8	0.259	0.412	0.366	0.778	0.317	0.030
#7 Ramon Urias	5.6	7.4	0.251	0.426	0.357	0.783	0.320	0.042
#8 Cedric Mullins	5.8	7.6	0.229	0.407	0.332	0.739	0.303	0.043
#9 James McCann	4.5	5.9	0.238	0.383	0.301	0.684	0.285	0.034

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Gleyber Torres	7.9	10.3	0.258	0.382	0.372	0.754	0.308	0.028
#2 Juan Soto	9.3	12.6	0.289	0.576	0.523	1.099	0.418	0.073
#3 Aaron Judge	9.0	12.2	0.329	0.714	0.580	1.295	0.482	0.105
#4 Austin Wells	6.5	8.7	0.235	0.407	0.370	0.777	0.315	0.037
#5 Giancarlo Stanton	7.2	9.6	0.234	0.472	0.333	0.805	0.328	0.063
#6 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	7.2	9.3	0.251	0.426	0.353	0.780	0.318	0.042
#7 Jasson Dominguez	6.1	8.0	0.204	0.408	0.327	0.735	0.300	0.061
#8 Anthony Rizzo	5.5	7.2	0.221	0.328	0.328	0.657	0.273	0.024
#9 Anthony Volpe	5.4	6.9	0.248	0.369	0.318	0.687	0.284	0.019

Orioles Notable Injuries

Burch Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/19/24. Impact: 0.4

Yankees Notable Injuries

Nestor Cortes OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/20/24. Impact: 7.1
DJ LeMahieu OUT (1B): Avg: 0.204 SLG:0.259 Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 1.6
Jake Cousins OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/21/24. Impact: 1.1