Red Sox vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Boston Red Sox roll into Citi Field, gloves ready, to clash with the New York Mets tonight at 07:10PM EST! With the Red Sox looking to catch up from 8.5 games back in the AL, and the Mets swinging to close a 7-game gap in the NL, the stakes are as hot as the 64.9° game-time weather. Fresh off their respective last dances where the Mets celebrated a 4-1 victory over the Sox just yesterday, tension and tactics are set to define tonight’s showdown. With the betting lines drawing a crowd and the over/under teasing at 8.0, fans are in for a treat under the clear skies of Queens, NY. So, whether you’re a fan of the Sox or pledge allegiance to the Mets, tonight’s game is set to be a real ‘pitcher’ of a contest!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 03, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NNE at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 64.9° with 45% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+112	-134	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+113	-135	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

156W-155L

46.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

176W-129L

53.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/02/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-3.0
09/02/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-3.0
07/22/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+1.0
07/22/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+1.0
07/22/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+6.0
07/22/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+6.0
07/23/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-1.0
07/23/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Under	-1.0

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-29-24	vsTOR	2-0L	6.7	6	2	3	Under
08-26-24	vsTOR	4-1L	1.3	0	0	2	Under
08-24-24	vsARI	4-1L	5.0	3	2	3	Under
08-18-24	@BAL	2-4L	5.3	2	3	4	Under
08-13-24	vsTEX	4-9W	5.3	3	4	4	Over
08-07-24	@KC	4-8L	3.7	5	6	3	Over
08-02-24	@TEX	11-6W	5.3	6	5	5	Over
07-27-24	vsNYY	11-8L	4.7	8	5	5	Over
07-21-24	@LAD	6-9L	5.0	7	6	2	Over
07-13-24	vsKC	0-5W	7.0	2	0	4	Under

David Peterson

ERA 2.827 | IP 92.3 | 8.0W-1.0L | KO 70.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-29-24	@ARI	3-2W	7.0	7	2	4	Under
08-24-24	@SD	7-1W	7.3	5	1	2	Push
08-19-24	vsBAL	3-4W	7.0	6	3	8	Under
08-14-24	vsOAK	1-9W	6.3	3	1	4	Over
08-08-24	@COL	9-1W	5.0	4	1	5	Over
08-03-24	@LAA	4-5L	6.0	5	2	4	Over
07-28-24	vsATL	9-2L	5.0	4	4	7	Over
07-22-24	@MIA	6-4W	5.0	6	2	4	Over
07-11-24	vsWAS	0-7W	6.0	4	0	5	Under
07-06-24	@PIT	5-2W	4.3	5	2	5	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/04	vs NYM	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/03	vs DET	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/02	vs DET	1-2L	4	1	Under
09/01	vs DET	7-5W	9	3	Over
08/31	@ TOR	0-2L	2	0	Under
08/30	@ TOR	3-0W	7	1	Under
08/29	@ TOR	6-3W	9	1	Over
08/28	@ TOR	3-7L	9	1	Over
08/28	@ TOR	1-4L	4	1	Under
08/27	@ ARI	5-7L	9	3	Over
08/26	@ ARI	1-4L	5	0	Under
08/25	@ ARI	2-12L	6	1	Over
08/23	vs HOU	4-1W	7	1	Under
08/22	vs HOU	6-5W	9	2	Over
08/21	vs HOU	4-5L	7	2	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/04	@ BOS	4-1W	8	0	Under
09/03	vs CWS	2-0W	7	1	Under
09/02	vs CWS	5-3W	10	2	Push
09/01	vs CWS	5-1W	10	1	Under
08/31	vs ARI	3-2W	10	2	Under
08/30	vs ARI	5-8L	6	1	Over
08/29	vs ARI	8-3W	13	1	Over
08/27	vs SD	2-3L	7	2	Under
08/26	vs SD	7-1W	5	3	Push
08/25	vs SD	0-7L	2	0	Under
08/24	vs SD	8-3W	17	0	Over
08/23	@ BAL	4-3W	8	3	Under
08/22	@ BAL	5-9L	5	1	Over
08/21	@ BAL	4-3W	6	2	Under
08/20	@ MIA	2-3L	9	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	8.3	10.7	0.290	0.524	0.384	0.908	0.367	0.037
#2 Rob Refsnyder	8.0	10.4	0.277	0.449	0.398	0.848	0.343	0.035
#3 Luis Garcia	10.8	10.8	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#3 Tyler O’Neill	8.3	11.1	0.254	0.522	0.395	0.917	0.366	0.074
#4 Rafael Devers	8.7	11.5	0.280	0.544	0.406	0.951	0.379	0.058
#5 Romy Gonzalez	6.8	8.7	0.282	0.436	0.362	0.799	0.327	0.027
#6 Connor Wong	6.4	8.2	0.282	0.426	0.367	0.793	0.325	0.032
#7 Triston Casas	6.7	8.8	0.254	0.458	0.401	0.859	0.344	0.056
#8 Danny Jansen	6.5	8.6	0.211	0.360	0.344	0.704	0.289	0.032
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.3	6.8	0.255	0.406	0.299	0.705	0.293	0.029

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.8	11.5	0.269	0.492	0.376	0.868	0.352	0.052
#2 Brandon Nimmo	7.7	10.3	0.233	0.409	0.403	0.811	0.326	0.038
#3 Mark Vientos	7.4	9.7	0.285	0.545	0.373	0.918	0.373	0.066
#4 Pete Alonso	7.9	10.5	0.240	0.463	0.369	0.833	0.337	0.056
#5 Jesse Winker	7.0	9.2	0.274	0.433	0.438	0.872	0.347	0.033
#6 Jeff McNeil	6.4	8.4	0.239	0.386	0.335	0.720	0.297	0.029
#7 Starling Marte	6.3	8.1	0.274	0.404	0.340	0.744	0.307	0.025
#8 DJ Stewart	5.4	7.3	0.175	0.299	0.403	0.701	0.284	0.032
#9 Francisco Alvarez	5.4	7.1	0.234	0.373	0.324	0.697	0.287	0.025

Red Sox Notable Injuries

James Paxton OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 4.1
David Hamilton OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.242 SLG:0.391 Last game: 08/30/24. Impact: 2.5
Cam Booser OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 0.6
Lucas Sims OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.2

Mets Notable Injuries

Paul Blackburn OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 4.8
J.D. Martinez OUT (1B/OF): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.439 Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 3.0
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 1.8