Red Sox vs Orioles Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Oriole Park tonight as the Boston Red Sox, sitting just shy of .500, roll into the nest of the soaring Baltimore Orioles for a clash that’s shaping up to be more than just a feather in the cap of the victor. With the first pitch slated for 06:35 PM EST, the stakes are high as the Red Sox aim to bridge the 8.5-game gap in the American League, while the Orioles look to peck away at the 1.5-game distance separating them from the top. Vegas is buzzing too, setting the game’s over/under at a tight 7.5, hinting at a battle as finely balanced as tonight’s partly cloudy skies. Fresh off a game where the Red Sox clipped the Orioles’ wings with an 8-3 win, tonight’s matchup promises all the drama of a late-season thriller. So, as the winds from the NW whip up the excitement, let’s see if the Red Sox can cook up another win, or if the Orioles will be serving revenge cold in their own backyard!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 29, 2024 06:35PM EST

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 72.0° with 55% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	BAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+157	-192	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+162	-197	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+5	-5	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

134W-137L

38.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

135W-131L

61.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/09/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+0.5
04/09/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Over	+0.5
04/10/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+4.5
04/10/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+4.5
04/11/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	9	Over	+5.5
04/11/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+5.5
05/27/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+6.5
05/27/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+6.5
05/28/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+3.5
05/28/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+3.5
03/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	10	Over	+11.5
03/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+11.5
10/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Under	-0.5
10/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-0.5
04/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	8	Over	+9.5
04/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+9.5
04/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+6.5
04/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+6.5
04/24/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+1.5
04/24/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+1.5
04/25/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+6.5
04/25/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+6.5
04/26/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+0.5
04/26/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+0.5
09/08/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+5.5
09/08/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+5.5
09/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	13	Over	+17.5
09/09/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	12	Over	+17.5
09/10/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+2.5
09/10/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+2.5
09/28/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-5.5
09/28/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-5.5
09/29/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-4.5
09/29/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-4.5
09/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-0.5
09/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Under	-0.5

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Kutter Crawford

ERA 2.888 | IP 62.3 | 2.0W-3.0L | KO 61.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-24-24	vsMIL	7-2L	4.3	7	6	4	Over
05-18-24	@STL	2-7L	5.7	6	1	5	Over
05-13-24	vsTB	5-3L	6.0	7	4	6	Over
05-07-24	@ATL	2-4L	6.0	5	2	6	Under
05-01-24	vsSF	2-6W	7.0	4	2	6	Over
04-26-24	vsCHC	7-1L	6.0	10	4	4	Over
04-20-24	@PIT	4-2W	6.0	7	1	6	Under
04-15-24	vsCLE	6-0L	5.7	2	0	6	Under
04-10-24	vsBAL	7-5L	5.0	2	0	6	Over
04-05-24	@LAA	8-6W	4.7	2	1	5	Over

Corbin Burnes

ERA 2.741 | IP 65.7 | 4.0W-2.0L | KO 66.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-24-24	@CWS	6-4W	6.0	7	3	6	Over
05-19-24	vsSEA	3-6W	6.0	7	1	11	Over
05-13-24	vsTOR	3-2L	6.0	6	1	2	Under
05-07-24	@WAS	0-3L	6.3	5	3	6	Under
05-01-24	vsNYY	2-0L	6.0	4	2	6	Under
04-26-24	vsOAK	3-2L	6.0	3	1	6	Under
04-20-24	@KC	9-7W	5.7	4	3	4	Over
04-14-24	vsMIL	4-6W	5.0	6	3	5	Over
04-09-24	@BOS	7-1W	7.0	2	1	6	Over
04-03-24	vsKC	3-4W	5.7	9	2	3	Push

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/30	vs BAL	8-3W	11	2	Over
05/29	vs BAL	3-11L	8	0	Over
05/28	@ MIL	2-1W	9	0	Under
05/27	@ MIL	3-6L	5	0	Over
05/26	@ MIL	2-7L	9	1	Over
05/24	vs TB	8-5W	8	1	Over
05/23	vs TB	5-2W	7	2	Push
05/22	vs TB	5-0W	7	2	Under
05/21	vs STL	11-3W	14	3	Over
05/20	vs STL	2-7L	6	1	Over
05/19	vs STL	6-10L	12	1	Over
05/18	@ TB	5-6L	9	2	Over
05/17	@ TB	3-4L	8	2	Push
05/16	@ TB	5-4W	7	1	Over
05/15	@ TB	3-5L	8	1	Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/30	@ BOS	3-8L	8	0	Over
05/29	@ BOS	11-3W	13	0	Over
05/28	vs CWS	4-1W	6	2	Under
05/27	vs CWS	5-3W	8	3	Over
05/26	vs CWS	6-4W	8	1	Over
05/25	vs CWS	8-6W	13	2	Over
05/24	vs STL	4-5L	8	0	Over
05/24	vs STL	1-3L	3	0	Under
05/22	vs STL	3-6L	3	1	Over
05/21	@ SEA	6-3W	12	2	Over
05/20	@ SEA	3-4L	6	1	Push
05/19	@ SEA	9-2W	10	1	Over
05/17	@ TOR	3-2W	11	2	Under
05/15	@ TOR	2-3L	3	2	Under
05/14	@ ARI	2-9L	4	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	7.4	9.5	0.265	0.447	36.3%	81.0%	1.3%
#2 Wilyer Abreu	7.8	10.2	0.283	0.513	40.1%	91.4%	3.9%
#3 Garrett Cooper	7.2	9.4	0.225	0.337	32.6%	66.3%	1.1%
#4 Rafael Devers	6.9	9.1	0.289	0.548	44.0%	98.8%	6.0%
#5 Connor Wong	6.8	8.6	0.324	0.471	39.7%	86.8%	3.7%
#6 Dominic Smith	5.3	7.1	0.192	0.274	30.1%	57.5%	1.4%
#7 Vaughn Grissom	5.4	6.9	0.141	0.155	21.1%	36.6%	0.0%
#8 David Hamilton	5.0	6.4	0.263	0.412	36.2%	77.5%	2.5%
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	4.8	6.4	0.211	0.362	25.4%	61.6%	2.7%

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	8.6	11.4	0.259	0.576	41.5%	99.0%	8.3%
#2 Adley Rutschman	7.5	9.8	0.299	0.479	36.0%	83.9%	4.7%
#3 Ryan O’Hearn	6.7	8.7	0.279	0.478	38.2%	86.0%	5.1%
#4 Ryan Mountcastle	7.7	9.9	0.278	0.465	34.2%	80.7%	3.2%
#5 Anthony Santander	6.8	9.2	0.203	0.423	32.4%	74.7%	4.9%
#6 Colton Cowser	6.6	8.8	0.24	0.453	38.0%	83.3%	4.7%
#7 Jordan Westburg	6.6	8.7	0.291	0.508	38.6%	89.4%	4.2%
#8 Cedric Mullins	6.0	7.9	0.192	0.34	25.6%	59.6%	3.8%
#9 Jorge Mateo	5.5	7.2	0.24	0.452	31.7%	76.9%	2.9%