Orioles vs Pirates Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 7th 2024

Get ready to shiver me timbers and ruffle some feathers, sports fans! The Baltimore Orioles, flying high with a 5W-3L record, are swooping into the Pirates’ den at PNC Park for a midday clash against the formidable 7W-2L Pittsburgh Pirates. With the Orioles trailing by 1.5 games in the American League and the Pirates sailing smooth at the top of the National League, this 01:35 PM showdown promises to be a nail-biter. Last time these two teams met, the Pirates plundered a narrow 5-4 win, leaving the Orioles hungry for revenge. The bookies have set the over/under at 8.5, favoring the Orioles at -126, while the Pirates are at a tempting 106. The weather is set to be a sunny day, with a slight northern breeze and a cool 48.9° temperature, keeping things crisp on the field. So, whether you’re a bird watcher or a pirate at heart, get ready for an epic battle as the Orioles aim to steal the Pirates’ treasure!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 07, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 48.9° with 50% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BAL ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-126	+106	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-117	-103	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+9	-209	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

115W-128L

53.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

110W-132L

46.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/05/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Under	-1.5
04/05/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-1.5
04/06/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Over	+0.5
04/06/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+0.5
05/12/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+0.5
05/12/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+0.5
05/13/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-6.5
05/13/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-6.5
05/14/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-4.5
05/14/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-4.5

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Dean Kremer

ERA 4.118 | IP 173 | 13W-5L | KO 157

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-01-24	vsKC	4-6W	5.3	3	3	5	Over
09-28-23	vsBOS	0-2W	5.3	2	0	8	Under
09-22-23	@CLE	8-9L	3.3	7	6	3	Over
09-17-23	vsTB	4-5W	5.0	2	1	5	Over
09-11-23	vsSTL	5-11W	4.3	7	5	2	Over
09-05-23	@LAA	5-4W	4.7	4	0	5	Over
08-29-23	vsCWS	3-9W	6.0	6	1	5	Over
08-23-23	vsTOR	0-7W	6.0	5	0	5	Under
08-16-23	@SD	2-5L	6.0	5	3	4	Under
08-10-23	vsHOU	4-5W	7.0	6	2	5	Over

Marco Gonzales

ERA 5.22 | IP 50 | 4W-1L | KO 34

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-01-24	@WAS	8-4W	5.0	4	1	2	Over
05-28-23	@PIT	3-6L	5.7	3	1	4	Over
05-23-23	@OAK	2-3W	6.0	5	2	4	Under
05-17-23	@BOS	3-12W	1.7	8	8	1	Over
05-12-23	@DET	9-2L	6.0	5	2	2	Over
05-06-23	@HOU	5-7W	6.0	6	3	4	Over
04-30-23	@TOR	10-8L	3.0	8	8	2	Over
04-25-23	@PHI	5-3L	5.0	4	1	2	Under
04-19-23	@MIL	5-3L	6.0	4	2	9	Under
04-08-23	@CLE	3-2L	5.7	6	1	5	Under

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/08	vs PIT	4-5L	4	0	Over
04/07	vs PIT	5-2W	12	3	Under
04/05	@ KC	4-3W	6	0	Under
04/04	@ KC	1-4L	3	0	Under
04/03	@ KC	6-4W	9	2	Over
04/02	@ LAA	1-4L	3	0	Under
04/01	@ LAA	13-4W	14	2	Over
03/30	@ LAA	11-3W	10	2	Over
10/03	@ BOS	1-6L	2	0	Under
10/02	@ BOS	5-2W	7	0	Under
10/01	@ BOS	0-3L	3	0	Under
09/30	@ BOS	2-0W	4	1	Under
09/29	@ WAS	5-1W	9	1	Under
09/28	@ WAS	1-0W	6	1	Under
09/26	vs CLE	5-1W	7	0	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/08	@ BAL	5-4W	11	1	Over
04/07	@ BAL	2-5L	6	2	Under
04/06	vs WAS	7-4W	11	1	Over
04/05	vs WAS	3-5L	4	1	Under
04/03	vs WAS	8-4W	15	0	Over
04/02	vs MIA	9-7W	11	1	Over
04/01	vs MIA	9-3W	16	0	Over
03/31	vs MIA	7-2W	10	0	Over
03/30	vs MIA	6-5W	9	3	Over
10/03	@ MIA	3-0W	6	0	Under
10/02	@ MIA	3-7L	12	0	Over
10/01	@ MIA	3-4L	9	0	Under
09/30	vs PHI	3-2W	11	0	Under
09/29	vs PHI	6-7L	11	0	Over
09/28	vs PHI	2-3L	5	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	8.8	11.7	0.254	0.49	35.9%	84.9%	5.0%
#2 Adley Rutschman	8.9	11.7	0.276	0.43	43.5%	86.5%	3.3%
#3 Ryan Mountcastle	9.3	12.3	0.268	0.45	36.3%	81.3%	4.3%
#4 Anthony Santander	9.1	12.0	0.254	0.46	35.4%	81.4%	4.4%
#5 Jordan Westburg	7.8	10.1	0.261	0.399	34.5%	74.4%	1.5%
#6 Austin Hays	8.3	10.8	0.272	0.437	35.1%	78.8%	2.9%
#7 Cedric Mullins	6.9	9.2	0.231	0.414	34.1%	75.4%	3.8%
#8 Jorge Mateo	6.3	8.2	0.22	0.343	29.2%	63.5%	2.2%
#9 Ramon Urias	5.9	7.7	0.262	0.366	36.1%	72.7%	0.8%

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Oneil Cruz	8.4	11.1	0.25	0.375	46.9%	84.4%	3.1%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	7.6	10.0	0.264	0.464	37.0%	83.4%	4.2%
#3 Ke’Bryan Hayes	6.6	8.5	0.271	0.449	32.7%	77.6%	2.9%
#4 Jack Suwinski	7.4	9.9	0.225	0.457	40.8%	86.5%	5.9%
#5 Andrew McCutchen	7.1	9.3	0.256	0.391	45.9%	85.0%	2.8%
#6 Rowdy Tellez	6.6	8.8	0.215	0.376	32.8%	70.4%	4.2%
#7 Henry Davis	5.5	7.2	0.215	0.354	33.6%	69.1%	3.1%
#8 Jared Triolo	5.5	7.1	0.299	0.401	45.2%	85.3%	1.7%
#9 Michael A. Taylor	5.7	7.5	0.218	0.441	29.9%	74.0%	5.9%