Orioles vs Mariners Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the high-flying Baltimore Orioles swoop into T-Mobile Park, ready to clash with the Seattle Mariners under the Seattle skies tonight at 10:10 PM EST. Both teams are neck and neck in the American League, not giving an inch as they eye the top spot. With the stakes mirrored in their almost identical conference standings and the betting lines buzzing with anticipation (Orioles at 100 and Mariners favored slightly at -120), this game is shaping up to be a nail-biter. The air’s a bit chilly and overcast, with a gentle breeze setting the stage for what’s expected to be a tightly contested battle. Fresh off their respective last encounters where the Orioles celebrated a 2-0 victory and the Mariners are itching to flip the script, tonight’s game promises all the drama. So, as the Orioles try to peck away at the Mariners’ hopes, let’s see if Seattle can sail to a comeback victory in their own nest!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 03, 2024 10:10PM EST

Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SSE at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 57.0° with 77% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BAL ML	SEA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+100	-120	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+100	-120	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

139W-141L

50.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

158W-120L

50.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/17/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Over	+4.0
05/17/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	9	Over	+4.0
05/18/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Push	-0.0
05/18/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Push	-0.0
05/19/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+2.0
05/19/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+2.0
07/02/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-5.0
07/02/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	0	Under	-5.0
06/23/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	13	Over	+7.0
06/23/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Over	+7.0
06/24/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Over	+3.0
06/24/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+3.0
06/25/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-2.0
06/25/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Under	-2.0
08/11/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Over	+4.0
08/11/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	9	Over	+4.0
08/12/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-6.0
08/12/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	0	Under	-6.0
08/13/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+1.0
08/13/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+1.0

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Dean Kremer

ERA 4.32 | IP 50.0 | 3.0W-4.0L | KO 49.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-20-24	@STL	3-6L	4.0	6	5	2	Over
05-12-24	vsARI	9-2L	5.7	4	6	10	Over
05-05-24	@CIN	11-1W	6.0	1	0	6	Over
04-30-24	vsNYY	2-4W	7.0	4	2	4	Under
04-24-24	@LAA	6-5W	5.3	3	2	10	Over
04-19-24	@KC	4-9L	5.7	2	3	3	Over
04-13-24	vsMIL	11-5L	4.0	10	8	3	Over
04-07-24	@PIT	2-3L	7.0	5	1	6	Under
04-01-24	vsKC	4-6W	5.3	3	3	5	Over
09-28-23	vsBOS	0-2W	5.3	2	0	8	Under

Logan Gilbert

ERA 2.724 | IP 112.3 | 5.0W-4.0L | KO 102.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-28-24	vsMIN	2-3W	6.0	4	2	3	Under
06-22-24	@MIA	9-0W	8.0	4	0	6	Over
06-16-24	vsTEX	0-5W	8.0	2	0	9	Under
06-10-24	vsCWS	4-8W	6.7	6	3	8	Over
06-05-24	@OAK	1-2L	7.0	5	2	5	Under
05-30-24	vsHOU	4-0L	6.0	8	4	5	Under
05-25-24	@WAS	1-3L	6.0	3	1	4	Under
05-20-24	@NYY	5-4W	6.0	8	3	1	Over
05-14-24	vsKC	4-2L	6.7	4	3	7	Under
05-09-24	@MIN	1-11L	4.0	9	8	4	Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/04	vs SEA	2-0W	9	0	Under
07/02	@ TEX	2-11L	7	0	Over
07/01	@ TEX	6-5W	7	2	Over
06/30	@ TEX	2-1W	5	1	Under
06/29	@ TEX	11-2W	14	4	Over
06/28	@ CLE	4-2W	9	3	Under
06/27	@ CLE	8-10L	16	4	Over
06/26	@ CLE	2-3L	5	0	Under
06/25	vs HOU	1-8L	7	1	Over
06/24	vs HOU	1-5L	4	1	Under
06/23	vs HOU	11-14L	18	4	Over
06/22	vs NYY	17-5W	19	3	Over
06/21	vs NYY	7-6W	11	1	Over
06/20	vs NYY	2-4L	8	1	Under
06/18	@ PHI	8-3W	10	4	Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/04	@ BAL	0-2L	2	0	Under
07/02	@ MIN	3-5L	9	0	Over
07/01	@ MIN	1-5L	6	1	Under
06/30	@ MIN	3-2W	5	0	Under
06/28	vs TB	5-2W	5	1	Push
06/27	vs TB	3-11L	6	2	Over
06/26	vs TB	3-4L	3	2	Push
06/25	vs MIA	4-6L	7	1	Over
06/24	vs MIA	9-0W	15	1	Over
06/23	vs MIA	2-3L	6	0	Under
06/22	vs CLE	3-6L	5	1	Over
06/21	vs CLE	0-8L	3	0	Over
06/20	vs CLE	8-5W	11	3	Over
06/18	@ TEX	5-0W	6	1	Under
06/17	@ TEX	7-5W	7	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	8.0	10.6	0.288	0.600	0.445	1.045	0.410	0.079
#2 Adley Rutschman	7.3	9.6	0.291	0.465	0.382	0.847	0.344	0.046
#3 Ryan O’Hearn	6.5	8.4	0.289	0.466	0.384	0.849	0.344	0.043
#4 Anthony Santander	6.5	8.7	0.234	0.503	0.336	0.839	0.342	0.072
#5 Heston Kjerstad	5.2	7.1	0.265	0.500	0.471	0.971	0.380	0.059
#6 Jordan Westburg	7.1	9.2	0.278	0.498	0.355	0.853	0.348	0.043
#7 Colton Cowser	6.0	8.0	0.224	0.439	0.350	0.789	0.321	0.051
#8 Cedric Mullins	5.8	7.6	0.219	0.388	0.285	0.674	0.279	0.037
#9 Jorge Mateo	5.5	7.1	0.232	0.427	0.299	0.726	0.300	0.030

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford	7.3	9.7	0.211	0.354	0.354	0.709	0.289	0.030
#2 Ty France	7.0	9.2	0.230	0.369	0.373	0.742	0.303	0.032
#3 Luke Raley	7.9	10.2	0.262	0.452	0.329	0.781	0.322	0.043
#4 Cal Raleigh	8.3	11.2	0.200	0.385	0.330	0.715	0.293	0.052
#5 Jorge Polanco	7.8	10.2	0.193	0.293	0.320	0.613	0.255	0.028
#6 Dominic Canzone	6.5	8.5	0.214	0.413	0.325	0.738	0.302	0.056
#7 Julio Rodriguez	7.1	8.9	0.244	0.324	0.315	0.638	0.266	0.021
#8 Mitch Haniger	5.5	7.3	0.210	0.333	0.310	0.643	0.267	0.028
#9 Josh Rojas	5.3	6.8	0.260	0.383	0.357	0.740	0.303	0.017

Orioles Notable Injuries

Kyle Bradish OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 8.6
Danny Coulombe OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 1.6

Mariners Notable Injuries

Bryan Woo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/26/24. Impact: 6.7
Mitch Garver OUT (C): Avg: 0.172 SLG:0.353 Last game: 07/02/24. Impact: 2.3