Red Sox vs Orioles Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the evenly matched Boston Red Sox, sitting square at .500, roll into Baltimore to face the soaring Orioles, who are perched near the top of the American League standings. With the first pitch slated for 06:35 PM EST, today’s game promises more fireworks than a Fourth of July celebration. The Orioles, fresh off a dominant victory over the Sox, look to keep their wings spread wide in victory, while the Red Sox are itching to rewrite yesterday’s script and claw back into the conference race. With the sun shining down and the breeze barely brushing the banners, the stage is set for a game where every pitch counts double. So, as the lines are drawn and bets placed, let’s see if the Red Sox can cook up a comeback or if the Orioles continue to feast. It’s time to find out if the Sox can unravel the Oriole’s nest or if they’ll get pecked away in their quest for redemption!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 28, 2024 06:35PM EST

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore

Weather: Sunny with winds from the WNW at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 84.9° with 32% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	BAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+140	-168	8.5	0.5/-0.5
Recent	+145	-177	8.0	0.5/-0.5
Difference	+5	-9	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

133W-137L

40.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

135W-130L

59.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/09/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+3.5
04/09/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Over	+3.5
04/10/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+7.5
04/10/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+7.5
04/11/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	9	Over	+8.5
04/11/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+8.5
05/27/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+9.5
05/27/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+9.5
03/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	10	Over	+14.5
03/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+14.5
10/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+2.5
10/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Over	+2.5
04/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	8	Over	+12.5
04/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+12.5
04/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+9.5
04/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+9.5
04/24/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+4.5
04/24/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+4.5
04/25/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+9.5
04/25/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+9.5
04/26/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+3.5
04/26/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+3.5
09/08/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+8.5
09/08/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+8.5
09/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	13	Over	+20.5
09/09/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	12	Over	+20.5
09/10/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+5.5
09/10/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+5.5
09/28/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-2.5
09/28/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-2.5
09/29/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-1.5
09/29/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-1.5
09/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+2.5
09/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+2.5

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Brayan Bello

ERA 4.039 | IP 42.3 | 5.0W-2.0L | KO 37.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-22-24	@TB	8-5W	6.0	4	3	6	Over
05-17-24	@STL	6-10L	4.7	7	5	4	Over
05-12-24	vsWAS	2-3W	5.0	4	2	1	Under
04-19-24	@PIT	8-1W	6.0	1	0	7	Over
04-14-24	vsLAA	4-5W	5.3	6	2	8	Over
04-09-24	vsBAL	7-1L	5.3	4	3	3	Push
04-02-24	@OAK	5-4W	5.0	5	4	6	Over
03-28-24	@SEA	6-4W	5.0	5	2	2	Over
09-27-23	vsTB	5-0L	6.0	9	5	3	Under
09-20-23	@TEX	5-15L	3.0	8	8	2	Over

Grayson Rodriguez

ERA 3.2 | IP 45.0 | 5.0W-1.0L | KO 51.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-23-24	@CWS	8-6W	5.0	3	2	7	Over
05-18-24	vsSEA	4-3L	6.0	1	0	7	Under
04-29-24	vsNYY	0-2W	5.7	5	0	3	Under
04-23-24	@LAA	4-7L	4.3	11	7	7	Over
04-16-24	vsMIN	3-11W	6.0	4	2	6	Over
04-11-24	@BOS	9-4W	5.7	6	2	5	Over
04-05-24	@PIT	5-2W	6.3	6	2	7	Under
03-30-24	vsLAA	4-13W	6.0	4	1	9	Over
09-27-23	vsWAS	1-5W	5.7	6	1	5	Under
09-21-23	@CLE	2-5L	5.0	5	2	7	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/29	vs BAL	3-11L	8	0	Over
05/28	@ MIL	2-1W	9	0	Under
05/27	@ MIL	3-6L	5	0	Over
05/26	@ MIL	2-7L	9	1	Over
05/24	vs TB	8-5W	8	1	Over
05/23	vs TB	5-2W	7	2	Under
05/22	vs TB	5-0W	7	2	Under
05/21	vs STL	11-3W	14	3	Over
05/20	vs STL	2-7L	6	1	Over
05/19	vs STL	6-10L	12	1	Over
05/18	@ TB	5-6L	9	2	Over
05/17	@ TB	3-4L	8	2	Under
05/16	@ TB	5-4W	7	1	Over
05/15	@ TB	3-5L	8	1	Push
05/14	@ WAS	3-2W	7	0	Under

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/29	@ BOS	11-3W	13	0	Over
05/28	vs CWS	4-1W	6	2	Under
05/27	vs CWS	5-3W	8	3	Push
05/26	vs CWS	6-4W	8	1	Over
05/25	vs CWS	8-6W	13	2	Over
05/24	vs STL	4-5L	8	0	Over
05/24	vs STL	1-3L	3	0	Under
05/22	vs STL	3-6L	3	1	Over
05/21	@ SEA	6-3W	12	2	Over
05/20	@ SEA	3-4L	6	1	Under
05/19	@ SEA	9-2W	10	1	Over
05/17	@ TOR	3-2W	11	2	Under
05/15	@ TOR	2-3L	3	2	Under
05/14	@ ARI	2-9L	4	1	Over
05/13	@ ARI	5-4W	13	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	8.0	10.2	0.266	0.446	36.5%	81.1%	1.4%
#2 Wilyer Abreu	7.9	10.3	0.284	0.5	40.5%	90.5%	3.4%
#3 Connor Wong	7.0	8.9	0.326	0.477	40.2%	87.9%	3.8%
#4 Rafael Devers	8.4	11.1	0.273	0.528	42.9%	95.7%	6.2%
#5 Tyler O’Neill	7.9	10.5	0.236	0.5	39.9%	89.9%	7.4%
#6 Dominic Smith	6.0	8.0	0.2	0.286	30.0%	58.6%	1.4%
#7 Vaughn Grissom	5.8	7.4	0.149	0.164	22.4%	38.8%	0.0%
#8 David Hamilton	5.3	6.7	0.263	0.421	36.8%	78.9%	2.6%
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.2	6.9	0.209	0.363	24.7%	61.0%	2.7%

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	9.7	12.9	0.26	0.58	42.0%	100.0%	8.5%
#2 Adley Rutschman	8.9	11.6	0.3	0.483	35.7%	84.1%	4.8%
#3 Ryan O’Hearn	7.7	10.0	0.28	0.485	37.9%	86.4%	5.3%
#4 Ryan Mountcastle	7.9	10.2	0.28	0.468	33.9%	80.6%	3.2%
#5 Anthony Santander	8.4	11.4	0.201	0.425	31.8%	74.3%	5.0%
#6 Colton Cowser	7.5	10.1	0.241	0.462	38.6%	84.8%	4.8%
#7 Jordan Westburg	7.6	9.9	0.285	0.505	37.6%	88.2%	4.3%
#8 Cedric Mullins	7.9	10.4	0.195	0.344	26.0%	60.4%	3.9%
#9 Jorge Mateo	6.1	7.9	0.25	0.47	33.0%	80.0%	3.0%