Red Sox vs Pirates Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 21st 2024

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the Boston Red Sox, boasting a decent 12-10 record, gear up to clash with the Pittsburgh Pirates, who are hot on their heels with an 11-10 tally, at the iconic PNC Park. The clock’s ticking down to a 01:35 PM EST showdown where both teams are swinging for conference rankings, with the Sox and the Pirates looking to close gaps in their respective leagues. Today’s game promises some cloudy skies and a brisk breeze perfect for flying balls, with the betting realm buzzing as the Sox aim to build on their recent victory against these very Pirates. Will the Pirates manage to steal back some pride, or will the Red Sox continue to sail smoothly on their winning currents? Either way, fans are in for a game where it’s all about whether the Pirates can bury the Sox’s hopes or if the Red Sox will walk the plank victorious.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 21, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Overcast with winds from the W at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 43.0° with 49% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+122	-145	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+122	-145	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

126W-128L

45.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

112W-135L

55.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/19/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+0.5
04/19/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+0.5
04/20/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-2.5
04/20/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-2.5
04/03/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+4.5
04/03/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+4.5
04/04/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-3.5
04/04/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-3.5
04/05/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-3.5
04/05/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-3.5

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Josh Winckowski

ERA 4.629 | IP 11.7 | 1.0W-1.0L | KO 17.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	@PIT	4-2W	6.0	7	1	6	Under
04-15-24	vsCLE	6-0L	5.7	2	0	6	Under
04-10-24	vsBAL	7-5L	5.0	2	0	6	Over
04-05-24	@LAA	8-6W	4.7	2	1	5	Over
03-30-24	@SEA	3-4L	6.0	3	1	7	Under
09-30-23	@BAL	2-5L	6.0	1	0	7	Under
09-24-23	vsCWS	3-2L	5.3	4	3	7	Under
09-18-23	@TEX	4-2W	6.0	4	2	7	Under
09-12-23	vsNYY	4-1L	4.7	3	1	7	Under
09-05-23	@TB	6-8L	3.7	3	5	5	Over
04-16-24	vsCLE	10-7L	1.0	2	3	1	Over
04-15-24	vsCLE	6-0L	1.0	2	2	1	Under
04-13-24	vsLAA	2-7W	2.0	0	0	2	Over
04-09-24	vsBAL	7-1L	2.7	9	4	4	Under
04-05-24	@LAA	8-6W	1.0	2	4	2	Over
04-02-24	@OAK	5-4W	2.0	0	0	3	Over
03-29-24	@SEA	0-1L	2.0	1	0	4	Under
09-30-23	@BAL	2-5L	1.0	3	2	2	Under
09-28-23	@BAL	0-2L	1.7	0	0	2	Under
09-26-23	vsTB	9-7L	1.7	1	0	1	Over

Martin Perez

ERA 2.554 | IP 24.7 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 16.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	vsBOS	4-2L	6.0	5	4	4	Under
04-14-24	@PHI	9-2W	7.0	8	2	4	Over
04-08-24	vsDET	4-7W	6.0	5	2	9	Over
04-03-24	@WAS	3-5L	5.3	8	5	5	Under
03-28-24	@MIA	6-5W	5.7	7	5	3	Over
09-26-23	@PHI	2-3L	6.0	3	2	6	Under
09-20-23	@CHC	13-7W	5.7	9	7	6	Over
09-14-23	vsWAS	0-2W	8.0	2	0	7	Under
09-08-23	@ATL	2-8L	5.0	12	8	4	Over
09-01-23	@STL	4-2W	6.0	5	1	8	Under
04-15-24	@NYM	3-6L	5.7	6	3	1	Over
04-09-24	vsDET	5-3L	8.0	6	1	7	Under
04-04-24	@WAS	7-4W	6.7	6	2	6	Over
03-29-24	@MIA	7-2W	4.3	6	1	2	Over
10-01-23	@SEA	0-1W	3.7	0	0	4	Under
09-24-23	@SEA	8-9W	1.7	1	2	1	Over
09-20-23	@BOS	5-15W	4.7	3	0	5	Over
09-16-23	@CLE	1-2W	1.7	2	0	0	Under
09-13-23	@TOR	10-0L	1.0	1	0	0	Over
09-11-23	@TOR	10-4L	1.0	0	0	2	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/22	vs PIT	4-2W	7	1	Under
04/21	vs PIT	8-1W	12	4	Over
04/20	@ CLE	4-5L	6	0	Over
04/19	@ CLE	2-0W	5	1	Under
04/18	@ CLE	7-10L	11	3	Over
04/17	@ CLE	0-6L	3	0	Under
04/16	@ LAA	5-4W	7	3	Over
04/15	@ LAA	7-2W	11	1	Over
04/14	@ LAA	0-7L	3	0	Under
04/13	@ BAL	4-9L	8	1	Over
04/12	@ BAL	5-7L	8	1	Over
04/11	@ BAL	1-7L	2	1	Under
04/09	vs LAA	12-2W	12	4	Over
04/08	vs LAA	1-2L	3	0	Under
04/07	vs LAA	8-6W	9	5	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/22	@ BOS	2-4L	9	1	Under
04/21	@ BOS	1-8L	4	0	Over
04/19	vs NYM	1-9L	5	0	Over
04/18	vs NYM	1-3L	5	0	Under
04/17	vs NYM	3-6L	3	0	Over
04/16	vs PHI	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/15	vs PHI	3-4L	5	1	Under
04/14	vs PHI	5-2W	9	0	Under
04/13	vs PHI	1-5L	7	0	Under
04/11	@ DET	3-5L	8	2	Under
04/10	@ DET	7-4W	12	1	Over
04/09	@ BAL	3-2W	7	0	Under
04/08	@ BAL	5-4W	11	1	Over
04/07	@ BAL	2-5L	6	2	Under
04/06	vs WAS	7-4W	11	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	10.4	13.2	0.28	0.409	37.6%	78.5%	1.1%
#2 Wilyer Abreu	8.4	11.1	0.244	0.4	44.4%	84.4%	2.2%
#2 Rob Refsnyder	8.1	11.0	0.3	0.8	40.0%	120.0%	10.0%
#3 Triston Casas	8.4	11.1	0.244	0.513	39.7%	91.0%	7.7%
#4 Connor Wong	7.7	9.7	0.349	0.581	34.9%	93.0%	7.0%
#4 Masataka Yoshida	7.9	10.4	0.25	0.375	36.1%	73.6%	2.8%
#5 Bobby Dalbec	7.0	10.0	0.038	0.077	11.5%	19.2%	0.0%
#5 Enmanuel Valdez	6.7	9.1	0.169	0.305	23.7%	54.2%	3.4%
#6 Pablo Reyes	6.3	8.3	0.167	0.19	21.4%	40.5%	0.0%
#7 Reese McGuire	6.1	8.0	0.25	0.409	34.1%	75.0%	4.5%
#8 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.9	7.8	0.157	0.286	21.4%	50.0%	1.4%
#9 David Hamilton	6.1	7.7	0.182	0.303	27.3%	57.6%	3.0%

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Oneil Cruz	8.1	10.2	0.214	0.333	27.4%	60.7%	3.6%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	7.7	10.1	0.277	0.41	45.8%	86.7%	2.4%
#3 Ke’Bryan Hayes	7.0	9.3	0.264	0.347	45.8%	80.6%	0.0%
#4 Rowdy Tellez	6.7	8.7	0.207	0.259	32.8%	58.6%	1.7%
#5 Andrew McCutchen	7.3	9.8	0.188	0.292	35.4%	64.6%	2.1%
#5 Edward Olivares	6.5	8.6	0.255	0.451	33.3%	78.4%	5.9%
#6 Jack Suwinski	6.6	8.9	0.172	0.297	29.7%	59.4%	3.1%
#7 Joey Bart	6.0	8.2	0.385	0.923	69.2%	161.5%	15.4%
#7 Connor Joe	6.0	8.1	0.288	0.475	45.8%	93.2%	3.4%
#8 Jared Triolo	5.4	6.9	0.222	0.278	33.3%	61.1%	1.4%
#9 Henry Davis	4.8	6.5	0.182	0.236	34.5%	58.2%	0.0%