Orioles vs Mariners Game Breakdown
Orioles
53W-30L
July 03, 2024
10:10PM EST
Odds: 7.0 o/u
Mariners
47W-39L
Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the high-flying Baltimore Orioles swoop into T-Mobile Park, ready to clash with the Seattle Mariners under the Seattle skies tonight at 10:10 PM EST. Both teams are neck and neck in the American League, not giving an inch as they eye the top spot. With the stakes mirrored in their almost identical conference standings and the betting lines buzzing with anticipation (Orioles at 100 and Mariners favored slightly at -120), this game is shaping up to be a nail-biter. The air’s a bit chilly and overcast, with a gentle breeze setting the stage for what’s expected to be a tightly contested battle. Fresh off their respective last encounters where the Orioles celebrated a 2-0 victory and the Mariners are itching to flip the script, tonight’s game promises all the drama. So, as the Orioles try to peck away at the Mariners’ hopes, let’s see if Seattle can sail to a comeback victory in their own nest!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: July 03, 2024 10:10PM EST
Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Weather: Overcast with winds from the SSE at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 57.0° with 77% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| BAL ML | SEA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +100 | -120 | 7.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +100 | -120 | 7.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
50.0% Win Probability
50.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/17/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 2 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 9 | ||||
| 05/18/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 3 | ||||
| 05/19/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | ||||
| 07/02/24 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 2 | Under | -5.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 0 | ||||
| 06/23/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 13 | Over | +7.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 1 | ||||
| 06/24/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 6 | ||||
| 06/25/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 2 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Baltimore Orioles BAL | 3 | ||||
| 08/11/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 2 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 9 | ||||
| 08/12/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 1 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 0 | ||||
| 08/13/23 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | 5 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 |
Orioles Vs Over/Under
Mariners Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20-24 | @STL | 3-6L | 4.0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | Over |
| 05-12-24 | vsARI | 9-2L | 5.7 | 4 | 6 | 10 | Over |
| 05-05-24 | @CIN | 11-1W | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 04-30-24 | vsNYY | 2-4W | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | Under |
| 04-24-24 | @LAA | 6-5W | 5.3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | Over |
| 04-19-24 | @KC | 4-9L | 5.7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | Over |
| 04-13-24 | vsMIL | 11-5L | 4.0 | 10 | 8 | 3 | Over |
| 04-07-24 | @PIT | 2-3L | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 04-01-24 | vsKC | 4-6W | 5.3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 09-28-23 | vsBOS | 0-2W | 5.3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28-24 | vsMIN | 2-3W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 06-22-24 | @MIA | 9-0W | 8.0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 06-16-24 | vsTEX | 0-5W | 8.0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 06-10-24 | vsCWS | 4-8W | 6.7 | 6 | 3 | 8 | Over |
| 06-05-24 | @OAK | 1-2L | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| 05-30-24 | vsHOU | 4-0L | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 5 | Under |
| 05-25-24 | @WAS | 1-3L | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 05-20-24 | @NYY | 5-4W | 6.0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 05-14-24 | vsKC | 4-2L | 6.7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | Under |
| 05-09-24 | @MIN | 1-11L | 4.0 | 9 | 8 | 4 | Over |
Orioles Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04 | vs SEA | 2-0W | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 07/02 | @ TEX | 2-11L | 7 | 0 | Over |
| 07/01 | @ TEX | 6-5W | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 06/30 | @ TEX | 2-1W | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 06/29 | @ TEX | 11-2W | 14 | 4 | Over |
| 06/28 | @ CLE | 4-2W | 9 | 3 | Under |
| 06/27 | @ CLE | 8-10L | 16 | 4 | Over |
| 06/26 | @ CLE | 2-3L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 06/25 | vs HOU | 1-8L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 06/24 | vs HOU | 1-5L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 06/23 | vs HOU | 11-14L | 18 | 4 | Over |
| 06/22 | vs NYY | 17-5W | 19 | 3 | Over |
| 06/21 | vs NYY | 7-6W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 06/20 | vs NYY | 2-4L | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 06/18 | @ PHI | 8-3W | 10 | 4 | Over |
Mariners Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04 | @ BAL | 0-2L | 2 | 0 | Under |
| 07/02 | @ MIN | 3-5L | 9 | 0 | Over |
| 07/01 | @ MIN | 1-5L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/30 | @ MIN | 3-2W | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 06/28 | vs TB | 5-2W | 5 | 1 | Push |
| 06/27 | vs TB | 3-11L | 6 | 2 | Over |
| 06/26 | vs TB | 3-4L | 3 | 2 | Push |
| 06/25 | vs MIA | 4-6L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 06/24 | vs MIA | 9-0W | 15 | 1 | Over |
| 06/23 | vs MIA | 2-3L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 06/22 | vs CLE | 3-6L | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 06/21 | vs CLE | 0-8L | 3 | 0 | Over |
| 06/20 | vs CLE | 8-5W | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 06/18 | @ TEX | 5-0W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/17 | @ TEX | 7-5W | 7 | 2 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Baltimore Orioles | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0 | 10.6 | 0.288 | 0.600 | 0.445 | 1.045 | 0.410 | 0.079 | |
| 7.3 | 9.6 | 0.291 | 0.465 | 0.382 | 0.847 | 0.344 | 0.046 | |
|
#3
Ryan O’Hearn
|
6.5 | 8.4 | 0.289 | 0.466 | 0.384 | 0.849 | 0.344 | 0.043 |
| 6.5 | 8.7 | 0.234 | 0.503 | 0.336 | 0.839 | 0.342 | 0.072 | |
| 5.2 | 7.1 | 0.265 | 0.500 | 0.471 | 0.971 | 0.380 | 0.059 | |
| 7.1 | 9.2 | 0.278 | 0.498 | 0.355 | 0.853 | 0.348 | 0.043 | |
| 6.0 | 8.0 | 0.224 | 0.439 | 0.350 | 0.789 | 0.321 | 0.051 | |
| 5.8 | 7.6 | 0.219 | 0.388 | 0.285 | 0.674 | 0.279 | 0.037 | |
|
#9
Jorge Mateo
|
5.5 | 7.1 | 0.232 | 0.427 | 0.299 | 0.726 | 0.300 | 0.030 |
| Seattle Mariners | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3 | 9.7 | 0.211 | 0.354 | 0.354 | 0.709 | 0.289 | 0.030 | |
|
#2
Ty France
|
7.0 | 9.2 | 0.230 | 0.369 | 0.373 | 0.742 | 0.303 | 0.032 |
|
#3
Luke Raley
|
7.9 | 10.2 | 0.262 | 0.452 | 0.329 | 0.781 | 0.322 | 0.043 |
|
#4
Cal Raleigh
|
8.3 | 11.2 | 0.200 | 0.385 | 0.330 | 0.715 | 0.293 | 0.052 |
| 7.8 | 10.2 | 0.193 | 0.293 | 0.320 | 0.613 | 0.255 | 0.028 | |
| 6.5 | 8.5 | 0.214 | 0.413 | 0.325 | 0.738 | 0.302 | 0.056 | |
| 7.1 | 8.9 | 0.244 | 0.324 | 0.315 | 0.638 | 0.266 | 0.021 | |
| 5.5 | 7.3 | 0.210 | 0.333 | 0.310 | 0.643 | 0.267 | 0.028 | |
|
#9
Josh Rojas
|
5.3 | 6.8 | 0.260 | 0.383 | 0.357 | 0.740 | 0.303 | 0.017 |
Orioles Notable Injuries
- Kyle Bradish OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 8.6
- Danny Coulombe OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.6
Mariners Notable Injuries
- Bryan Woo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/26/24. Impact: 6.7
- Mitch Garver OUT (C): Avg: 0.172 SLG:0.353 Last game: 07/02/24. Impact: 2.3
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