Red Sox vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some prime Daily Fantasy Sports action as the Boston Red Sox, with a record that’s just shy of stellar, gear up to clash with the New York Mets at the iconic Citi Field tonight at 7:10 PM EST. With the Red Sox trying to claw back from a 9.5-game deficit in the American League and the Mets hustling just 7 games behind in the National League, the stakes are as high as the skyscrapers in downtown Manhattan. The betting world’s got this game on a tight leash with an over/under of 8.0, making every pitch and swing count even more. Fresh off a head-to-head where the Mets showed some serious muscle, the Red Sox are hungry for a comeback under the clear skies and gentle breezes of a perfect 66-degree evening. So, as the sun sets over Queens, will the Red Sox paint the town red, or will the Mets have them seeing stars in the Big Apple?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 04, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ENE at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 66.0° with 63% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-113	-107	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-108	-112	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+5	-5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

156W-156L

51.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

177W-129L

48.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/02/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-3.0
09/02/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-3.0
09/03/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+1.0
09/03/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+1.0
07/22/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+1.0
07/22/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+1.0
07/22/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+6.0
07/22/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+6.0
07/23/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-1.0
07/23/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Under	-1.0

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-30-24	@DET	7-5W	6.0	3	0	6	Over
08-25-24	vsARI	7-5L	6.0	7	6	2	Over
08-19-24	@HOU	4-5L	6.0	8	3	8	Over
08-14-24	vsTEX	9-7L	6.7	6	2	3	Over
08-09-24	vsHOU	8-4L	6.0	4	1	1	Over
08-03-24	@TEX	4-7L	5.0	8	6	7	Over
07-28-24	vsNYY	8-2L	6.0	5	4	2	Over
07-22-24	@COL	8-9L	6.0	10	4	2	Over
07-11-24	vsOAK	0-7W	6.0	2	0	6	Under
07-05-24	@NYY	5-3W	3.3	2	3	1	Push

Tylor Megill

ERA 4.643 | IP 52.3 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 61.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-30-24	@CWS	5-1W	5.3	5	1	6	Under
07-31-24	vsMIN	8-3L	2.0	3	1	2	Over
07-27-24	vsATL	4-0L	6.0	5	4	4	Under
06-29-24	vsHOU	9-6L	5.3	5	4	6	Over
06-22-24	@CHC	1-8L	3.0	5	6	6	Over
06-16-24	vsSD	6-11W	5.0	5	2	5	Over
06-11-24	vsMIA	4-2L	4.7	4	3	8	Under
06-03-24	@WAS	8-7W	5.0	7	5	4	Over
05-28-24	vsLAD	5-2L	7.0	3	0	9	Under
05-20-24	@CLE	1-3L	5.0	4	3	7	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/05	vs NYM	2-7L	6	0	Over
09/04	vs NYM	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/03	vs DET	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/02	vs DET	1-2L	4	1	Under
09/01	vs DET	7-5W	9	3	Over
08/31	@ TOR	0-2L	2	0	Under
08/30	@ TOR	3-0W	7	1	Under
08/29	@ TOR	6-3W	9	1	Over
08/28	@ TOR	3-7L	9	1	Over
08/28	@ TOR	1-4L	4	1	Under
08/27	@ ARI	5-7L	9	3	Over
08/26	@ ARI	1-4L	5	0	Under
08/25	@ ARI	2-12L	6	1	Over
08/23	vs HOU	4-1W	7	1	Under
08/22	vs HOU	6-5W	9	2	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/05	@ BOS	7-2W	7	3	Over
09/04	@ BOS	4-1W	8	0	Under
09/03	vs CWS	2-0W	7	1	Under
09/02	vs CWS	5-3W	10	2	Push
09/01	vs CWS	5-1W	10	1	Under
08/31	vs ARI	3-2W	10	2	Under
08/30	vs ARI	5-8L	6	1	Over
08/29	vs ARI	8-3W	13	1	Over
08/27	vs SD	2-3L	7	2	Under
08/26	vs SD	7-1W	5	3	Push
08/25	vs SD	0-7L	2	0	Under
08/24	vs SD	8-3W	17	0	Over
08/23	@ BAL	4-3W	8	3	Under
08/22	@ BAL	5-9L	5	1	Over
08/21	@ BAL	4-3W	6	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	11.9	15.3	0.290	0.523	0.386	0.908	0.367	0.037
#2 Wilyer Abreu	9.7	12.8	0.267	0.492	0.372	0.865	0.350	0.042
#3 Tyler O’Neill	8.3	11.1	0.254	0.520	0.398	0.918	0.367	0.073
#4 Rafael Devers	10.0	13.3	0.277	0.539	0.403	0.942	0.376	0.058
#5 Triston Casas	9.4	12.4	0.250	0.451	0.396	0.847	0.340	0.056
#5 Luis Garcia	9.4	9.4	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#6 Masataka Yoshida	8.0	10.4	0.295	0.435	0.406	0.841	0.342	0.029
#7 Connor Wong	6.5	8.4	0.282	0.426	0.367	0.793	0.325	0.032
#8 Enmanuel Valdez	5.9	7.9	0.218	0.391	0.305	0.695	0.287	0.034
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	6.0	7.8	0.253	0.403	0.296	0.699	0.291	0.029

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.0	10.5	0.271	0.499	0.377	0.876	0.355	0.053
#2 Brandon Nimmo	7.8	10.4	0.231	0.406	0.400	0.806	0.324	0.037
#3 Mark Vientos	6.5	8.6	0.285	0.551	0.372	0.923	0.374	0.068
#4 Pete Alonso	7.0	9.3	0.242	0.469	0.370	0.840	0.339	0.057
#5 Jesse Winker	6.3	8.3	0.272	0.429	0.434	0.863	0.344	0.033
#6 Starling Marte	6.6	8.5	0.272	0.401	0.341	0.742	0.306	0.024
#7 Jose Iglesias	5.6	7.1	0.300	0.428	0.378	0.806	0.331	0.017
#8 Jeff McNeil	5.7	7.4	0.240	0.386	0.338	0.724	0.299	0.029
#9 Francisco Alvarez	5.0	6.5	0.235	0.372	0.324	0.696	0.287	0.024

Red Sox Notable Injuries

James Paxton OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/13/24. Impact: 4.1
David Hamilton OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.242 SLG:0.391 Last game: 08/30/24. Impact: 2.5
Cam Booser OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 0.6
Lucas Sims OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.2

Mets Notable Injuries

Paul Blackburn OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 4.8
J.D. Martinez OUT (1B/OF): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.439 Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 3.0
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 1.8