Red Sox vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some prime-time baseball action as the Boston Red Sox jet off to the Big Apple to clash with the New York Mets at Citi Field tonight at 07:10 PM EST! Both teams are neck-and-neck, sitting 7.5 games back in their respective conferences and hungry for a win to boost their standings. With the betting lines drawing a tight rope—Red Sox at +105 and Mets at -125—and an over/under teasing at 8.0, the stakes are as high as the skyscrapers surrounding the stadium. While the Mets are riding the high from a recent shutout victory, the Red Sox are looking to shake off the dust from a stumble in their last outing. With perfect game-day weather setting the stage, this matchup is all set to be a spectacle. So, as the sun sets over Citi Field, let’s see if the Red Sox can sock it to the Mets in a showdown that’s sure to be more thrilling than a New York minute!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 02, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 70.0° with 61% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+104	-124	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1	+1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

156W-154L

49.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

175W-129L

51.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/22/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+1.0
07/22/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+1.0
07/22/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+6.0
07/22/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+6.0
07/23/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-1.0
07/23/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Under	-1.0

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Brayan Bello

ERA 4.684 | IP 130.7 | 11.0W-6.0L | KO 128.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-28-24	vsTOR	0-3W	8.0	2	0	9	Under
08-23-24	vsARI	12-2L	5.3	7	5	2	Over
08-17-24	@BAL	5-1W	6.0	2	1	6	Under
08-12-24	vsTEX	4-5W	6.0	4	1	5	Over
08-06-24	@KC	6-5W	4.7	5	3	6	Over
07-31-24	vsSEA	2-3W	6.3	7	2	7	Under
07-26-24	vsNYY	7-9W	5.0	5	3	4	Over
07-20-24	@LAD	6-7L	6.0	5	3	7	Over
07-09-24	vsOAK	9-12W	5.3	9	5	11	Over
07-03-24	@MIA	7-2W	6.7	7	1	7	Over

Luis Severino

ERA 4.136 | IP 152.3 | 9.0W-6.0L | KO 131.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-28-24	@ARI	5-8L	4.7	8	4	9	Over
08-22-24	@SD	8-3W	5.0	5	1	5	Over
08-17-24	vsMIA	0-4W	9.0	4	0	8	Under
08-11-24	@SEA	1-12L	5.0	6	4	8	Over
08-06-24	@COL	3-6L	5.0	8	5	5	Over
07-31-24	vsMIN	8-3L	3.0	6	6	2	Over
07-25-24	vsATL	2-3W	5.0	7	2	6	Under
07-20-24	@MIA	1-0W	6.0	2	0	7	Under
07-10-24	vsWAS	2-6W	6.3	4	2	4	Push
07-05-24	@PIT	2-14L	6.0	9	7	3	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/03	vs DET	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/02	vs DET	1-2L	4	1	Under
09/01	vs DET	7-5W	9	3	Over
08/31	@ TOR	0-2L	2	0	Under
08/30	@ TOR	3-0W	7	1	Under
08/29	@ TOR	6-3W	9	1	Over
08/28	@ TOR	1-4L	4	1	Under
08/28	@ TOR	3-7L	9	1	Over
08/27	@ ARI	5-7L	9	3	Over
08/26	@ ARI	1-4L	5	0	Under
08/25	@ ARI	2-12L	6	1	Over
08/23	vs HOU	4-1W	7	1	Under
08/22	vs HOU	6-5W	9	2	Over
08/21	vs HOU	4-5L	7	2	Over
08/20	vs BAL	2-4L	11	1	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/03	vs CWS	2-0W	7	1	Under
09/02	vs CWS	5-3W	10	2	Push
09/01	vs CWS	5-1W	10	1	Under
08/31	vs ARI	3-2W	10	2	Under
08/30	vs ARI	5-8L	6	1	Over
08/29	vs ARI	8-3W	13	1	Over
08/27	vs SD	2-3L	7	2	Under
08/26	vs SD	7-1W	5	3	Push
08/25	vs SD	0-7L	2	0	Under
08/24	vs SD	8-3W	17	0	Over
08/23	@ BAL	4-3W	8	3	Under
08/22	@ BAL	5-9L	5	1	Over
08/21	@ BAL	4-3W	6	2	Under
08/20	@ MIA	2-3L	9	1	Under
08/19	@ MIA	4-0W	7	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	8.6	11.1	0.291	0.526	0.385	0.911	0.368	0.037
#2 Masataka Yoshida	7.5	9.8	0.295	0.438	0.406	0.844	0.343	0.029
#3 Triston Casas	8.7	11.5	0.252	0.460	0.396	0.856	0.343	0.058
#4 Rafael Devers	8.4	11.2	0.282	0.549	0.410	0.959	0.382	0.059
#5 Tyler O’Neill	7.9	10.6	0.253	0.524	0.393	0.917	0.366	0.074
#6 Wilyer Abreu	7.2	9.5	0.267	0.495	0.374	0.869	0.352	0.043
#7 Danny Jansen	6.9	9.1	0.211	0.360	0.344	0.704	0.289	0.032
#8 Nick Sogard	5.1	6.7	0.231	0.250	0.327	0.577	0.242	0.000
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.5	7.1	0.254	0.403	0.299	0.701	0.292	0.030

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.1	11.9	0.267	0.491	0.373	0.864	0.351	0.052
#2 Brandon Nimmo	9.2	12.3	0.233	0.408	0.404	0.812	0.326	0.038
#3 Mark Vientos	7.0	9.2	0.285	0.545	0.373	0.918	0.373	0.066
#4 Pete Alonso	7.2	9.6	0.242	0.466	0.369	0.836	0.338	0.056
#5 Jesse Winker	7.2	9.5	0.276	0.437	0.439	0.876	0.349	0.034
#6 J.D. Martinez	6.9	9.2	0.250	0.439	0.379	0.818	0.331	0.042
#7 Starling Marte	6.4	8.2	0.277	0.408	0.344	0.752	0.310	0.025
#8 Jeff McNeil	6.4	8.3	0.238	0.387	0.336	0.723	0.298	0.029
#9 Francisco Alvarez	5.1	6.7	0.234	0.373	0.324	0.697	0.287	0.025

Red Sox Notable Injuries

James Paxton OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 4.1
David Hamilton OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.242 SLG:0.391 Last game: 08/30/24. Impact: 2.5
Cam Booser OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 0.6
Lucas Sims OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.2

Mets Notable Injuries

Paul Blackburn OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 4.8
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 1.8