Red Sox vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Target Field as the Boston Red Sox, hot on the heels in their conference, gear up to challenge the Minnesota Twins in a midday clash that’s got everyone talking! With both teams boasting impressive records and the Twins having just edged out a victory against the Sox, the stakes are as high as the humidity in today’s forecast. At 02:10 PM EST, the first pitch will slice through the cool, light rain, setting the stage for a game where every swing counts. The betting lines are buzzing, and fans are split with the over/under tantalizingly poised at 8.0. Will the Red Sox retaliate today, or will the Twins continue to build their winning streak? One thing’s for sure, in a game packed with this much action, you can bet it’s going to be a real ‘twinning’ moment or a ‘Red-letter’ day!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 04, 2024 02:10PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Light rain with winds from the N at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 46.9° with 90% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+147	-179	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+147	-179	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

128W-131L

40.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

10W-0L

HOME

135W-114L

59.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/03/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-1.0
05/03/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-1.0
04/18/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+1.0
04/18/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+1.0
04/19/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	10	Over	+6.0
04/19/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+6.0
04/20/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+8.0
04/20/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	11	Over	+8.0
06/19/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+4.0
06/19/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Over	+4.0
06/20/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	10	Over	+6.0
06/20/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+6.0
06/21/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+1.0
06/21/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+1.0
06/22/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-2.0
06/22/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Under	-2.0

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Brennan Bernardino

ERA 0.73 | IP 12.3 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 11.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-02-24	vsSF	3-1L	1.0	0	0	0	Under
04-30-24	vsSF	0-4W	0.7	0	0	0	Under
04-27-24	vsCHC	0-17W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
04-25-24	@CLE	4-6L	1.3	1	0	0	Over
04-23-24	@CLE	1-4L	1.0	0	0	0	Under
04-18-24	vsCLE	5-4L	2.0	0	0	2	Over
04-16-24	vsCLE	10-7L	1.0	0	0	2	Over
04-15-24	vsCLE	6-0L	1.0	1	1	1	Under
04-12-24	vsLAA	7-0L	1.3	0	0	2	Under
04-10-24	vsBAL	7-5L	2.0	1	0	3	Over

Pablo Lopez

ERA 4.832 | IP 31.7 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 37.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-28-24	@LAA	11-5W	5.0	4	4	8	Over
04-23-24	vsCWS	5-6W	4.0	4	3	6	Over
04-17-24	@BAL	2-4L	6.0	2	1	7	Under
04-12-24	@DET	2-8L	4.0	6	5	7	Over
04-04-24	vsCLE	4-2L	5.7	6	4	2	Under
03-28-24	@KC	4-1W	7.0	4	1	7	Under
09-27-23	vsOAK	4-6W	4.3	5	3	6	Over
09-22-23	vsLAA	6-8W	6.0	5	3	7	Over
09-16-23	@CWS	6-7L	5.0	8	5	8	Over
09-10-23	vsNYM	2-0L	8.0	2	0	14	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/05	vs MIN	2-5L	4	0	Under
05/04	@ SF	1-3L	4	0	Under
05/03	@ SF	6-2W	10	0	Over
05/02	@ SF	4-0W	11	0	Under
04/30	@ CHC	5-4W	9	0	Over
04/29	@ CHC	17-0W	21	2	Over
04/28	@ CHC	1-7L	7	1	Over
04/27	vs CLE	4-5L	10	0	Over
04/26	vs CLE	8-0W	16	3	Over
04/25	vs CLE	1-4L	6	1	Under
04/23	vs PIT	6-1W	8	0	Under
04/22	vs PIT	4-2W	7	1	Under
04/21	vs PIT	8-1W	12	4	Over
04/20	@ CLE	4-5L	6	0	Over
04/19	@ CLE	2-0W	5	1	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/05	@ BOS	5-2W	8	0	Under
05/03	vs CWS	10-5W	12	1	Over
05/02	vs CWS	6-5W	9	0	Over
05/01	vs CWS	3-2W	4	1	Under
04/30	vs LAA	11-5W	17	0	Over
04/29	vs LAA	16-5W	17	3	Over
04/28	vs LAA	5-3W	11	1	Over
04/27	@ CWS	6-3W	10	5	Over
04/26	@ CWS	6-3W	13	1	Over
04/25	@ CWS	6-5W	10	2	Over
04/24	@ CWS	7-0W	11	1	Under
04/23	@ DET	1-6L	7	1	Under
04/22	@ DET	4-3W	7	0	Under
04/21	@ DET	4-5L	5	1	Over
04/19	vs BAL	2-4L	5	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	7.9	10.2	0.261	0.384	37.7%	76.1%	0.7%
#2 Rafael Devers	8.9	11.8	0.3	0.5	52.5%	102.5%	3.8%
#3 Tyler O’Neill	7.6	10.1	0.294	0.635	49.4%	112.9%	10.6%
#4 Wilyer Abreu	7.9	10.3	0.298	0.488	42.9%	91.7%	2.4%
#5 Connor Wong	6.5	8.3	0.351	0.595	40.5%	100.0%	6.8%
#6 Garrett Cooper	6.1	7.9	0.234	0.362	34.0%	70.2%	2.1%
#7 Dominic Smith	5.9	7.7	0.125	0.125	12.5%	25.0%	0.0%
#8 Vaughn Grissom	7.5	7.5	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	4.6	6.1	0.195	0.345	23.9%	58.4%	1.8%

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ryan Jeffers	7.4	10.0	0.298	0.553	45.7%	101.1%	5.3%
#2 Carlos Correa	8.1	10.7	0.269	0.365	46.2%	82.7%	1.9%
#3 Jose Miranda	7.0	8.9	0.298	0.491	35.1%	84.2%	3.5%
#4 Manuel Margot	7.3	9.5	0.182	0.255	30.9%	56.4%	1.8%
#5 Carlos Santana	6.3	8.4	0.184	0.33	30.1%	63.1%	3.9%
#6 Willi Castro	6.4	8.3	0.282	0.466	38.8%	85.4%	1.9%
#7 Christian Vazquez	5.6	7.0	0.213	0.262	24.6%	50.8%	1.6%
#8 Kyle Farmer	5.2	7.1	0.136	0.203	30.5%	50.8%	0.0%
#9 Austin Martin	4.7	6.4	0.222	0.365	31.7%	68.3%	1.6%