Red Sox vs Yankees Game Breakdown

thefield
July 5, 2024
Boston Red Sox

Red Sox

47W-39L

Boston Red Sox

July 05, 2024

07:05PM EST

Odds: 8.5 o/u

Yankees

53W-35L

New York Yankees
New York Yankees

Get ready to rumble at Yankee Stadium tonight as the Boston Red Sox, sporting a solid 47-39 record, roll into the Big Apple to clash with the top-tier New York Yankees, who are holding strong at 53-35. The stakes are high with the Sox looking to close a 7.5-game gap and the Yanks aiming to tighten their 2.5-game distance in the American League showdown, kicking off at 07:05 PM EST. With the betting lines buzzing—Red Sox at +114 and Yankees at -136—and an over/under tantalizingly set at 8.5, tonight’s matchup promises to be more than just peanuts and Cracker Jacks. Both teams are coming in hot, the Sox fresh off a nail-biting 6-5 victory against Miami, and the Yanks stinging from an 8-4 upset against Cincinnati. With the weather playing nice—partly cloudy skies, a gentle southern breeze, and the mercury flirting with the mid-80s—it’s the perfect setting for some major league drama. So, as the evening unfolds, let’s see if the Red Sox can cook up a storm or if the Yankees will reign supreme in their own empire!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 05, 2024 07:05PM EST
Location: Yankee Stadium, New York
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the S at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 84.9° with 63% humidity.

Vegas Odds

BOS ML NYY ML Over/Under Line
Open +114 -136 8.5 1.5/-1.5
Recent +120 -143 8.0 1.5/-1.5
Difference +6 -7 -0.5 –

Team Performance

bos Team Logo
LAST 10
7W-3L
AWAY
144W-141L

45.5% Win Probability

nyy Team Logo
LAST 10
2W-8L
HOME
166W-114L

54.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
06/14/24 New York Yankees NYY 8 Over +0.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 1
06/15/24 New York Yankees NYY 4 Over +3.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 8
06/16/24 New York Yankees NYY 3 Over +3.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 9
06/09/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 3 Under -3.5
New York Yankees NYY 2
06/10/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 1 Under -4.5
New York Yankees NYY 3
06/11/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 3 Under -3.5
New York Yankees NYY 2
06/16/23 New York Yankees NYY 5 Over +11.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 15
06/18/23 New York Yankees NYY 2 Under -0.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 6
06/18/23 New York Yankees NYY 1 Under -3.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 4
08/18/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 8 Over +2.5
New York Yankees NYY 3
08/19/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 8 Over +0.5
New York Yankees NYY 1
08/20/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 6 Over +2.5
New York Yankees NYY 5
09/12/23 New York Yankees NYY 3 Under -3.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 2
09/12/23 New York Yankees NYY 4 Under -3.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 1
09/14/23 New York Yankees NYY 0 Under -3.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 5
09/14/23 New York Yankees NYY 8 Over +4.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 5

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Tanner Houck
Tanner Houck
ERA 2.759 | IP 107.7 | 7.0W-6.0L | KO 105.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
06-29-24 vsSD 11-1L 4.3 9 8 4 Over
06-24-24 vsTOR 6-7W 6.7 5 3 7 Over
06-18-24 @TOR 4-3W 5.7 6 3 5 Under
06-13-24 vsPHI 3-9W 6.0 8 3 5 Over
06-06-24 @CWS 14-2W 7.0 3 2 9 Over
05-31-24 vsDET 3-7W 7.0 3 1 6 Over
05-26-24 vsMIL 1-2W 6.0 7 1 7 Under
05-20-24 @TB 5-0W 7.0 2 0 5 Under
05-15-24 vsTB 4-3L 5.7 5 3 7 Under
05-10-24 vsWAS 5-1L 7.0 6 3 4 Under
Nestor Cortes
Nestor Cortes
ERA 3.514 | IP 105.0 | 4.0W-7.0L | KO 98.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
06-29-24 @TOR 3-9L 4.3 7 3 5 Over
06-23-24 vsATL 3-1L 7.0 5 3 7 Under
06-18-24 vsBAL 2-4W 6.0 5 0 6 Under
06-13-24 @KC 3-4L 7.0 6 2 2 Under
06-08-24 vsLAD 11-3L 5.3 7 4 4 Over
06-02-24 @SF 7-5W 4.3 7 3 7 Over
05-28-24 @LAA 3-4L 5.3 5 2 4 Under
05-22-24 vsSEA 3-7W 5.0 3 0 6 Over
05-17-24 vsCWS 2-4W 7.0 5 1 6 Under
05-11-24 @TB 2-7L 5.3 5 4 5 Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
07/06 vs MIA 6-5W 8 0 Over
07/05 vs MIA 7-2W 12 0 Over
07/04 vs MIA 8-3W 13 2 Over
07/02 @ SD 4-1W 8 2 Under
07/01 @ SD 1-11L 6 1 Over
06/30 @ SD 2-9L 8 1 Over
06/27 @ TOR 4-9L 5 2 Over
06/26 @ TOR 7-6W 11 2 Over
06/25 vs CIN 7-4W 10 2 Over
06/24 vs CIN 4-3W 9 1 Under
06/23 vs CIN 2-5L 6 2 Under
06/21 vs TOR 7-3W 10 2 Over
06/20 vs TOR 4-3W 12 1 Under
06/19 vs TOR 7-3W 11 4 Over
06/18 @ NYY 9-3W 14 0 Over

Yankees Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
07/06 @ CIN 4-8L 7 3 Over
07/05 @ CIN 2-3L 5 0 Under
07/04 @ CIN 4-5L 6 1 Over
07/02 vs TOR 8-1W 12 1 Over
07/01 vs TOR 3-9L 8 1 Over
06/30 vs TOR 16-5W 18 2 Over
06/29 vs TOR 2-9L 3 1 Over
06/28 vs NYM 2-12L 6 1 Over
06/27 vs NYM 7-9L 7 2 Over
06/25 @ ATL 1-3L 7 0 Under
06/24 @ ATL 8-3W 9 2 Over
06/23 @ ATL 1-8L 3 0 Over
06/22 @ BAL 5-17L 6 2 Over
06/21 @ BAL 6-7L 9 1 Over
06/20 @ BAL 4-2W 6 0 Under

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran
7.0 9.0 0.283 0.486 0.381 0.867 0.350 0.028
#2 Rob Refsnyder
7.2 9.4 0.311 0.466 0.480 0.946 0.374 0.020
#3 Tyler O’Neill
8.9 11.8 0.269 0.534 0.422 0.955 0.378 0.072
#4 Rafael Devers
7.4 9.8 0.288 0.568 0.435 1.004 0.396 0.065
#5 Connor Wong
6.5 8.3 0.323 0.459 0.418 0.877 0.356 0.032
#6 Romy Gonzalez
6.3 8.0 0.276 0.345 0.397 0.741 0.302 0.000
#7 Masataka Yoshida
5.6 7.3 0.266 0.357 0.371 0.727 0.300 0.014
#8 Dominic Smith
5.1 6.8 0.210 0.318 0.344 0.662 0.274 0.019
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela
5.6 7.3 0.243 0.402 0.287 0.689 0.287 0.030
New York Yankees DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Ben Rice
6.2 8.2 0.262 0.405 0.429 0.833 0.333 0.024
#2 Juan Soto
8.4 11.4 0.300 0.568 0.554 1.122 0.422 0.069
#3 Aaron Judge
8.2 11.1 0.317 0.705 0.532 1.237 0.469 0.103
#4 Alex Verdugo
6.1 8.0 0.248 0.398 0.339 0.737 0.303 0.028
#5 Gleyber Torres
6.5 8.6 0.221 0.343 0.333 0.676 0.279 0.026
#6 Anthony Volpe
5.9 7.5 0.253 0.380 0.332 0.712 0.293 0.016
#7 Austin Wells
5.2 7.0 0.214 0.359 0.366 0.724 0.295 0.028
#8 DJ LeMahieu
5.0 6.7 0.183 0.204 0.323 0.527 0.223 0.000
#8 Jose Rojas
7.9 7.9 nan nan nan nan nan nan
#9 Trent Grisham
4.9 6.7 0.165 0.365 0.341 0.706 0.288 0.059

Red Sox Notable Injuries

  • No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.

Yankees Notable Injuries

  • Cody Poteet OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/14/24. Impact: 3.6
  • Giancarlo Stanton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.492 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.4
  • Anthony Rizzo OUT (1B): Avg: 0.223 SLG:0.341 Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 1.9
  • Ian Hamilton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 0.4
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