Red Sox vs Dodgers Game Breakdown

Get ready to watch sparks fly at Dodger Stadium tonight as the Boston Red Sox, hot on their heels in the American League, square off against the top-dog Los Angeles Dodgers in a thrilling showdown under the Californian sun. With the Sox looking to bounce back from yesterday’s nail-biter and the Dodgers aiming to keep their winning streak alive, all eyes are on the 07:10 PM EST start. With the mercury hitting a perfect 78.9° and the wind barely making the flags flutter, the stage is set for a game that’s as finely balanced as the betting lines. So, who will steal the show tonight? Will the Dodgers continue to defend their turf, or will the Red Sox turn up the heat? One thing’s for sure, tonight we find out if it’s going to be a case of seeing red or feeling blue!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 21, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SW at 3.6 mph. Temperature is at 78.9° with 48% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	LAD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+101	-121	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-102	-118	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-203	+3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

146W-144L

50.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

194W-93L

49.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/19/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-4.0
07/19/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Under	-4.0
07/20/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+4.0
07/20/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	7	Over	+4.0
08/25/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	7	Over	+2.0
08/25/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+2.0
08/26/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Over	+4.0
08/26/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+4.0
08/27/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	7	Over	+2.0
08/27/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+2.0

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Dodgers Vs Over/Under

Kutter Crawford

ERA 3.036 | IP 112.7 | 6.0W-7.0L | KO 110.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-13-24	vsKC	0-5W	7.0	2	0	4	Under
07-07-24	@NYY	3-0W	7.0	4	0	4	Under
07-02-24	@MIA	8-3W	6.0	3	1	7	Over
06-21-24	@CIN	2-5L	6.3	5	5	7	Under
06-16-24	vsNYY	3-9W	6.0	3	3	9	Over
06-11-24	vsPHI	4-1L	6.0	6	4	8	Under
06-04-24	vsATL	8-3L	6.0	5	6	5	Over
05-29-24	@BAL	1-6L	6.0	4	5	5	Under
05-24-24	vsMIL	7-2L	4.3	7	6	4	Push
05-18-24	@STL	2-7L	5.7	6	1	5	Push

James Paxton

ERA 4.375 | IP 84.3 | 7.0W-2.0L | KO 57.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-12-24	@DET	4-3W	3.7	5	3	1	Under
07-06-24	vsMIL	3-5W	5.0	4	2	3	Under
06-30-24	@SF	4-10L	4.0	12	9	4	Over
06-24-24	@CWS	3-0W	5.0	3	0	6	Under
06-17-24	@COL	9-5W	7.0	2	1	8	Over
06-11-24	vsTEX	2-15W	6.0	2	1	2	Over
06-05-24	@PIT	6-10L	1.7	6	7	2	Over
05-29-24	@NYM	10-3W	3.0	2	0	3	Over
05-24-24	@CIN	6-9L	4.7	5	5	4	Over
05-17-24	vsCIN	3-7W	6.0	7	3	2	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	vs LAD	6-7L	10	2	Over
07/21	vs LAD	1-4L	9	1	Under
07/15	@ KC	5-0W	12	1	Under
07/14	@ KC	1-6L	5	0	Under
07/13	@ OAK	7-0W	10	3	Under
07/12	@ OAK	2-5L	8	1	Under
07/11	@ OAK	12-9W	13	2	Over
07/09	vs NYY	3-0W	6	3	Under
07/08	vs NYY	4-14L	8	1	Over
07/07	vs NYY	5-3W	8	3	Under
07/06	vs MIA	6-5W	8	0	Over
07/05	vs MIA	7-2W	12	0	Push
07/04	vs MIA	8-3W	13	2	Over
07/02	@ SD	4-1W	8	2	Under
07/01	@ SD	1-11L	6	1	Over

Dodgers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	@ BOS	7-6W	12	2	Over
07/21	@ BOS	4-1W	4	1	Under
07/15	vs DET	9-11L	12	2	Over
07/14	vs DET	4-3W	9	1	Under
07/13	vs PHI	1-5L	5	1	Under
07/12	vs PHI	3-4L	9	0	Under
07/11	vs PHI	1-10L	7	1	Over
07/09	@ MIL	2-9L	7	1	Over
07/08	@ MIL	5-3W	9	3	Under
07/07	@ MIL	8-5W	10	4	Over
07/06	@ ARI	3-9L	6	0	Over
07/05	@ ARI	4-12L	6	2	Over
07/04	@ ARI	6-5W	12	1	Over
07/02	vs SF	4-10L	8	1	Over
07/01	vs SF	14-7W	16	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Rob Refsnyder	8.7	11.3	0.301	0.458	0.458	0.916	0.364	0.024
#2 Jarren Duran	9.4	12.1	0.282	0.485	0.380	0.865	0.350	0.028
#3 Tyler O’Neill	9.8	13.0	0.263	0.522	0.408	0.929	0.370	0.071
#4 Rafael Devers	8.4	11.2	0.287	0.574	0.426	1.000	0.396	0.069
#5 Connor Wong	7.4	9.4	0.305	0.442	0.402	0.843	0.343	0.032
#6 Romy Gonzalez	6.9	8.8	0.250	0.368	0.342	0.711	0.293	0.013
#7 Jamie Westbrook	5.7	7.7	0.192	0.385	0.308	0.692	0.287	0.038
#8 Dominic Smith	5.9	7.9	0.222	0.341	0.351	0.692	0.285	0.022
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.9	7.7	0.250	0.422	0.292	0.714	0.297	0.033

Los Angeles Dodgers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Shohei Ohtani	11.4	15.0	0.316	0.646	0.470	1.115	0.436	0.080
#2 Will Smith	8.0	10.8	0.260	0.476	0.385	0.861	0.347	0.051
#3 Freddie Freeman	8.4	11.2	0.297	0.507	0.467	0.975	0.383	0.042
#4 Teoscar Hernandez	7.8	10.3	0.266	0.482	0.360	0.842	0.343	0.053
#5 Andy Pages	6.9	8.9	0.255	0.400	0.338	0.738	0.304	0.028
#6 Miguel Rojas	6.1	7.8	0.271	0.410	0.335	0.745	0.308	0.016
#7 Gavin Lux	5.8	7.5	0.220	0.320	0.292	0.612	0.255	0.016
#8 James Outman	5.7	7.5	0.164	0.276	0.267	0.543	0.230	0.026
#9 Chris Taylor	5.8	7.8	0.160	0.260	0.327	0.587	0.244	0.020

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Justin Slaten OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/09/24. Impact: 1.6
Chris Martin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/05/24. Impact: 1.4

Dodgers Notable Injuries

Tyler Glasnow OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/07/24. Impact: 9.8
Jason Heyward OUT (OF): Avg: 0.196 SLG:0.402 Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 1.5