Red Sox vs Reds Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some sizzling MLB action as the Boston Red Sox, boasting a solid 40-35 record, gear up to clash with the Cincinnati Reds, who are sitting at 35-39, at the iconic Great American Ball Park tonight at 07:10PM EST. It’s a battle of resilience with the Sox looking to extend their winning streak after a fiery 7-3 victory over Toronto, while the Reds are itching to bounce back from a narrow defeat against Pittsburgh. With the betting lines drawing a close call and an over/under that promises a showdown, fans are set for an exhilarating matchup under a sunny sky, light breezes, and game-time temps pushing the mercury to 89.1°. As the teams take the field, let’s see if the Red Sox can “sock” it to the Reds in their own backyard!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 21, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NNW at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 89.1° with 52% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-106	-114	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-118	-102	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-12	+12	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

139W-140L

54.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

130W-146L

45.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/30/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+8.0
05/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+8.0
05/31/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Push	-0.0
05/31/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Push	-0.0
06/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Over	+1.0
06/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+1.0

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Kutter Crawford

ERA 3.544 | IP 86.3 | 3.0W-6.0L | KO 88.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-16-24	vsNYY	3-9W	6.0	3	3	9	Over
06-11-24	vsPHI	4-1L	6.0	6	4	8	Under
06-04-24	vsATL	8-3L	6.0	5	6	5	Over
05-29-24	@BAL	1-6L	6.0	4	5	5	Under
05-24-24	vsMIL	7-2L	4.3	7	6	4	Under
05-18-24	@STL	2-7L	5.7	6	1	5	Under
05-13-24	vsTB	5-3L	6.0	7	4	6	Under
05-07-24	@ATL	2-4L	6.0	5	2	6	Under
05-01-24	vsSF	2-6W	7.0	4	2	6	Under
04-26-24	vsCHC	7-1L	6.0	10	4	4	Under

Alexis Diaz

ERA 5.268 | IP 27.3 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 28.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-15-24	@MIL	1-3L	5.0	4	3	3	Under
06-08-24	vsCHC	3-4W	5.0	5	1	5	Under
06-03-24	@COL	13-3W	6.0	7	3	6	Over
05-28-24	vsSTL	7-1L	6.0	7	6	3	Under
05-21-24	vsSD	0-2W	7.0	4	0	2	Under
05-15-24	@ARI	1-2L	7.0	4	1	4	Under
05-10-24	@SF	4-2W	5.0	6	2	2	Under
05-04-24	vsBAL	2-1L	5.0	7	2	8	Under
04-28-24	@TEX	3-4L	5.3	6	4	7	Under
04-23-24	vsPHI	1-8W	4.3	2	1	3	Under
06-18-24	@PIT	2-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
06-14-24	@MIL	6-5W	1.0	3	2	0	Over
06-12-24	vsCLE	2-4W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
06-07-24	vsCHC	2-3W	1.0	1	1	1	Under
06-06-24	vsCHC	4-8W	1.0	0	0	3	Over
06-02-24	@CHC	5-2W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
05-31-24	@CHC	5-4W	1.0	2	1	0	Under
05-26-24	vsLAD	1-4W	0.7	0	0	2	Under
05-25-24	vsLAD	1-3W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
05-23-24	vsSD	6-4L	1.0	1	0	2	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/21	vs TOR	7-3W	10	2	Over
06/20	vs TOR	4-3W	12	1	Under
06/19	vs TOR	7-3W	11	4	Over
06/18	@ NYY	9-3W	14	0	Over
06/17	@ NYY	8-4W	12	0	Over
06/16	@ NYY	1-8L	5	0	Under
06/15	@ PHI	9-3W	14	1	Over
06/14	@ PHI	8-6W	13	1	Over
06/13	@ PHI	1-4L	4	0	Under
06/11	vs CWS	6-4W	8	1	Over
06/10	vs CWS	1-6L	5	1	Under
06/09	vs CWS	2-7L	6	0	Under
06/08	vs CWS	14-2W	24	3	Over
06/07	@ ATL	9-0W	13	3	Under
06/06	@ ATL	3-8L	5	1	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/21	vs PIT	0-1L	2	0	Under
06/20	vs PIT	2-1W	9	1	Under
06/19	vs PIT	1-4L	7	0	Under
06/18	vs MIL	4-5L	8	2	Under
06/17	vs MIL	1-3L	5	0	Under
06/16	vs MIL	6-5W	10	2	Over
06/14	@ CLE	4-2W	6	2	Under
06/13	@ CLE	3-5L	6	0	Under
06/11	@ CHC	2-4L	5	1	Under
06/10	@ CHC	4-3W	6	2	Under
06/09	@ CHC	3-2W	5	0	Under
06/08	@ CHC	8-4W	9	1	Over
06/07	vs COL	12-7W	12	4	Over
06/06	vs COL	4-1W	12	1	Under
06/05	vs COL	13-3W	18	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	7.9	10.1	0.277	0.468	0.384	0.852	0.344	0.019
#2 Rob Refsnyder	9.6	12.3	0.319	0.464	0.457	0.920	0.368	0.014
#3 Tyler O’Neill	11.4	15.2	0.258	0.543	0.409	0.952	0.378	0.081
#4 Rafael Devers	8.8	11.7	0.278	0.544	0.426	0.970	0.384	0.059
#5 Connor Wong	8.3	10.6	0.332	0.455	0.444	0.898	0.362	0.027
#6 Romy Gonzalez	8.1	10.2	0.279	0.349	0.372	0.721	0.295	0.000
#7 Bobby Dalbec	7.7	10.3	0.138	0.200	0.250	0.450	0.194	0.013
#8 David Hamilton	6.2	7.8	0.288	0.438	0.363	0.801	0.328	0.027
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	6.7	8.8	0.251	0.408	0.294	0.702	0.292	0.031

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	8.2	10.8	0.240	0.332	0.415	0.747	0.302	0.017
#2 Elly De La Cruz	9.8	12.7	0.236	0.435	0.384	0.819	0.329	0.044
#3 Jeimer Candelario	8.9	11.6	0.251	0.482	0.336	0.818	0.335	0.049
#4 Spencer Steer	8.4	11.1	0.238	0.398	0.379	0.778	0.315	0.031
#5 Jake Fraley	8.6	10.8	0.267	0.343	0.355	0.698	0.288	0.006
#6 Tyler Stephenson	6.9	9.1	0.233	0.392	0.354	0.746	0.306	0.032
#7 Nick Martini	6.6	9.0	0.210	0.353	0.286	0.639	0.267	0.034
#8 Will Benson	6.8	8.9	0.199	0.393	0.330	0.723	0.295	0.039
#9 Alexis Diaz	3.3	6.6	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#9 Jacob Hurtubise	5.4	7.1	0.182	0.236	0.345	0.582	0.245	0.000

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Wilyer Abreu OUT (OF): Avg: 0.272 SLG:0.485 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 2.7
Vaughn Grissom OUT (2B): Avg: 0.148 SLG:0.16 Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 1.1